NFL Quarterback Tiers 2024 - The Athletic

[kcgreene]

https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/571...q&redirected=1

Article (With major editing to make it presentable by text only) in Spoiler below

Spoiler!

NFL Quarterback Tiers 2024: Only 2 join Mahomes in Tier 1; Rodgers, Herbert drop out
Mike Sando
Aug 26, 2024

The top tier is always exclusive territory when 50 NFL coaches and executives have their say in Quarterback Tiers each summer.

That exclusivity has reached another level this year.

Led by the incomparable Patrick Mahomes, only three players achieved Tier 1 status when balloting for the 11th annual survey was finished. That’s the lowest number since 2016, but with a crop of younger players rising, there’s a potentially bright future for the elite ranks.

The Baltimore Ravens’ Lamar Jackson reached new heights. The Green Bay Packers’ Jordan Love and the San Francisco 49ers’ Brock Purdy made massive jumps. The Houston Texans’ C.J. Stroud set a new standard for a second-year QB. You can see the largest risers and fallers in the graphic below.

(Jordan Love: +13, Matt Stafford: +6, Lamar Jackson: +4, Dak Prescott: +1, Justin Fields: -2, Kyler Murray: -3, Jalen Hurts: -4, Russell Wilson: -5, Trevor Lawrence: -7)

The 2024 QB Tiers results are here, complete with commentary from the 50 NFL coaches and executives who were granted anonymity to share candid evaluations. The panel consisted of seven general managers, eight head coaches, 12 coordinators, 12 executives, eight assistant coaches and three involved in coaching/analytics.

Each voter placed 30 veteran quarterbacks into five tiers, from best (Tier 1) to worst (Tier 5). Quarterbacks were then ranked by average vote and placed into tiers based on vote distribution, beginning with Mahomes, whose 1.00 average vote reflected his status as the only unanimous Tier 1 selection. No QBs landed in Tier 5, although some received Tier 5 votes. The survey excludes rookies because voters have not seen them play in the NFL.



QB Tiers ranges (Tier 1: 1.0-1.5 Avg, Tier 2: 1.5-2.5 Avg, Tier 3: 2.5-3.5 Avg, Tier 4: 3.5-4.5 Avg, Tier 5: 4.5+ Avg)

QB tier ranks, tier 1 to tier 5 with their avg ranges for each tier.



Tier 1

A Tier 1 quarterback can carry his team each week. The team wins because of him. He expertly handles pure-passing situations. He has no real holes in his game.

1 Patrick Mahomes, Voting Avg 1, Retained tier
2 Joe Burrow, Voting Avg 1.1 (+0.1), Retained tier
3 Josh Allen, Voting Avg 1.2 (+0.1), Retained tier

Tier 2

A Tier 2 quarterback can carry his team sometimes but not as consistently. He can handle pure-passing situations in doses and/or possesses other dimensions that are special enough to elevate him above Tier 3. He has a hole or two in his game.

4 Lamar Jackson, Voting Avg 1.6 (-0.4), Retained tier
T5 Matt Stafford, Voting Avg 1.6 (-0.7), Retained tier
T5 Justin Herbert, Voting Avg 1.6 (+0.2), Dropped 1 Tier
7 Aaron Rodgers, Voting Avg 1.8 (+0.4), Dropped 1 Tier
8 C.J. Stroud, Voting Avg 1.8, New to Tiers
9 Dak Prescott, Voting Avg 2.1 (-0.1), Retained tier
10 Jared Goff, Voting Avg 2.2 (-0.5), Jumped 1 Tier
11 Jalen Hurts, Voting Avg 2.3 (+0.5), Retained tier
12 Brock Purdy, Voting Avg 2.3 (-1.2), Jumped 2 Tiers
13 Kirk Cousins, Voting Avg 2.4 (-0.1), Retained tier
14 Jordan Love, Voting Avg 2.5 (-1.5), Jumped 2 Tiers


Tier 3
A Tier 3 quarterback is a legitimate starter but needs a heavier running game and/or defensive component to win. A lower-volume dropback passing offense suits him best.

15 Tua Tagovailoa, Voting Avg 2.5 (-0.4), Retained tier
16 Trevor Lawrence, Voting Avg 2.6 (+0.4), Dropped 1 Tier
17 Kyler Murray, Voting Avg 2.7 (+0.1), Retained tier
18 Deshaun Watson, Voting Avg 2.8 (+0.4), Dropped 1 Tier
19 Baker Mayfield, Voting Avg 2.8 (-1.2), Jumped 1 Tier
T20 Derek Carr, Voting Avg 3 (+0.4), Retained tier
T20 Geno Smith, Voting Avg 3, Retained tier
22 Russell Wilson, Voting Avg 3.2 (+0.4), Retained tier

Tier 4

A Tier 4 quarterback could be an unproven player (not enough information for voters to classify) or a veteran who ideally would not start all 17 games.

23 Daniel Jones, Voting Avg 3.6 (+0.6), Dropped 1 Tier
24 Justin Fields, Voting Avg 3.6 (+0.5), Dropped 1 Tier
25 Gardner Minshew, Voting Avg 3.8 (-0.7), Retained tier
T26 Anthony Richardson, Voting Avg 3.8, New to Tiers
T26 Will Levis, Voting Avg 3.8, New to Tiers
28 Bryce Young, Voting Avg 3.8, New to Tiers
29 Sam Darnold, Voting Avg 4, Not in 2023 tiers
30 Jacoby Brissett, Voting Avg 4), Not in 2023 tiers

[MahomesMagic]

Mahomes is in his own tier.


Allen just does not have the mental traits or accuracy to be comparable, he is a great 1st down maker and physical talent.

[Rasputin]

Patrick is in tier one by himself, list fail.

[kcgreene]

Originally Posted by MahomesMagic

Mahomes is in his own tier.


Allen just does not have the mental traits or accuracy to be comparable, he is a great 1st down maker and physical talent.

Completely agree, albeit it is entertaining that by looking at their voting system, he is the only QB on the list that is unanimous Tier 1.

[kcgreene]

My Tiers:

Tier 1: Patrick Mahomes

Tier 2: Empty

Tier 3: Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow

[Rain Man]

Originally Posted by Rasputin

Patrick is in tier one by himself, list fail.

Mahomes should be Tier 1, and then you put the second-best guy at a Tier 4 and work down from there.

[DRM08]

I would take Allen over Burrow. Josh carries a bigger burden for his team and he has stayed healthy, while Burrow has spent 50% of his career with season-ending injuries. Allen’s playoff stats are much stronger than Burrow as well. Joe has had a pretty awesome defense helping win games.

[Ocotillo]

Originally Posted by kcgreene

My Tiers:

Tier 1: Patrick Mahomes

Tier 2: Empty

Tier 3: Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow

Tier 99: Bo Nix

[MahomesMagic]

Originally Posted by DRM08

I would take Allen over Burrow. Josh carries a bigger burden for his team and he has stayed healthy, while Burrow has spent 50% of his career with season-ending injuries. Allen’s playoff stats are much stronger than Burrow as well. Joe has had a pretty awesome defense helping win games.

Sure, defendable.

I would say Spags would much rather see Allen than Burrow though. Burrow can process what we are doing.

Buffalo's OC was so terrified of Allen making mistakes against Spags they took the ball out of his hands.

[carcosa]

If he ain't Patrick Mahomes, he ain't SHIT!!!!

[Rain Man]

Originally Posted by Ocotillo

Tier 99: Bo Nix

I watched a bit of their final preseason game yesterday, because I haven't seen any football yet.

Nix beating out Zach Wilson is not necessarily a sign that Nix is good. Wilson looked like a time-traveling quarterback from 1940 out there. It's amazing that he was once a high draft pick.

[DRM08]

Originally Posted by MahomesMagic

Sure, defendable.

I would say Spags would much rather see Allen than Burrow though. Burrow can process what we are doing.

Buffalo's OC was so terrified of Allen making mistakes against Spags they took the ball out of his hands.

I mean…Allen was better in that 13 seconds game than Burrow was a week later. The only reason Cincy won and Buffalo lost is because Cincy has the far better defense to slow down Mahomes.

Burrow dodged the 2023 Chiefs defense. I think Allen did pretty well in that recent playoff game. The Bills were doing everything possible to keep Mahomes on the sideline because they knew Buffalo’s defense would give up 40+ points if the Chiefs offense had the ball for 50% of the game instead of 35%.

[Megatron96]

Would agree for most of it. Though, I wouldn't put either Purdy or Goff in Tier II. Based on their own criteria, they should both be Tier III. And lol at Kyler, Trevor and Deshaun Watson being ranked above Baker.

[GeorgeZimZam]

I liked this video, much gushing about our Kansas City Chiefs football club.

[mr. tegu]

Originally Posted by MahomesMagic

Sure, defendable.

I would say Spags would much rather see Allen than Burrow though. Burrow can process what we are doing.

Buffalo's OC was so terrified of Allen making mistakes against Spags they took the ball out of his hands.

Who cares if Burrow can process things if he can’t make plays? I would say this is overstated anyways given all the sacks he takes.

Allen has proven to be a far more dangerous QB than Burrow in a one game situation. In seven playoff games Burrow has zero fourth quarter passing TDs and his team has scored one TD in the fourth quarter in those games. One!