Trade 2025 1st round pick?

[RedinTexas]

Originally Posted by kccrow

You better start looking at the rest of the trades man because the Pat Mahomes trade was one of the friendliest ever.

I looked at the MIN - HOU trade and it looked about the same.

MIN gave up
480 points - #42 overall
16.2 points - #188 overall
xxx points - 2025 2nd round pick

HOU gave up
760 points - #23 overall
1 point - # 232 overall

A middle of round 2 pick would value at about 415 points, but the difference between the two trades is about 265 points. That indicates a premium for Houston of about 150 points which is about 36%.

I just chose that particular trade because it was very recent. What trades do you consider to be much different in compensation premiums? Let's keep them within the last 5-10 years.

[kccrow]

Originally Posted by RedinTexas

I looked at the MIN - HOU trade and it looked about the same.

MIN gave up
480 points - #42 overall
16.2 points - #188 overall
xxx points - 2025 2nd round pick

HOU gave up
760 points - #23 overall
1 point - # 232 overall

A middle of round 2 pick would value at about 415 points, but the difference between the two trades is about 265 points. That indicates a premium for Houston of about 150 points which is about 36%.

I just chose that particular trade because it was very recent. What trades do you consider to be much different in compensation premiums? Let's keep them within the last 5-10 years.

I see how you are doing your math but it's not a convenient way to convey it.

If the 2025 pick is worth 265 points in the trade, then that is about 55% of their current round 2 pick value. That's precisely why I said approximately 50% of the current pick and that's normally how it's stated.

It varies in a range of 35% to 60% of the current year's pick with fair regularity. Those fluctuate based on the model. The Hill model is usually a better representation of trade values too.

[RedinTexas]

Originally Posted by kccrow

I see how you are doing your math but it's not a convenient way to convey it.

If the 2025 pick is worth 265 points in the trade, then that is about 55% of their current round 2 pick value. That's precisely why I said approximately 50% of the current pick and that's normally how it's stated.

It varies in a range of 35% to 60% of the current year's pick with fair regularity. Those fluctuate based on the model. The Hill model is usually a better representation of trade values too.

Yep, gotcha.