|
03-31-2020, 05:01 PM | #14356 | |
Kind of a mod
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Donkey Land
|
Quote:
|
|
Posts: 52,457
|
03-31-2020, 05:03 PM | #14357 | |
...
Join Date: Nov 2001
|
Quote:
|
|
Posts: 55,816
|
03-31-2020, 05:05 PM | #14358 |
"Think BOOM!"
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: 33.675° N 106.475° W
|
|
Posts: 186,400
|
03-31-2020, 05:05 PM | #14359 | |
Hockey Town
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Kansas City, Missouri
|
Quote:
|
|
Posts: 112,797
|
03-31-2020, 05:05 PM | #14360 |
Admitted Planet Junky
Join Date: Oct 2000
|
Well what I am referring to is places that are around the equator or where they are in or just coming out of summer are still having a lot of cases.
|
Posts: 19,409
|
03-31-2020, 05:06 PM | #14361 |
Consuming CP souls
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: U.S.A.
|
We really don't know anything. All those numbers thrown out are meaningless without more testing. Who knows how many of us have had the shit and don't know.
|
Posts: 71,273
|
03-31-2020, 05:06 PM | #14362 |
Kind of a mod
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Donkey Land
|
In glancing around, their model generally shows that everyone will level off by June. I assume that it's all based on social distancing rather than heat effects, which aren't well known.
The Bill Gates TED interview helped me wrap my mind around it a bit. Exponential growth is highly volatile, so if R0 > 1, it grows very, very rapidly. However, if we can get R0 < 1 due to social distancing, it shrinks very, very rapidly. So that's really all we're trying to do with social distancing - shrink R0 as much as possible. Once we get it under control (hopefully with dramatically increased access to testing), we can start slowly easing back restrictions. Cases go up? Restrictions go back into place. Cases stay low? Restrictions can be eased. It'll be a dance while we continue to learn more and refine the approach and treatments. |
Posts: 52,457
|
1 0 |
03-31-2020, 05:10 PM | #14363 | |
Woman should only make babies
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Apartment "G UNIT!"
|
Quote:
|
|
Posts: 54,618
|
03-31-2020, 05:12 PM | #14364 | |
Sauntering Vaguely Downwards
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Columbia, Mo
|
Quote:
'Multiple examples per day' is nothing resembling the hundreds of conferences involving thousands of attendees or dozens of sporting events involving tens of thousands of spectators every day. If what we've done isnt enough, then there was never 'an answer' to be found. We've done a shitload but for some, nothing will be. If only because their expectations were unreasonable to begin with. It's a novel virus that attacks people's lungs. A bunch of people are going to die. That was simply inevitable. |
|
Posts: 62,880
|
03-31-2020, 05:14 PM | #14365 |
Life is changing..
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: NW Missouri
|
|
Posts: 40,835
|
03-31-2020, 05:18 PM | #14366 | |
...
Join Date: Nov 2001
|
Quote:
Singapore has like 3 deaths. Total. Yeah it's a country of only 5 million people but 3 deaths is nothing. That's the equivalent of about 200 deaths in America. |
|
Posts: 55,816
|
03-31-2020, 05:18 PM | #14367 | |
"Think BOOM!"
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: 33.675° N 106.475° W
|
Quote:
|
|
Posts: 186,400
|
2 2 |
03-31-2020, 05:19 PM | #14368 |
"Think BOOM!"
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: 33.675° N 106.475° W
|
|
Posts: 186,400
|
1 1 |
03-31-2020, 05:20 PM | #14369 |
Life is changing..
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: NW Missouri
|
|
Posts: 40,835
|
03-31-2020, 05:27 PM | #14370 |
"Think BOOM!"
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: 33.675° N 106.475° W
|
Well, it was case per 100,000 pop, I believe. Shown in logarithmic scale.
Here's today's briefing: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jyp0KpB0_Zc |
Posts: 186,400
|
1 1 |
|
|