***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***

[JakeF]

A couple of reminders...

Originally Posted by Bwana

Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.

Originally Posted by Dartgod

People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.

We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.

Thanks!

Click here for the original OP:

Spoiler!

Apparently the CoronaVirus can survive on a inanimate objects, such as door knobs, for 9 days.

California coronavirus case could be first spread within U.S. community, CDC says
By SOUMYA KARLAMANGLA, JACLYN COSGROVE
FEB. 26, 2020 8:04 PM

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is investigating what could be the first case of novel coronavirus in the United States involving a patient in California who neither recently traveled out of the country nor was in contact with someone who did.

“At this time, the patient’s exposure is unknown. It’s possible this could be an instance of community spread of COVID-19, which would be the first time this has happened in the United States,” the CDC said in a statement. “Community spread means spread of an illness for which the source of infection is unknown. It’s also possible, however, that the patient may have been exposed to a returned traveler who was infected.”

The individual is a resident of Solano County and is receiving medical care in Sacramento County, according to the state Department of Public Health.

The CDC said the “case was detected through the U.S. public health system — picked up by astute clinicians.”

Officials at UC Davis Medical Center expanded on what the federal agency might have meant by that in an email sent Wednesday, as reported by the Davis Enterprise newspaper.

The patient arrived at UC Davis Medical Center from another hospital Feb. 19 and “had already been intubated, was on a ventilator, and given droplet protection orders because of an undiagnosed and suspected viral condition,” according to an email sent by UC Davis officials that was obtained by the Davis Enterprise.

The staff at UC Davis requested COVID-19 testing by the CDC, but because the patient didn’t fit the CDC’s existing criteria for the virus, a test wasn’t immediately administered, according to the email. The CDC then ordered the test Sunday, and results were announced Wednesday. Hospital administrators reportedly said in the email that despite these issues, there has been minimal exposure at the hospital because of safety protocols they have in place.

A UC Davis Health spokesperson declined Wednesday evening to share the email with The Times.

Since Feb. 2, more than 8,400 returning travelers from China have entered California, according to the state health department. They have been advised to self-quarantine for 14 days and limit interactions with others as much as possible, officials said.

“This is a new virus, and while we are still learning about it, there is a lot we already know,” Dr. Sonia Angell, director of the California Department of Public Health, said in a statement. “We have been anticipating the potential for such a case in the U.S., and given our close familial, social and business relationships with China, it is not unexpected that the first case in the U.S. would be in California.”

It is not clear how the person became infected, but public health workers could not identify any contacts with people who had traveled to China or other areas where the virus is widespread. That raises concern that the virus is spreading in the United States, creating a challenge for public health officials, experts say.

“It’s the first signal that we could be having silent transmission in the community,” said Lawrence Gostin, director of the World Health Organization Collaborating Center on National and Global Health Law. “It probably means there are many more cases out there, and it probably means this individual has infected others, and now it’s a race to try to find out who that person has infected.”

On Tuesday, the CDC offered its most serious warning to date that the United States should expect and prepare for the coronavirus to become a more widespread health issue.

“Ultimately, we expect we will see coronavirus spread in this country,” said Nancy Messonnier, director of the CDC’s National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases. “It’s not so much a question of if, but a question of when.”

According to the CDC’s latest count Wednesday morning, 59 U.S. residents have tested positive for the new strain of coronavirus — 42 of whom are repatriated citizens from a Diamond Princess cruise. That number has grown by two since Messonnier’s last count Tuesday, although the CDC was not immediately available to offer details on the additional cases.

More than 82,000 cases of coronavirus have been reported globally, and more than 2,700 people have died, with the majority in mainland China, the epicenter of the outbreak.

But public health leaders have repeatedly reminded residents that the health risk from the novel coronavirus to the general public remains low.

“While COVID-19 has a high transmission rate, it has a low mortality rate,” the state Department of Public Health said in a statement Wednesday. “From the international data we have, of those who have tested positive for COVID-19, approximately 80% do not exhibit symptoms that would require hospitalization. There have been no confirmed deaths related to COVID-19 in the United States to date.”

CDC officials have also warned that although the virus is likely to spread in U.S. communities, the flu still poses a greater risk.

Gostin said the news of potential silent transmission does not eliminate the possibility of containing the virus in the U.S. and preventing an outbreak.

“There are few enough cases that we should at least try,” he said. “Most of us are not optimistic that that will be successful, but we’re still in the position to try.”

[jaa1025]

Originally Posted by cdcox

13/18 epidemiologists in this panel put their mean projected US death toll in 2020 at 100K or greater. A week before the same panel was projecting only a slightly smaller death toll.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...still-unclear/

I do agree that things could spiral quickly if a significant number of healthcare personnel get infected but there are also several other important elements of society that this can be said for like Police and potential of civil unrest or something affecting our food and water supply. If you live in NYC for example, you are much more likely to be impacted by this than the rest of the US.

I've got several nurses and a doctor in my family in the metro area of KC. It's been slow for them but they are expecting things to change in a week or two. We still won't be affected like some of the bigger cities like LA, NYC etc.

[Indian Chief]

I could swear that I saw an article saying that Florida was going to start with an antibody test soon. I'm not holding it up as fact, but I'm certain someone here linked it this week.

[stumppy]

Originally Posted by Monticore

Crunchy to think otherwise would be idiotic.

Keep that crap in Canada hose head.

[mdchiefsfan]

Originally Posted by Indian Chief

I could swear that I saw an article saying that Florida was going to start with an antibody test soon. I'm not holding it up as fact, but I'm certain someone here linked it this week.

I read that here as well.

[petegz28]

Originally Posted by eDave

https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-DZXUuPtx2...2Bfor%2Bit.gif

You just missed Maria Carey. Elton John on now.

Gee, I missed the whopping 1 hour "concert" tonight. How can I ever live with myself knowing I missed Mrs. Alicia " I'm Jamaican-Italian" but act like I'm from Harlem"Keys???

[petegz28]

Originally Posted by stumppy

Keep that crap in Canada hose head.

WTf are you talking aboot. hey?

[AustinChief]

Originally Posted by Donger

277 new deaths in NY yesterday.
82 today

Assuming accurate numbers, what (if any) conclusions can we draw from this?

There was not a significant drop in cases weeks ago, so why the drop in deaths since they tend to lag by a week or two?

Are the new treatments working?

[eDave]

Originally Posted by petegz28

Gee, I missed the whopping 1 hour "concert" tonight. How can I ever live with myself knowing I missed Mrs. Alicia " I'm Jamaican-Italian" but act like I'm from Harlem"Keys???

Did you post this somewhere before? I swear I saw this exact post somewhere. Not bashing you, but I did. Weird.

And it appears I pasted the wrong link. That was for Smole.

[FAX]

Does anybody else think that Cardi B.'s speaking voice sounds almost exactly like Rosanne Rosannadana?

FAX

[RINGLEADER]

Originally Posted by AustinChief

Assuming accurate numbers, what (if any) conclusions can we draw from this?

There was not a significant drop in cases weeks ago, so why the drop in deaths since they tend to lag by a week or two?

Are the new treatments working?

I have some hope that the apocalypse that some predicted for California might not happen. Beyond that I would think that we’d be hearing all kinds of reports if there was anything to actually report on the anti-vitals.

Less death is a good thing...

[petegz28]

Originally Posted by eDave

Did you post this somewhere before? I swear I saw this exact post somewhere. Not bashing you, but I did. Weird.

No, , I did not...honest

[AustinChief]

Originally Posted by RINGLEADER

I have some hope that the apocalypse that some predicted for California might not happen. Beyond that I would think that we’d be hearing all kinds of reports if there was anything to actually report on the anti-vitals.

Less death is a good thing...

For sure... but it doesn't fit all the doom and gloom models... cases have to drop first THEN deaths will follow after a lag... unless of course most of the models are complete horseshit built on crap assumptions. We will know more on that front Monday or Tuesday hopefully.

[petegz28]

Clock has reset.......

[Monticore]

Originally Posted by stumppy

Keep that crap in Canada hose head.

Hawkins Cheezies the OG actually has cheese in them I think.

[PAChiefsGuy]

Originally Posted by AustinChief

For sure... but it doesn't fit all the doom and gloom models... cases have to drop first THEN deaths will follow after a lag... unless of course most of the models are complete horseshit built on crap assumptions. We will know more on that front Monday or Tuesday hopefully.

Yeah we have to wait until Monday or Tuesday to see how legit these numbers are.

What Trump and Dr Fauci said today, it doesn't sound like the numbers are going to drop until after the peak which should happen in 2-weeks.