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M-I-Z-Z-O-U
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Kansas City
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*** 2022 Mock Draft Megathread ***
Got a mock? Pop it in this thread. Include a picture if you want. Explain your reasoning if you want. Talk about your crushes... if you want.
See a good "pro" mock? Link it up in here and I'll add it to the OP. Duncan's latest mock Site The Draft Network This mock seems to be the most accurate site right now, so I go with this one. I don't pay for it, so no trades here. The plan is for this to be my last mock. I'm going to do it differently, though. I'm running 3 scenarios, and eschewing the 7th round picks, which I would use on a big swings on athleticism and potential. Lotto tickets. James Houston IV is one of them. Note: I used PFF to simulate the trade action, then manually backed up in the 2 "trade" drafts to make selections. Laborious, but gives you best of both worlds, IMO. I think PFF's trade tool is the best, but its board is whack. Draft slot: 29 Scenario 1: The Chiefs sit pat with their picks and don't make any moves at all. Seems the least likely, but hey... 1.29 | George Karlaftis, DE, Purdue. 1.30 | Boye Mafe, DE, Minnesota. 2.50 | George Pickens, WR, Georgia. 2.62 | Travis Jones, DT, UConn. 3.94 | Zyon McCollum, CB, Sam Houston State. 3.103(Comp for Poles) | Troy Andersen, LB, Montana State. 4.121 | Coby Bryant, CB, Cincinnati. 4.135 | Velus Jones, Jr., Tennessee Scenario 1 Debrief: So, sitting and waiting to see what comes to me was pretty successful here. The Chiefs FLOOD the defensive line with reinforcements, including at least 1 ready-made starter and two guys who should - at minimum - be in 50/50 rotations at their spots by year end. The Chiefs still get a big outside WR with tantalizing potential. They add some crazy athletic small-school guys, and a mid-round corner who just fits in the system, and a dynamo return man who might be more at WR. This looks pretty good. Though I have a hard time believing Karlaftis just falls to 29... Scenario 2: The Chiefs get aggressive and trade up. But for what? In this case, let's go wide receiver. In this run, Kansas City trades picks 29, 62, and a 2023 3rd to Houston for pick 13 and a 2023 4th, because they ARE as obsessed with a WR as people expect and are aggressive to go get him when the board falls right. They then trade BACK from 30 to 35 with the Jets, also including pick 94 in order to get 69 back. Then, last but not least, KC gets aggressive one more time and moves 103 and 121 for 85 from New England, leaving the Chiefs with 6 picks in the first four rounds. 1.13 | Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama. 2.35 | Cam Thomas, DE, San Diego State. 2.50 | Jalen Pitre, S, Baylor. 3.69 | Zachary Carter, DT, Florida. 3.85 | Sam Williams, DE, Ole Miss. 4.135 | Jaylen Watson, CB, Washington State Scenario 2 Debrief: I'm not saying KC should do this or even that I think they will (more on that in a few minutes). I'm just saying, man, what will it look like if the Chiefs get aggressive a few times AND are doing the big move for a WR? In this scenario, KC obviously believes Williams is a game-changer at the NFL level and is taking a small 2022 hit to make 2023+ better. The defensive line still gets reinforced, but the reinforcements are all a shade worse than the sit-pat draft option. If you like Kingsley Enagbare or Josh PAscal more than Thomas, I get it and wouldn't quibble at one of those guys instead. Logan Hall, too. Pitre is such a screaming perfect fit for KC's D. Carter is a great physical talent you can dream about coaching up. Williams' utility is known and gives them a true RE option to pair against their higher-drafted bigger guy. Watson is a developmental corner. I don't love it. I think Pitre makes the secondary a lot better and makes it easier to move on from Thornhill after 22. They have improved the defensive rotation, though one of the DEs would need to outperform expectations in Year 1 to get it to the same level as Scenario 1. In all, giving up the 2 extra selections in the top 4 rounds hurts the depth you can build, but I think it's more like what KC will do. Scenario 3: Same movements as #2 1.13 | Jermaine Johnson II, DE, Florida State. 2.35 | Christian Watson, WR, North Dakota State. 2.50 | Sam Williams, DE, Ole Miss. 3.69 | Bryan Cook, S, Cincinnati. 3.85 | Martin Emerson, CB, Miss. State. 4.135 | Braxton Jones, T, Southern Utah Scenario 3 Debrief: This is the type of situation where I see KC paying the price to move up... if Johnson falls this far, I'd be shocked if KC isn't aggressively moving up. With this run, I take a risky but high upside WR in Watson (but you could sub in Pickens or Jahan Dotson or Tolbert or Metchie or Skyy Moore or really any of those tier 2 guys here if you prefer). The secondary reinforcements aren't flashy but are good fits. In this one, I think the plan has to become adding either another safety or corner in free agency before the season. Ideally, it's someone who can handle the slot and let Sneed thriver on the outside. The DL gets a major boost and some potential star power in Johnson and Williams, and the OL gets another T option and potential long-term starter to develop. Having completed the exercise and looking at the scenariors, I like the first one the most. But it really does come down to how the board breaks. Older mocks
Spoiler!
Last edited by duncan_idaho; 04-15-2022 at 10:36 AM.. |
Posts: 21,209
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#1081 |
MVP
Join Date: Jan 2015
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Posts: 6,325
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#1082 | |
Most Valuable Villain
Join Date: Dec 2006
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Quote:
1. The trade up for Williams. I'm assuming that with that compensation that you're getting to the Saints pick at 16? I'm not a fan of trading up for a WR so I'm going to just leave it at that. 2. You traded up for Williams and then took Pickens at 30. So our first two picks are WRs when we have nothing at DE and Baker is your 3rd CB. Not great Bob. 3. Ojabo in the 2nd after trading up. Two of your first three picks are not guaranteed to be available Week 1. 4. 62 and 93 are fine for both DT and DE. I don't have an issue there. 5. You just spent two first round picks on WR and you draft another one in the 3rd round? And it's Justyn Ross at that? The dude who completely ****ed his pre draft numbers? Probably the dumbest pick of the entire draft. A RB before a CB? You waited until the 7th round to take a CB who more than likely doesn't even sniff the top 4. Our pass defense going into the season is trash because you drafted 3 WRs and a DE who won't play in 2022. |
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#1083 | |
MVP
Join Date: Jan 2015
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Posts: 6,325
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#1084 |
M-I-Z-Z-O-U
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Kansas City
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There's gambling... and then there's spending two of your first 3 picks on currently injured players, and adding still more risk with a guy who has some character questions.
1 of those 3 is possibly defendable. All 3 is just reckless to a point of impossibility. |
Posts: 21,209
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#1085 |
Pepsi, cheeburger, chip
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Location: Location
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KC
29. Treylon Burks WR Arkansas KC 50. Boye Mafe EDGE Minnesota KC 62. Jahan Dotson WR Penn State KC 94. Sam Williams EDGE Mississippi KC 103. Calvin Austin III WR Memphis KC 121. Damone Clark LB LSU KC 137. Zyon McCollum CB Sam Houston State trade icon 2023 CAR 1st 2023 CAR 2nd |
Posts: 1,242
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#1086 |
Needs more middle fingers
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: San Diego
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Aight, fuggit, my first crack at it. Only doing 3 rounds because **** that shit.
Round 1, Pick 29; Andrew Booth Jr. (One of my favorites of the draft, this is the star of my Mock. Kaiir Elam could work here too assuming Booth is gone) Round 1, Pick 30; Boye Mafe (lazy pick here by me, but the Chiefs need a rusher and i expect Karlaftis to be gone) Round 2, Pick 50; George Pickens (1st round talent imo, I struggle if he's my favorite or 2nd favorite WR in the draft) Round 2, Pick 62; Jalyn Armour Davis (Chiefs get a 2nd big time physical attribute corner, giving them two outstanding boundry corner rookie prospects to develop) Round 3, Pick 94; David Ojabo (possibly wishful thinking here but that injury creates uncertainty and he'll have to redshirt his rookie season. I think he slides into the 3rd where these types of guys are generally seen taken) Round 3, Pick 103; Max Mitchel (Chiefs add some competition at swing tackle with a player that has the potential to outright take the RT job) |
Posts: 64,798
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#1087 | |
MVP
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: Helena, MT
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Posts: 18,571
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#1088 |
Pepsi, cheeburger, chip
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Location: Location
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Posts: 1,242
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#1089 |
offense > defense
Join Date: Jul 2005
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When are people going to stop mocking Pickens at 50. He ain't sniffing it.
There might be 5 WR gone by 20. This is going to be the most prolonged WR run ever. Especially with the wild money being asked by so many 3rd year WR now. Every team is gonna want to load up on cheap guys. |
Posts: 8,925
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#1090 |
Needs more middle fingers
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: San Diego
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Posts: 64,798
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#1091 | |
Banned
Join Date: Jan 2017
Location: Hawaii
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Posts: 5,974
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#1092 |
Most Valuable Villain
Join Date: Dec 2006
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MJD has us going Karlaftis at 30 and trading 29 for Deebo Samuel.
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Posts: 92,316
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#1093 |
The Boom Boom Room
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Far Beyond Comprehension
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Posts: 42,223
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#1094 | |
MVP
Join Date: May 2001
Location: midtown KC
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Quote:
Karlaftis isn't my favorite DE pick, but he is a pretty safe bet. I'd rather gamble a bit on one of the athletic freaks like Ebiketie or Mafe with one of the firsts and then double down with a Cam Thomas at #62. At least one of them should hit and if both do, you're set at edge for a few years. But that's just me. |
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Posts: 17,575
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#1095 |
Baba Ganoush
Join Date: Jan 2012
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Posts: 29,442
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