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11-23-2021, 12:45 PM | |
M-I-Z-Z-O-U
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Kansas City
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*** 2022 Mock Draft Megathread ***
Got a mock? Pop it in this thread. Include a picture if you want. Explain your reasoning if you want. Talk about your crushes... if you want.
See a good "pro" mock? Link it up in here and I'll add it to the OP. Duncan's latest mock Site The Draft Network This mock seems to be the most accurate site right now, so I go with this one. I don't pay for it, so no trades here. The plan is for this to be my last mock. I'm going to do it differently, though. I'm running 3 scenarios, and eschewing the 7th round picks, which I would use on a big swings on athleticism and potential. Lotto tickets. James Houston IV is one of them. Note: I used PFF to simulate the trade action, then manually backed up in the 2 "trade" drafts to make selections. Laborious, but gives you best of both worlds, IMO. I think PFF's trade tool is the best, but its board is whack. Draft slot: 29 Scenario 1: The Chiefs sit pat with their picks and don't make any moves at all. Seems the least likely, but hey... 1.29 | George Karlaftis, DE, Purdue. 1.30 | Boye Mafe, DE, Minnesota. 2.50 | George Pickens, WR, Georgia. 2.62 | Travis Jones, DT, UConn. 3.94 | Zyon McCollum, CB, Sam Houston State. 3.103(Comp for Poles) | Troy Andersen, LB, Montana State. 4.121 | Coby Bryant, CB, Cincinnati. 4.135 | Velus Jones, Jr., Tennessee Scenario 1 Debrief: So, sitting and waiting to see what comes to me was pretty successful here. The Chiefs FLOOD the defensive line with reinforcements, including at least 1 ready-made starter and two guys who should - at minimum - be in 50/50 rotations at their spots by year end. The Chiefs still get a big outside WR with tantalizing potential. They add some crazy athletic small-school guys, and a mid-round corner who just fits in the system, and a dynamo return man who might be more at WR. This looks pretty good. Though I have a hard time believing Karlaftis just falls to 29... Scenario 2: The Chiefs get aggressive and trade up. But for what? In this case, let's go wide receiver. In this run, Kansas City trades picks 29, 62, and a 2023 3rd to Houston for pick 13 and a 2023 4th, because they ARE as obsessed with a WR as people expect and are aggressive to go get him when the board falls right. They then trade BACK from 30 to 35 with the Jets, also including pick 94 in order to get 69 back. Then, last but not least, KC gets aggressive one more time and moves 103 and 121 for 85 from New England, leaving the Chiefs with 6 picks in the first four rounds. 1.13 | Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama. 2.35 | Cam Thomas, DE, San Diego State. 2.50 | Jalen Pitre, S, Baylor. 3.69 | Zachary Carter, DT, Florida. 3.85 | Sam Williams, DE, Ole Miss. 4.135 | Jaylen Watson, CB, Washington State Scenario 2 Debrief: I'm not saying KC should do this or even that I think they will (more on that in a few minutes). I'm just saying, man, what will it look like if the Chiefs get aggressive a few times AND are doing the big move for a WR? In this scenario, KC obviously believes Williams is a game-changer at the NFL level and is taking a small 2022 hit to make 2023+ better. The defensive line still gets reinforced, but the reinforcements are all a shade worse than the sit-pat draft option. If you like Kingsley Enagbare or Josh PAscal more than Thomas, I get it and wouldn't quibble at one of those guys instead. Logan Hall, too. Pitre is such a screaming perfect fit for KC's D. Carter is a great physical talent you can dream about coaching up. Williams' utility is known and gives them a true RE option to pair against their higher-drafted bigger guy. Watson is a developmental corner. I don't love it. I think Pitre makes the secondary a lot better and makes it easier to move on from Thornhill after 22. They have improved the defensive rotation, though one of the DEs would need to outperform expectations in Year 1 to get it to the same level as Scenario 1. In all, giving up the 2 extra selections in the top 4 rounds hurts the depth you can build, but I think it's more like what KC will do. Scenario 3: Same movements as #2 1.13 | Jermaine Johnson II, DE, Florida State. 2.35 | Christian Watson, WR, North Dakota State. 2.50 | Sam Williams, DE, Ole Miss. 3.69 | Bryan Cook, S, Cincinnati. 3.85 | Martin Emerson, CB, Miss. State. 4.135 | Braxton Jones, T, Southern Utah Scenario 3 Debrief: This is the type of situation where I see KC paying the price to move up... if Johnson falls this far, I'd be shocked if KC isn't aggressively moving up. With this run, I take a risky but high upside WR in Watson (but you could sub in Pickens or Jahan Dotson or Tolbert or Metchie or Skyy Moore or really any of those tier 2 guys here if you prefer). The secondary reinforcements aren't flashy but are good fits. In this one, I think the plan has to become adding either another safety or corner in free agency before the season. Ideally, it's someone who can handle the slot and let Sneed thriver on the outside. The DL gets a major boost and some potential star power in Johnson and Williams, and the OL gets another T option and potential long-term starter to develop. Having completed the exercise and looking at the scenariors, I like the first one the most. But it really does come down to how the board breaks. Older mocks
Spoiler!
Last edited by duncan_idaho; 04-15-2022 at 10:36 AM.. |
Posts: 21,180
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04-20-2022, 06:52 PM | #1066 |
SuperBowl or bust
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: BF Iowa
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This is the kind of draft I’m talking about is having if we were to actively look to move down with both firsts and evenly dispurse the resources where they can be most effective. I used a 2023 3rd rounder in the process.
Defense and wide receivers are fixed and loaded with talent. |
Posts: 47,186
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04-20-2022, 08:00 PM | #1067 |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Oct 2007
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That’s cool and all, but it’s still very unrealistic.
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Posts: 49,426
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04-20-2022, 08:43 PM | #1068 |
MVP
Join Date: Jan 2013
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29.
George Karlaftis EDGE, 30. Perrion Winfrey IDL, 50. George Pickens WR, 62. Trey McBride TE, 94. Marcus Jones CB, 103. Jalen Tolbert WR, 121. Myjai Sanders EDGE, 135. Zyon McCollum CB, |
Posts: 10,627
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04-21-2022, 06:25 AM | #1069 |
MVP
Join Date: Jan 2015
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#29 + #132 + 2023 2nd (Edited) = WR J Williams
#30 = WR Pickens #50 + #121 = DE Ojabo #62 DT Leal or DE Enagbare #93 DE Williams or DT Mathis #103 WR Ross 233. RB Ealy 243. S Monday 251. Best Available CB 259. Best Available RT 2022: Hardman, JuJu, MVS, Williams, Pickens Ross -> 2023: Williams, Pickens, MVS, Ross Last edited by Couch-Potato; 04-21-2022 at 10:16 AM.. |
Posts: 6,288
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04-21-2022, 06:48 AM | #1070 |
offense > defense
Join Date: Jul 2005
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^ that's by far the best mock I've seen. But that capital isn't getting us near high enough for JW.
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Posts: 8,924
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04-21-2022, 08:39 AM | #1071 |
Andy Reid Supporter
Join Date: Apr 2012
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Trade 29, 30, 2023 3rd and 2023 6th to Seattle
1. Jameson Williams WR Alabama 2. Travis Jones DT UConn 2. Sam Williams DE Ole Miss 3. JT Woods S Baylor 3. Isaiah Thomas DE OU 4. Jaylen Watson CB Washington St 4. Jaquirii Roberson WR Wake Forrest |
Posts: 46,412
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04-21-2022, 08:58 AM | #1072 |
Starter
Join Date: Mar 2021
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Resisting trading up for a WR or DE...until I see otherwise next Thurs, I believe the price will be higher than I want to pay. My philosophy for this year is to fill many holes with speedy, turnover-creators, then perhaps be more aggressive w/ trade-ups next year after rebuilding the roster...there shouldn't be many spots next year!
29) Daxton Hill 30) Traded w/ Cin (30, 94, 121 for 31 + 63) 31) George Pickens 50) David Ojabo 62) Traded w/Jax (62, 135 for 65, 106, 188) 63) Jalen Tolbert 65) Perrion Winfrey 103) Jalyn Armour-Davis 106) Zyon McCollum stopped there |
Posts: 859
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04-21-2022, 09:07 AM | #1073 |
Most Valuable Villain
Join Date: Dec 2006
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Do you mean Carolina?
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04-21-2022, 09:30 AM | #1074 |
MVP
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: Helena, MT
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Guys, I finally won the draft.
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Posts: 18,571
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04-21-2022, 09:40 AM | #1075 |
Starter
Join Date: Mar 2021
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Posts: 859
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04-21-2022, 09:44 AM | #1076 |
M-I-Z-Z-O-U
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Kansas City
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Posts: 21,180
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04-21-2022, 09:50 AM | #1077 |
MVP
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: Helena, MT
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I would argue there's a decent chance my first five to six picks are gone by 29. I just enjoy breaking the mock draft game. And yes, PFF board is terrible
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Posts: 18,571
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04-21-2022, 09:59 AM | #1078 |
Veteran
Join Date: Feb 2018
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04-21-2022, 10:17 AM | #1079 |
MVP
Join Date: Jan 2015
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Posts: 6,288
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04-21-2022, 10:18 AM | #1080 | |
Most Valuable Villain
Join Date: Dec 2006
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Quote:
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Posts: 92,308
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