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Old 02-26-2020, 10:28 PM  
JakeF JakeF is offline
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***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***

A couple of reminders...

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bwana View Post
Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dartgod View Post
People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.

We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.

Thanks!

Click here for the original OP:

Spoiler!

Last edited by Bearcat; 03-25-2020 at 08:56 AM.. Reason: adding spoiler tag
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Old 03-23-2020, 04:00 PM   #10006
suzzer99 suzzer99 is offline
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Old 03-23-2020, 04:01 PM   #10007
O.city O.city is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by suzzer99 View Post
We need to get up to like 60% though and we're not close to that yet.

I've been trying to find a model that shows what the curve looks like if say we go through this again in the fall but 10% or 20% have herd immunity. Maybe it's flatter. But I haven't found anything yet.

We should all have masks and be better at social distancing by then at least.
For sure

But until you start doing serological tests you aren’t gonna know who’s had it and recovered, who got it, was asymptomatic and is now immune etc

If there’s a 30% asymptomatic rate and 80 percent of cases are mild, well that’s quite a few people
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Old 03-23-2020, 04:01 PM   #10008
stumppy stumppy is offline
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Originally Posted by suzzer99 View Post
Stay home all day seems like a disaster for porn addicts.
Meh, it ain't so bad.
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Old 03-23-2020, 04:01 PM   #10009
Donger Donger is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by O.city View Post
In terms of IfR or death rate

The problem is it’s hitting us all at once vs an entire flu season

Essentially like taking flu season and compressing it into a month

Again this is just my interpretation on reading studies and such
CFR for COVID-19 was estimated to be 3.4% when the stuff hit the fan. I imagine that it'll end up being around 1 to 1.5 once it ends. That's nothing like seasonal flu CFR.
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Old 03-23-2020, 04:02 PM   #10010
O.city O.city is offline
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There is also a study just released that show surgical masks are as effective as n95 masks vs viral respiratory illnesses

I don’t know the validity of it though
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Old 03-23-2020, 04:02 PM   #10011
Donger Donger is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BleedingRed View Post
.
Really?
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Old 03-23-2020, 04:03 PM   #10012
O.city O.city is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Donger View Post
CFR for COVID-19 was estimated to be 3.4% when the stuff hit the fan. I imagine that it'll end up being around 1 to 1.5 once it ends. That's nothing like seasonal flu CFR.
CFR is different than IFR

There’s a lot of stuff coming out now that the CFR May be in the 5 range which is crazy
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Old 03-23-2020, 04:04 PM   #10013
Bwana Bwana is offline
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Originally Posted by KC Dan View Post
Damn! And, I thought of coming to visit you....harsh, man, harsh...




















actually, not thinking of because I know what you mean. The northern part of our state is 100% dysfunctional idiots and the southern part is far to close to whach job Portland...
Heh, you still can dude. At that time, we didn't have any cases in MT and
all these slap dicks starting showing up. To say the least, people were not all that excited about it.
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Old 03-23-2020, 04:05 PM   #10014
Donger Donger is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by O.city View Post
CFR is different than IFR

There’s a lot of stuff coming out now that the CFR May be in the 5 range which is crazy
I don't discriminate based on age.

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Old 03-23-2020, 04:05 PM   #10015
DJ's left nut DJ's left nut is offline
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Originally Posted by Monticore View Post
My wife hasn't gotten me any , should I take that as a sign.
My wife isn't giving me any either....

....oh wait, different conversation.

Carry on, lads.
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Old 03-23-2020, 04:05 PM   #10016
BleedingRed BleedingRed is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Donger View Post
Really?
What? I'll post it again if you want because there is nothing political about the president and his team talking about what other countries are doing

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Old 03-23-2020, 04:07 PM   #10017
Donger Donger is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BleedingRed View Post
What? I'll post it again if you want because there is nothing political about the president and his team talking about what other countries are doing

That's not the reason why I said really, just like I told you in DC. You know the reason.
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Old 03-23-2020, 04:11 PM   #10018
Donger Donger is offline
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Great news from 3M CEO:

Roman said 3M has ramped up production of N95 respirators and doubled its global output to nearly 100 million per month.

"In the United States we are producing 35 million respirators per month. Of these, more than 90% are now designated for healthcare workers, with the remaining deployed to other industries also critical in this pandemic, including energy, food and pharmaceutical companies," Roman said in a Linkedin post on Sunday.

He said more than 500,000 respirators are being sent this week to some of the more critically impacted areas, such as New York and Seattle. About half of the total coronavirus cases in the United States are in New York State.

"I want people to know we are doing all we can to meet the demands of this extraordinary time and get supplies from our plants to where they're most needed as quickly as possible," he said.
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Old 03-23-2020, 04:14 PM   #10019
O.city O.city is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DJ's left nut View Post
My wife isn't giving me any either....

....oh wait, different conversation.

Carry on, lads.
How you doin man?

If this bill goes thru have you looked into what it will do for your business
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Old 03-23-2020, 04:26 PM   #10020
Hammock Parties Hammock Parties is offline
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No, officers are not randomly stopping people to ask where they're going

Quote:
DECATUR — Rumors that Decatur police are looking to pull drivers over to see if they are making non-essential journeys are just that — rumors, according to the city’s police chief.

Stories have circulated of drivers being pulled over and fined for contravening newly-imposed state-wide measures to limit non-essential travel in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak.

“No, absolutely not, we’re not doing that,” said Police Chief Jim Getz. “We’re not doing it and we don’t have time to do that anyway.”

Gov. J.B. Pritzker issued a "stay-at-home" order that is in effect from 5 p.m. Saturday to April 7. The order exempts businesses that are considered essential and still allows residents to go to grocery stores, pharmacies, gas stations and on walks outside, among other destinations.

Getz said his officers are following guidelines laid down by Pritzker’s office and the Illinois State Police. Officers will not be “proactively” stopping drivers at random, he said, but they may question them about the nature of their trip if they’ve been pulled over for something else, like a traffic infraction or if somebody has made a specific complaint about a person’s behavior.

The governor himself was asked about the rules during a press conference Sunday. A reporter told Pritzker that some employers had begun issuing letters for workers to carry with them, explaining that they were out to do essential work. Pritzker said that is not necessary.

"Let me be clear: You do not need to have papers or permission from your employer," Pritzker said. "Nobody is being stopped on the streets unless they are in fact seen to be directly violating the stay-at-home order, in which case a police officer or somebody else maybe just asks you (to) please go home, or are you in fact going to your job or going somewhere that is essential, to encourage people to do the right thing.

"There's no stopping people and asking for papers."

Getz said it's in everybody’s self-interest to follow the new rules and limit the spread of the virus. What will earn you a trip to jail is if the police get wind of an illegal large gathering at your home.

“I saw something on Facebook where, since all the bars and things were closed, people were going to have house parties with 50 or more people,” said Getz.

“Now that defeats the whole purpose of what the governor has put in place and so, if we find out you’re doing that, we’re going to arrest you for reckless conduct and we’re going to haul you to jail.”
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