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Old 02-26-2020, 10:28 PM  
JakeF JakeF is offline
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***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***

A couple of reminders...

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bwana View Post
Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dartgod View Post
People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.

We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.

Thanks!

Click here for the original OP:

Spoiler!

Last edited by Bearcat; 03-25-2020 at 08:56 AM.. Reason: adding spoiler tag
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Old 03-23-2020, 03:53 PM   #9991
Why Not? Why Not? is offline
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Originally Posted by Rain Man View Post
The only saving grace about pandemics is that they respect governmental borders.
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Old 03-23-2020, 03:53 PM   #9992
BWillie BWillie is online now
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Marcellus View Post
458 deaths/45,000 known cases= ~1.1%. I specifically stated known cases.

And as someone else said its way way lower because of the unknown cases.
If there are 45,000 known cases, and most of them are active, then you aren't finding any mortality rate. The majority of those don't have a known outcome yet.
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Old 03-23-2020, 03:55 PM   #9993
suzzer99 suzzer99 is offline
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Originally Posted by Monticore View Post
My wife hasn't gotten me any , should I take that as a sign.
When she comes home from work, does she turn her mask that she's been wearing all day inside out and tell you to wear it for safety?
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Old 03-23-2020, 03:55 PM   #9994
Monticore Monticore is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by O.city View Post
I’ve been reading my ass off on a lot of studies coming out on this

It’s looking more and more like there’s a shit load of asymptomatic people out there with this. While that sucks in terms of spread, it would mean that we’re a lot farther along in terms of immunity than we thought

It would also mean it may not be THAT much worse than the flu, but it being novel and hitting us all at once it’s gonna clog up hospitals
I agree once we get a vaccine/heard immunity I might not be, I hope so anyways. It would even be better is this ****er never came back.
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Old 03-23-2020, 03:56 PM   #9995
suzzer99 suzzer99 is offline
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Originally Posted by BigRedChief View Post
how far are we away from those countries on the curve? Two weeks behind? One? You know? Is there a consensus?
I heard 4-5 days behind Spain, France and Germany. However we're bigger and more spread out.

But that looks pretty accurate for say NYC right now.
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Old 03-23-2020, 03:57 PM   #9996
Monticore Monticore is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BWillie View Post
If there are 45,000 known cases, and most of them are active, then you aren't finding any mortality rate. The majority of those don't have a known outcome yet.
I might have heard that somewhere before but I can't remember where.
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Old 03-23-2020, 03:57 PM   #9997
petegz28 petegz28 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BWillie View Post
If there are 45,000 known cases, and most of them are active, then you aren't finding any mortality rate. The majority of those don't have a known outcome yet.
Every person, doctor and otherwise I have heard over this entire ordeal has consistently used the formula of total deaths/total cases.
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Old 03-23-2020, 03:58 PM   #9998
Hammock Parties Hammock Parties is online now
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Old 03-23-2020, 03:58 PM   #9999
O.city O.city is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Donger View Post
Not much worse than influenza in what regard?
In terms of IfR or death rate

The problem is it’s hitting us all at once vs an entire flu season

Essentially like taking flu season and compressing it into a month

Again this is just my interpretation on reading studies and such
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Old 03-23-2020, 03:59 PM   #10000
'Hamas' Jenkins 'Hamas' Jenkins is offline
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We're a few days behind the curve in places like NYC, but much farther behind in other areas, which is why piecemeal approaches to distancing and respecting quarantine may allow this thing to hop from hot spot to hot spot instead of getting snuffed out.
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Old 03-23-2020, 03:59 PM   #10001
Donger Donger is offline
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Originally Posted by Monticore View Post
I agree once we get a vaccine/heard immunity I might not be, I hope so anyways. It would even better is this ****er never came back.
Don't forget that this is actually the second SARS pandemic. And the first one was caused by this:

https://time.com/5770904/wuhan-coron...-wild-animals/
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Old 03-23-2020, 03:59 PM   #10002
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Old 03-23-2020, 03:59 PM   #10003
BigRedChief BigRedChief is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Monticore View Post
I agree once we get a vaccine/heard immunity I might not be, I hope so anyways. It would even better is this ****er never came back.
Britan thought herd immunity was a solution. Now they are threating their citizens with jail and fines for public gatherings of more than 2 people.
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Old 03-23-2020, 04:00 PM   #10004
BleedingRed BleedingRed is offline
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Old 03-23-2020, 04:00 PM   #10005
Monticore Monticore is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by suzzer99 View Post
When she comes home from work, does she turn her mask that she's been wearing all day inside out and tell you to wear it for safety?
no but I also don't get a BJ and a back rub so i'm still on the fence.
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