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11-23-2021, 12:45 PM | |
M-I-Z-Z-O-U
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Kansas City
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*** 2022 Mock Draft Megathread ***
Got a mock? Pop it in this thread. Include a picture if you want. Explain your reasoning if you want. Talk about your crushes... if you want.
See a good "pro" mock? Link it up in here and I'll add it to the OP. Duncan's latest mock Site The Draft Network This mock seems to be the most accurate site right now, so I go with this one. I don't pay for it, so no trades here. The plan is for this to be my last mock. I'm going to do it differently, though. I'm running 3 scenarios, and eschewing the 7th round picks, which I would use on a big swings on athleticism and potential. Lotto tickets. James Houston IV is one of them. Note: I used PFF to simulate the trade action, then manually backed up in the 2 "trade" drafts to make selections. Laborious, but gives you best of both worlds, IMO. I think PFF's trade tool is the best, but its board is whack. Draft slot: 29 Scenario 1: The Chiefs sit pat with their picks and don't make any moves at all. Seems the least likely, but hey... 1.29 | George Karlaftis, DE, Purdue. 1.30 | Boye Mafe, DE, Minnesota. 2.50 | George Pickens, WR, Georgia. 2.62 | Travis Jones, DT, UConn. 3.94 | Zyon McCollum, CB, Sam Houston State. 3.103(Comp for Poles) | Troy Andersen, LB, Montana State. 4.121 | Coby Bryant, CB, Cincinnati. 4.135 | Velus Jones, Jr., Tennessee Scenario 1 Debrief: So, sitting and waiting to see what comes to me was pretty successful here. The Chiefs FLOOD the defensive line with reinforcements, including at least 1 ready-made starter and two guys who should - at minimum - be in 50/50 rotations at their spots by year end. The Chiefs still get a big outside WR with tantalizing potential. They add some crazy athletic small-school guys, and a mid-round corner who just fits in the system, and a dynamo return man who might be more at WR. This looks pretty good. Though I have a hard time believing Karlaftis just falls to 29... Scenario 2: The Chiefs get aggressive and trade up. But for what? In this case, let's go wide receiver. In this run, Kansas City trades picks 29, 62, and a 2023 3rd to Houston for pick 13 and a 2023 4th, because they ARE as obsessed with a WR as people expect and are aggressive to go get him when the board falls right. They then trade BACK from 30 to 35 with the Jets, also including pick 94 in order to get 69 back. Then, last but not least, KC gets aggressive one more time and moves 103 and 121 for 85 from New England, leaving the Chiefs with 6 picks in the first four rounds. 1.13 | Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama. 2.35 | Cam Thomas, DE, San Diego State. 2.50 | Jalen Pitre, S, Baylor. 3.69 | Zachary Carter, DT, Florida. 3.85 | Sam Williams, DE, Ole Miss. 4.135 | Jaylen Watson, CB, Washington State Scenario 2 Debrief: I'm not saying KC should do this or even that I think they will (more on that in a few minutes). I'm just saying, man, what will it look like if the Chiefs get aggressive a few times AND are doing the big move for a WR? In this scenario, KC obviously believes Williams is a game-changer at the NFL level and is taking a small 2022 hit to make 2023+ better. The defensive line still gets reinforced, but the reinforcements are all a shade worse than the sit-pat draft option. If you like Kingsley Enagbare or Josh PAscal more than Thomas, I get it and wouldn't quibble at one of those guys instead. Logan Hall, too. Pitre is such a screaming perfect fit for KC's D. Carter is a great physical talent you can dream about coaching up. Williams' utility is known and gives them a true RE option to pair against their higher-drafted bigger guy. Watson is a developmental corner. I don't love it. I think Pitre makes the secondary a lot better and makes it easier to move on from Thornhill after 22. They have improved the defensive rotation, though one of the DEs would need to outperform expectations in Year 1 to get it to the same level as Scenario 1. In all, giving up the 2 extra selections in the top 4 rounds hurts the depth you can build, but I think it's more like what KC will do. Scenario 3: Same movements as #2 1.13 | Jermaine Johnson II, DE, Florida State. 2.35 | Christian Watson, WR, North Dakota State. 2.50 | Sam Williams, DE, Ole Miss. 3.69 | Bryan Cook, S, Cincinnati. 3.85 | Martin Emerson, CB, Miss. State. 4.135 | Braxton Jones, T, Southern Utah Scenario 3 Debrief: This is the type of situation where I see KC paying the price to move up... if Johnson falls this far, I'd be shocked if KC isn't aggressively moving up. With this run, I take a risky but high upside WR in Watson (but you could sub in Pickens or Jahan Dotson or Tolbert or Metchie or Skyy Moore or really any of those tier 2 guys here if you prefer). The secondary reinforcements aren't flashy but are good fits. In this one, I think the plan has to become adding either another safety or corner in free agency before the season. Ideally, it's someone who can handle the slot and let Sneed thriver on the outside. The DL gets a major boost and some potential star power in Johnson and Williams, and the OL gets another T option and potential long-term starter to develop. Having completed the exercise and looking at the scenariors, I like the first one the most. But it really does come down to how the board breaks. Older mocks
Spoiler!
Last edited by duncan_idaho; 04-15-2022 at 10:36 AM.. |
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04-15-2022, 09:05 PM | #976 |
In Search of a Life
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And they did that with the mock simulator, so they were literally drafting with more than 28 players off the board.
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04-15-2022, 09:19 PM | #977 |
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Join Date: Oct 2011
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Mafe's age is being overblown. He's not 24 yet.
Here's a list of some higher DEs and their birthdays. If you don't like Mafe for age then you don't like any of them: B. Mafe - Nov 30 1998 J. Johnson - Jan 7 1999 A. Ebiketie - Jan 24 1999 S. Williams - Mar 31 1999 M. Sanders - Jul 12 1998 D. Robinson - Jul 2 1998 I. Thomas - Dec 3 1998 A. Barno - Apr 26 1999 C. Allen - Aug 11 1998 M. Clemons - Aug 18 1997 |
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04-16-2022, 07:27 AM | #978 |
M-I-Z-Z-O-U
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Kansas City
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Those are some key facts to consider. Great context, crow!
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04-16-2022, 07:36 AM | #979 | |
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04-16-2022, 12:51 PM | #980 | |
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Quote:
Mafe, 23, has been playing football his whole life and progress has been there, but relatively slow. Ebikitie, 23, played football one year in high school before going to the collegiate level, grew rapidly as a rusher. Clearly there is more context there (quality of coaching, work ethic, mental development) but we draftabulators can only work with what we got. |
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04-16-2022, 02:21 PM | #981 | |
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04-16-2022, 04:28 PM | #982 | |
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04-16-2022, 06:34 PM | #983 |
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04-16-2022, 07:01 PM | #984 | |
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04-16-2022, 07:06 PM | #985 | |
M-I-Z-Z-O-U
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Quote:
I’m not really nuts about it. I’ve fallen off Watson and really hate the idea of drafting Woolen at 50. |
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04-16-2022, 07:29 PM | #986 |
SuperBowl or bust
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3/10 would not recommend
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04-16-2022, 07:35 PM | #987 |
In Search of a Life
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04-16-2022, 09:19 PM | #988 |
Inmem 2.0
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04-16-2022, 09:36 PM | #989 |
In Search of a Life
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29.
George Karlaftis EDGE 30. Boye Mafe EDGE 50. DeMarvin Leal IDL 62. Jalen Tolbert WR 94. Cade Otton TE 103. Zyon McCollum CB 121. Velus Jones Jr. WR 135. JT Woods S Loved how this one turned out. |
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04-16-2022, 11:15 PM | #990 |
M-I-Z-Z-O-U
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