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11-23-2021, 12:45 PM | |
M-I-Z-Z-O-U
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Kansas City
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*** 2022 Mock Draft Megathread ***
Got a mock? Pop it in this thread. Include a picture if you want. Explain your reasoning if you want. Talk about your crushes... if you want.
See a good "pro" mock? Link it up in here and I'll add it to the OP. Duncan's latest mock Site The Draft Network This mock seems to be the most accurate site right now, so I go with this one. I don't pay for it, so no trades here. The plan is for this to be my last mock. I'm going to do it differently, though. I'm running 3 scenarios, and eschewing the 7th round picks, which I would use on a big swings on athleticism and potential. Lotto tickets. James Houston IV is one of them. Note: I used PFF to simulate the trade action, then manually backed up in the 2 "trade" drafts to make selections. Laborious, but gives you best of both worlds, IMO. I think PFF's trade tool is the best, but its board is whack. Draft slot: 29 Scenario 1: The Chiefs sit pat with their picks and don't make any moves at all. Seems the least likely, but hey... 1.29 | George Karlaftis, DE, Purdue. 1.30 | Boye Mafe, DE, Minnesota. 2.50 | George Pickens, WR, Georgia. 2.62 | Travis Jones, DT, UConn. 3.94 | Zyon McCollum, CB, Sam Houston State. 3.103(Comp for Poles) | Troy Andersen, LB, Montana State. 4.121 | Coby Bryant, CB, Cincinnati. 4.135 | Velus Jones, Jr., Tennessee Scenario 1 Debrief: So, sitting and waiting to see what comes to me was pretty successful here. The Chiefs FLOOD the defensive line with reinforcements, including at least 1 ready-made starter and two guys who should - at minimum - be in 50/50 rotations at their spots by year end. The Chiefs still get a big outside WR with tantalizing potential. They add some crazy athletic small-school guys, and a mid-round corner who just fits in the system, and a dynamo return man who might be more at WR. This looks pretty good. Though I have a hard time believing Karlaftis just falls to 29... Scenario 2: The Chiefs get aggressive and trade up. But for what? In this case, let's go wide receiver. In this run, Kansas City trades picks 29, 62, and a 2023 3rd to Houston for pick 13 and a 2023 4th, because they ARE as obsessed with a WR as people expect and are aggressive to go get him when the board falls right. They then trade BACK from 30 to 35 with the Jets, also including pick 94 in order to get 69 back. Then, last but not least, KC gets aggressive one more time and moves 103 and 121 for 85 from New England, leaving the Chiefs with 6 picks in the first four rounds. 1.13 | Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama. 2.35 | Cam Thomas, DE, San Diego State. 2.50 | Jalen Pitre, S, Baylor. 3.69 | Zachary Carter, DT, Florida. 3.85 | Sam Williams, DE, Ole Miss. 4.135 | Jaylen Watson, CB, Washington State Scenario 2 Debrief: I'm not saying KC should do this or even that I think they will (more on that in a few minutes). I'm just saying, man, what will it look like if the Chiefs get aggressive a few times AND are doing the big move for a WR? In this scenario, KC obviously believes Williams is a game-changer at the NFL level and is taking a small 2022 hit to make 2023+ better. The defensive line still gets reinforced, but the reinforcements are all a shade worse than the sit-pat draft option. If you like Kingsley Enagbare or Josh PAscal more than Thomas, I get it and wouldn't quibble at one of those guys instead. Logan Hall, too. Pitre is such a screaming perfect fit for KC's D. Carter is a great physical talent you can dream about coaching up. Williams' utility is known and gives them a true RE option to pair against their higher-drafted bigger guy. Watson is a developmental corner. I don't love it. I think Pitre makes the secondary a lot better and makes it easier to move on from Thornhill after 22. They have improved the defensive rotation, though one of the DEs would need to outperform expectations in Year 1 to get it to the same level as Scenario 1. In all, giving up the 2 extra selections in the top 4 rounds hurts the depth you can build, but I think it's more like what KC will do. Scenario 3: Same movements as #2 1.13 | Jermaine Johnson II, DE, Florida State. 2.35 | Christian Watson, WR, North Dakota State. 2.50 | Sam Williams, DE, Ole Miss. 3.69 | Bryan Cook, S, Cincinnati. 3.85 | Martin Emerson, CB, Miss. State. 4.135 | Braxton Jones, T, Southern Utah Scenario 3 Debrief: This is the type of situation where I see KC paying the price to move up... if Johnson falls this far, I'd be shocked if KC isn't aggressively moving up. With this run, I take a risky but high upside WR in Watson (but you could sub in Pickens or Jahan Dotson or Tolbert or Metchie or Skyy Moore or really any of those tier 2 guys here if you prefer). The secondary reinforcements aren't flashy but are good fits. In this one, I think the plan has to become adding either another safety or corner in free agency before the season. Ideally, it's someone who can handle the slot and let Sneed thriver on the outside. The DL gets a major boost and some potential star power in Johnson and Williams, and the OL gets another T option and potential long-term starter to develop. Having completed the exercise and looking at the scenariors, I like the first one the most. But it really does come down to how the board breaks. Older mocks
Spoiler!
Last edited by duncan_idaho; 04-15-2022 at 10:36 AM.. |
Posts: 21,156
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04-12-2022, 11:25 PM | #901 | |
Mahomosapien
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: the great white north
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Quote:
I love it, but i dont think olave makes it that deep. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk |
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Posts: 6,041
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04-13-2022, 12:34 AM | #902 | |
The Boom Boom Room
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Far Beyond Comprehension
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Posts: 42,161
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04-13-2022, 12:53 AM | #903 |
SuperBowl or bust
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: BF Iowa
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Yeah….that PFN mock simulator isn’t terribly accurate…
KC 29. Garrett Wilson WR Ohio State KC 30. Chris Olave WR Ohio State KC 50. David Ojabo EDGE Michigan KC 62. Drake Jackson EDGE USC KC 94. Sam Williams EDGE Mississippi KC 103. Cam Taylor-Britt CB Nebraska KC 121. Bryan Cook S Cincinnati KC 135. Darrian Beavers LB Cincinnati KC 233. D.J. Davidson DT Arizona State KC 243. Dylan Parham OG Memphis KC 251. D'Marco Jackson LB Appalachian State KC 259. Spencer Burford OT UTSA |
Posts: 47,174
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04-13-2022, 05:53 AM | #904 |
M-I-Z-Z-O-U
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Kansas City
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PFN is way out of date at this point. Its predictive board needs an update. Sure is basically unusable right now.
But Chris Olave would be a great addition for KC, if that’s the route they take. Very classic Andy Reid receiver whose best comps are Jeremy Maclin and Terry McLaurin. Yeah, I can see KC liking that option if he is available in the low 20s… |
Posts: 21,156
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04-13-2022, 06:30 AM | #905 | |
Generational Player
Join Date: May 2017
Location: Honolulu
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Quote:
Olave is just a good player. If we end up with him or Burks and then Shakir later I will be pumped. |
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Posts: 2,405
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04-13-2022, 09:25 AM | #906 |
Most Valuable Villain
Join Date: Dec 2006
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I think the Draft Network has a better board at this point.
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Posts: 92,299
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04-13-2022, 09:26 AM | #907 |
Sauntering Vaguely Downwards
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Columbia, Mo
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04-13-2022, 09:28 AM | #908 |
Most Valuable Villain
Join Date: Dec 2006
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Posts: 92,299
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04-13-2022, 09:37 AM | #909 |
Most Valuable Villain
Join Date: Dec 2006
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Using TDN.
29. David Ojabo, EDGE, Michigan 30. Treylon Burks, WR, Arkansas 50. Cameron Thomas, EDGE, San Diego State 62. Travis Jones, IDL, UConn 94. Sam Williams, EDGE, Ole Miss 103. Greg Dulcich, TE, UCLA 121. Zyon McCollum, CB, Sam Houston State 135. Max Mitchell, OT, Louisiana 233. Sam Webb, CB, Missouri Western 243. Smoke Monday, S, Auburn 251. Kevin Austin Jr., WR, Notre Dame |
Posts: 92,299
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04-13-2022, 10:40 AM | #910 |
SuperBowl or bust
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: BF Iowa
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This is close to best case scenario
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Posts: 47,174
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04-13-2022, 11:19 AM | #911 |
#RIPAce
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: So Cal
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Did a full draft on PFN:
Traded #29 and #50 to Seattle for #40 and #41. #30: Devonte Wyatt, DL, Georgia #40: David Ojabo, EDGE, Michigan #41: George Pickens, WR, Georgia Traded #62, #94, and #135 to Baltimore for #45 #45: Kaiir Elam, CB, Florida #56: Cameron Thomas, EDGE, SDSU Traded #121 and #259 to Dallas? for #127 and #170 #127: Dominique Robinson, EDGE, Miami (OH) #170: Abram Smith, RB, SMU #233: Logan Bruss, OL, Wisconsin #243: Tycen Andersen, S, Toledo |
Posts: 17,326
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04-13-2022, 09:10 PM | #912 |
MVP
Join Date: Jan 2013
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PFN 7rd draft
KC 30. Devonte Wyatt DT Georgia KC 50. Kyler Gordon CB Washington KC 62. Cameron Thomas EDGE San Diego State KC 66. Jalen Tolbert WR South Alabama trade icon KC 93. Kenneth Walker III RB Michigan State trade icon KC 98. Isaiah Thomas EDGE Oklahoma trade icon KC 103. Zachary Carter DT Florida KC 121. Erik Ezukanma WR Texas Tech KC 233. Josh Blackwell CB Duke KC 243. Logan Bruss OT Wisconsin KC 251. Velus Jones Jr. WR Tennessee KC 261. Jeremiah Moon LB Florida trade icon 2023 DAL 2nd 2023 DAL 3rd 2023 DET 4th 2023 NO 7th |
Posts: 12,726
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04-13-2022, 09:22 PM | #913 |
Rufus Dawes Jr.
Join Date: Aug 2000
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If the Chiefs want a WR they are going to have to move up IMO.
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Posts: 17,386
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04-14-2022, 12:31 AM | #914 |
Veteran
Join Date: Feb 2018
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I'm not sure I agree. Of what is probably the consensus top 8 WRs (Wilson, London, Olave, Williams, Burks, Dotson, Moore, Pickens), I can't see them all getting taken in the first 28?
I can see the Chiefs being left with 1-2 of Burks, Dotson, Moore, Pickens to choose from at 29, so I really think it depends on how they rate those 4. |
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04-14-2022, 01:19 AM | #915 | |
MVP
Join Date: Jan 2015
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