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11-23-2021, 12:45 PM | |
M-I-Z-Z-O-U
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Kansas City
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*** 2022 Mock Draft Megathread ***
Got a mock? Pop it in this thread. Include a picture if you want. Explain your reasoning if you want. Talk about your crushes... if you want.
See a good "pro" mock? Link it up in here and I'll add it to the OP. Duncan's latest mock Site The Draft Network This mock seems to be the most accurate site right now, so I go with this one. I don't pay for it, so no trades here. The plan is for this to be my last mock. I'm going to do it differently, though. I'm running 3 scenarios, and eschewing the 7th round picks, which I would use on a big swings on athleticism and potential. Lotto tickets. James Houston IV is one of them. Note: I used PFF to simulate the trade action, then manually backed up in the 2 "trade" drafts to make selections. Laborious, but gives you best of both worlds, IMO. I think PFF's trade tool is the best, but its board is whack. Draft slot: 29 Scenario 1: The Chiefs sit pat with their picks and don't make any moves at all. Seems the least likely, but hey... 1.29 | George Karlaftis, DE, Purdue. 1.30 | Boye Mafe, DE, Minnesota. 2.50 | George Pickens, WR, Georgia. 2.62 | Travis Jones, DT, UConn. 3.94 | Zyon McCollum, CB, Sam Houston State. 3.103(Comp for Poles) | Troy Andersen, LB, Montana State. 4.121 | Coby Bryant, CB, Cincinnati. 4.135 | Velus Jones, Jr., Tennessee Scenario 1 Debrief: So, sitting and waiting to see what comes to me was pretty successful here. The Chiefs FLOOD the defensive line with reinforcements, including at least 1 ready-made starter and two guys who should - at minimum - be in 50/50 rotations at their spots by year end. The Chiefs still get a big outside WR with tantalizing potential. They add some crazy athletic small-school guys, and a mid-round corner who just fits in the system, and a dynamo return man who might be more at WR. This looks pretty good. Though I have a hard time believing Karlaftis just falls to 29... Scenario 2: The Chiefs get aggressive and trade up. But for what? In this case, let's go wide receiver. In this run, Kansas City trades picks 29, 62, and a 2023 3rd to Houston for pick 13 and a 2023 4th, because they ARE as obsessed with a WR as people expect and are aggressive to go get him when the board falls right. They then trade BACK from 30 to 35 with the Jets, also including pick 94 in order to get 69 back. Then, last but not least, KC gets aggressive one more time and moves 103 and 121 for 85 from New England, leaving the Chiefs with 6 picks in the first four rounds. 1.13 | Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama. 2.35 | Cam Thomas, DE, San Diego State. 2.50 | Jalen Pitre, S, Baylor. 3.69 | Zachary Carter, DT, Florida. 3.85 | Sam Williams, DE, Ole Miss. 4.135 | Jaylen Watson, CB, Washington State Scenario 2 Debrief: I'm not saying KC should do this or even that I think they will (more on that in a few minutes). I'm just saying, man, what will it look like if the Chiefs get aggressive a few times AND are doing the big move for a WR? In this scenario, KC obviously believes Williams is a game-changer at the NFL level and is taking a small 2022 hit to make 2023+ better. The defensive line still gets reinforced, but the reinforcements are all a shade worse than the sit-pat draft option. If you like Kingsley Enagbare or Josh PAscal more than Thomas, I get it and wouldn't quibble at one of those guys instead. Logan Hall, too. Pitre is such a screaming perfect fit for KC's D. Carter is a great physical talent you can dream about coaching up. Williams' utility is known and gives them a true RE option to pair against their higher-drafted bigger guy. Watson is a developmental corner. I don't love it. I think Pitre makes the secondary a lot better and makes it easier to move on from Thornhill after 22. They have improved the defensive rotation, though one of the DEs would need to outperform expectations in Year 1 to get it to the same level as Scenario 1. In all, giving up the 2 extra selections in the top 4 rounds hurts the depth you can build, but I think it's more like what KC will do. Scenario 3: Same movements as #2 1.13 | Jermaine Johnson II, DE, Florida State. 2.35 | Christian Watson, WR, North Dakota State. 2.50 | Sam Williams, DE, Ole Miss. 3.69 | Bryan Cook, S, Cincinnati. 3.85 | Martin Emerson, CB, Miss. State. 4.135 | Braxton Jones, T, Southern Utah Scenario 3 Debrief: This is the type of situation where I see KC paying the price to move up... if Johnson falls this far, I'd be shocked if KC isn't aggressively moving up. With this run, I take a risky but high upside WR in Watson (but you could sub in Pickens or Jahan Dotson or Tolbert or Metchie or Skyy Moore or really any of those tier 2 guys here if you prefer). The secondary reinforcements aren't flashy but are good fits. In this one, I think the plan has to become adding either another safety or corner in free agency before the season. Ideally, it's someone who can handle the slot and let Sneed thriver on the outside. The DL gets a major boost and some potential star power in Johnson and Williams, and the OL gets another T option and potential long-term starter to develop. Having completed the exercise and looking at the scenariors, I like the first one the most. But it really does come down to how the board breaks. Older mocks
Spoiler!
Last edited by duncan_idaho; 04-15-2022 at 10:36 AM.. |
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03-31-2022, 10:16 AM | #631 |
'Tis my eye!
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Chiefsplanet
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Posts: 100,022
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03-31-2022, 10:29 AM | #632 | |
Most Valuable Villain
Join Date: Dec 2006
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Quote:
I'm a huge fan of Thornhill but I'm not sure that Spags is at this point. |
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03-31-2022, 10:31 AM | #633 |
'Tis my eye!
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Chiefsplanet
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Posts: 100,022
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03-31-2022, 10:31 AM | #634 |
Andy Reid Supporter
Join Date: Apr 2012
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I think the theme of this draft is a complete replenishing of the defense, particularly the DL and secondary.
I think we could be looking at multiple DL, multiple DB’s and a WR with our first 5 picks. But again I wouldn’t be shocked to see Andy use one of these extra picks on a RT if a good one is available |
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03-31-2022, 10:36 AM | #635 |
Andy Reid Supporter
Join Date: Apr 2012
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The closer we get to the draft the more I believe we’re going defense with both 1st rd picks.
Also would not be surprised if we got Bradberry and drafted a good corner at 29 or 30. With WR and DE runs happening it really opens up a ton of value for corners at the end of the first. |
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03-31-2022, 10:46 AM | #636 | |
Most Valuable Villain
Join Date: Dec 2006
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Quote:
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03-31-2022, 10:50 AM | #637 | |
Starter
Join Date: Jan 2018
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Quote:
I am basing my opinion on pre injury Juan Thornhill though |
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03-31-2022, 10:53 AM | #638 | |
SuperBowl or bust
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: BF Iowa
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Quote:
I’m sure he’s looking at the next 2 seasons when he’s making these early picks. |
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03-31-2022, 12:06 PM | #639 |
Rookie
Join Date: Aug 2019
Location: Manhattan, KS
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Sim I just ran. Sign me up if it falls this way!
30. Devonte Wyatt DT Georgia KC 43. David Ojabo EDGE Michigan trade icon KC 50. George Pickens WR Georgia KC 58. Jalen Pitre S Baylor trade icon KC 62. Kyler Gordon CB Washington KC 94. Quay Walker LB Georgia KC 103. Jalyn Armour-Davis CB Alabama KC 121. Braxton Jones OT Southern Utah KC 135. Charlie Kolar TE Iowa State KC 233. Jack Sanborn LB Wisconsin KC 243. Ty Chandler RB North Carolina KC 251. Velus Jones Jr. WR Tennessee |
Posts: 13
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03-31-2022, 12:07 PM | #640 | |
MVP
Join Date: May 2001
Location: midtown KC
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Quote:
But I've been really surprised a lot lately, so who knows? |
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03-31-2022, 12:08 PM | #641 |
'Tis my eye!
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Chiefsplanet
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At the end of the day, I think Bradberry ends up a Chief.
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03-31-2022, 12:11 PM | #642 |
Most Valuable Villain
Join Date: Dec 2006
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03-31-2022, 12:17 PM | #643 |
M-I-Z-Z-O-U
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Kansas City
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Only way I see them going DB in round 1 is IF they go with a safety. Brisker, Hill, and Pitre all offer some reasonable and logical value there.
I just don't see CB, unless both the Bradberry and the Gilmore plans fall through, and I can't see why they both would. First four picks (if they keep all 1st and 2nd picks) are going to be some combination of: (1) WR + (1) DT + (1-2 DE) + (1 S) I'm confident it's going to be at least 1 WR and at least one DE, so basically I guess we're looking at: WR, DE, DE, S WR, DE, DE, DT WR, DE, DT, S Going to be fun. Lot of exciting options there. |
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03-31-2022, 12:28 PM | #644 |
SuperBowl or bust
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: BF Iowa
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Evidently we’re the only ones offering draft pick compensation.
I’d like to know how those conversations go and how they decide how much cap is worth what pick. I’d be ok sending a 4th and getting a 5th back if they eat half that salary. |
Posts: 47,171
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03-31-2022, 03:14 PM | #645 |
Starter
Join Date: Jan 2018
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The edges I liked in this draft kept getting taken right in front of me. It's hard for me to not take a DE with on of the first two picks
29. Kansas City Chiefs Treylon Burks WR, Arkansas 30. Kansas City Chiefs Perrion Winfrey IDL, Oklahoma 50. Kansas City Chiefs Roger McCreary CB, Auburn 62. Kansas City Chiefs Kingsley Enagbare EDGE, South Carolina 94. Kansas City Chiefs JoJo Domann LB, Nebraska 103. Kansas City Chiefs Wan'Dale Robinson WR, Kentucky 121. Kansas City Chiefs Cordell Volson OT, North Dakota State 135. Kansas City Chiefs Alex Wright EDGE, UAB 233. Kansas City Chiefs Amaré Barno EDGE, Virginia Tech 243. Kansas City Chiefs Jermaine Waller CB, Virginia Tech 251. Kansas City Chiefs Keaontay Ingram RB, USC |
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