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#46 |
Supporter
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Who knows?
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Posts: 83,749
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#47 |
SuperBowl or bust
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: BF Iowa
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Am I the only one that sees getting reeruned and opening back up?
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Posts: 47,191
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#48 |
Herm is the worst...horrible
Join Date: Sep 2000
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This lockdown only kicks the can down the road. Flattening the curve is a joke. It only flattens until people start going back to "normal". Spike is coming, unless you can find a livable middle-ground for the average Joe.. It would be better to just re-open business and continue w/ smart, mitigating actions and let it ride (maybe regulate the way businesses conduct themselves a bit). Some will die. No doubt. But until we start creating some immunity, this won't get better. If we keep this dumbass shelter-in-place approach, there will be a far worse fallout - and it will create problems that will last far longer than the threat of the stupid virus.
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Posts: 2,014
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#49 |
Banned
Join Date: Jan 2013
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Posts: 53,803
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#50 |
Banned
Join Date: Jan 2013
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Taiwan: Robot Fans Cheer at World’s First Baseball Game Since Pandemic
Taiwan became the first country worldwide to kick off the baseball season on Sunday, following the outbreak of the Chinese coronavirus, as new cases of the pandemic begin to plateau.
https://www.breitbart.com/national-s...ince-pandemic/ Apologies for the shit source but the story is true. Last edited by eDave; 04-15-2020 at 08:10 PM.. |
Posts: 53,803
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#51 |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Mar 2006
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Posts: 22,240
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#52 |
Suupraa Geniuuusss
Join Date: Jan 2019
Location: Phoenix, AZ
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Posts: 30,401
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#53 |
Admitted Planet Junky
Join Date: Oct 2000
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Posts: 19,245
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#54 |
MVP
Join Date: Dec 2012
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Why work for more than food
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Posts: 5,994
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#55 |
Hey Loochy, I'm hooome!
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: PooPooKaKaPeePeeShire
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Posts: 40,704
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#56 |
Banned
Join Date: Aug 2019
Location: central Cali
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So we start getting back to normal and BOOM!!!!!!!! it's back worst than before, how about we wait until the first of June and see how things are going.
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Posts: 14,032
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#57 |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Jan 2016
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https://unherd.com/2020/04/how-likel...f-coronavirus/
This is an article that discusses the Imperial model and the CEBM model. They are both using data from other studies and their own models to predict the case fatality rate. The Imperial model, the genesis for the shutdown, now is predicting a 1% IFR/CFR and the CEBM model has it at .1 to .26. This would be for all ages. If we take the higher IFR of the Imperial College it would still be less or equal to the normal flu for those with no underlying condition under age 60. If you look at the CEBM model, it would be way less for younger healthier individuals, as there are very little deaths under age 40, and it would be about normal for older ages over age 60. Out of all the deaths in NY/NJ, it is under 200 the number that died that were less than 60 without an underlying conditions. The article goes through the reasons for the modeling as well. It's a good read. To be clear, I'm not saying we did the wrong thing by the actions we took. At the time the CFR/IFR was thought to be 3.6%. A lot of folks are worried when they think they think 3-4 people out of every 100 will die. However, they live more normally when the actual number is 1-2 out of 1000 like the flu... The next few weeks, along with additional data, will give us a clearer picture, but for now most model shows it way better than most thought 5-6 weeks ago. |
Posts: 27,028
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#58 |
Suupraa Geniuuusss
Join Date: Jan 2019
Location: Phoenix, AZ
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What are you talking about? What's worse than before? Not the virus. At least not here in AZ. Still flattening out. No way we're waiting until June to open things up again.
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Posts: 30,401
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#59 | |
Banned
Join Date: Aug 2019
Location: central Cali
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Quote:
Hell, I just heard 2022 until we could fix this shit....maybe. ****....in the dark,,,we are lost....is what is on tv right now as I type this. Last edited by Ubeja Vontell; 04-15-2020 at 09:44 PM.. |
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Posts: 14,032
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#60 | |
Suupraa Geniuuusss
Join Date: Jan 2019
Location: Phoenix, AZ
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Quote:
And when you look at the numbers there's no good reason to keep the country shut down completely for two more months. And honestly I don't think the country would recover from that. Too many businesses would be killed off, and too many families would be destroyed. We have to get things going again even if it's just on a partial basis. Otherwise the damage is going to be a lot more than the death toll from the virus. |
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Posts: 30,401
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