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11-23-2021, 12:45 PM | |
M-I-Z-Z-O-U
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Kansas City
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*** 2022 Mock Draft Megathread ***
Got a mock? Pop it in this thread. Include a picture if you want. Explain your reasoning if you want. Talk about your crushes... if you want.
See a good "pro" mock? Link it up in here and I'll add it to the OP. Duncan's latest mock Site The Draft Network This mock seems to be the most accurate site right now, so I go with this one. I don't pay for it, so no trades here. The plan is for this to be my last mock. I'm going to do it differently, though. I'm running 3 scenarios, and eschewing the 7th round picks, which I would use on a big swings on athleticism and potential. Lotto tickets. James Houston IV is one of them. Note: I used PFF to simulate the trade action, then manually backed up in the 2 "trade" drafts to make selections. Laborious, but gives you best of both worlds, IMO. I think PFF's trade tool is the best, but its board is whack. Draft slot: 29 Scenario 1: The Chiefs sit pat with their picks and don't make any moves at all. Seems the least likely, but hey... 1.29 | George Karlaftis, DE, Purdue. 1.30 | Boye Mafe, DE, Minnesota. 2.50 | George Pickens, WR, Georgia. 2.62 | Travis Jones, DT, UConn. 3.94 | Zyon McCollum, CB, Sam Houston State. 3.103(Comp for Poles) | Troy Andersen, LB, Montana State. 4.121 | Coby Bryant, CB, Cincinnati. 4.135 | Velus Jones, Jr., Tennessee Scenario 1 Debrief: So, sitting and waiting to see what comes to me was pretty successful here. The Chiefs FLOOD the defensive line with reinforcements, including at least 1 ready-made starter and two guys who should - at minimum - be in 50/50 rotations at their spots by year end. The Chiefs still get a big outside WR with tantalizing potential. They add some crazy athletic small-school guys, and a mid-round corner who just fits in the system, and a dynamo return man who might be more at WR. This looks pretty good. Though I have a hard time believing Karlaftis just falls to 29... Scenario 2: The Chiefs get aggressive and trade up. But for what? In this case, let's go wide receiver. In this run, Kansas City trades picks 29, 62, and a 2023 3rd to Houston for pick 13 and a 2023 4th, because they ARE as obsessed with a WR as people expect and are aggressive to go get him when the board falls right. They then trade BACK from 30 to 35 with the Jets, also including pick 94 in order to get 69 back. Then, last but not least, KC gets aggressive one more time and moves 103 and 121 for 85 from New England, leaving the Chiefs with 6 picks in the first four rounds. 1.13 | Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama. 2.35 | Cam Thomas, DE, San Diego State. 2.50 | Jalen Pitre, S, Baylor. 3.69 | Zachary Carter, DT, Florida. 3.85 | Sam Williams, DE, Ole Miss. 4.135 | Jaylen Watson, CB, Washington State Scenario 2 Debrief: I'm not saying KC should do this or even that I think they will (more on that in a few minutes). I'm just saying, man, what will it look like if the Chiefs get aggressive a few times AND are doing the big move for a WR? In this scenario, KC obviously believes Williams is a game-changer at the NFL level and is taking a small 2022 hit to make 2023+ better. The defensive line still gets reinforced, but the reinforcements are all a shade worse than the sit-pat draft option. If you like Kingsley Enagbare or Josh PAscal more than Thomas, I get it and wouldn't quibble at one of those guys instead. Logan Hall, too. Pitre is such a screaming perfect fit for KC's D. Carter is a great physical talent you can dream about coaching up. Williams' utility is known and gives them a true RE option to pair against their higher-drafted bigger guy. Watson is a developmental corner. I don't love it. I think Pitre makes the secondary a lot better and makes it easier to move on from Thornhill after 22. They have improved the defensive rotation, though one of the DEs would need to outperform expectations in Year 1 to get it to the same level as Scenario 1. In all, giving up the 2 extra selections in the top 4 rounds hurts the depth you can build, but I think it's more like what KC will do. Scenario 3: Same movements as #2 1.13 | Jermaine Johnson II, DE, Florida State. 2.35 | Christian Watson, WR, North Dakota State. 2.50 | Sam Williams, DE, Ole Miss. 3.69 | Bryan Cook, S, Cincinnati. 3.85 | Martin Emerson, CB, Miss. State. 4.135 | Braxton Jones, T, Southern Utah Scenario 3 Debrief: This is the type of situation where I see KC paying the price to move up... if Johnson falls this far, I'd be shocked if KC isn't aggressively moving up. With this run, I take a risky but high upside WR in Watson (but you could sub in Pickens or Jahan Dotson or Tolbert or Metchie or Skyy Moore or really any of those tier 2 guys here if you prefer). The secondary reinforcements aren't flashy but are good fits. In this one, I think the plan has to become adding either another safety or corner in free agency before the season. Ideally, it's someone who can handle the slot and let Sneed thriver on the outside. The DL gets a major boost and some potential star power in Johnson and Williams, and the OL gets another T option and potential long-term starter to develop. Having completed the exercise and looking at the scenariors, I like the first one the most. But it really does come down to how the board breaks. Older mocks
Spoiler!
Last edited by duncan_idaho; 04-15-2022 at 10:36 AM.. |
Posts: 21,157
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03-29-2022, 09:10 AM | #541 | |
'Tis my eye!
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Chiefsplanet
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Quote:
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Posts: 100,022
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03-29-2022, 09:15 AM | #542 |
Most Valuable Villain
Join Date: Dec 2006
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Posts: 92,300
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03-29-2022, 09:33 AM | #543 | |
SuperBowl or bust
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: BF Iowa
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Quote:
It’s nowhere near a lock he goes in the first, even if he falls to us. |
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Posts: 47,174
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03-29-2022, 10:18 AM | #544 | |
Colorado Chief Fan
Join Date: Feb 2006
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Quote:
What did we have to give up in the trade up from 30 to a second 29? |
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Posts: 5,589
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03-29-2022, 10:26 AM | #545 |
Most Valuable Villain
Join Date: Dec 2006
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Posts: 92,300
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03-29-2022, 10:38 AM | #546 |
Colorado Chief Fan
Join Date: Feb 2006
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Posts: 5,589
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03-29-2022, 11:08 AM | #547 |
Sauntering Vaguely Downwards
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Columbia, Mo
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Posts: 60,798
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1 0 |
03-29-2022, 11:22 AM | #548 | |
'Tis my eye!
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Chiefsplanet
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Quote:
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Posts: 100,022
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03-29-2022, 11:27 AM | #549 |
SuperBowl or bust
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: BF Iowa
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To the ship
29. Andrew Booth Jr. CB Clemson KC 30. David Ojabo EDGE Michigan KC 50. Boye Mafe EDGE Minnesota KC 62. Skyy Moore WR Western Michigan KC 94. Calvin Austin III WR Memphis KC 103. Matthew Butler DT Tennessee KC 121. James Cook RB Georgia KC 135. Troy Andersen LB Montana State KC 233. Olakunle Fatukasi LB Rutgers KC 243. Zach VanValkenburg EDGE Iowa KC 251. Spencer Burford OT UTSA KC 259. Nasir Greer |
Posts: 47,174
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03-29-2022, 11:52 AM | #550 | |
SuperBowl or bust
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: BF Iowa
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Quote:
How many WRs have been drafted in the first round that run a 40 in what many think would be 4.6-4.7 and a well below average 3-cone? Not many that didn’t end up total busts…a few of those busts came from USC, too. Him not running the critical tests in the pre draft process is a HUGE red flag. Half the linebackers in the NFL are legit faster than him. |
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Posts: 47,174
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03-29-2022, 12:04 PM | #551 |
SuperBowl or bust
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: BF Iowa
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Speaking of guys that are unlikely to fall to us…
29. Jordan Davis DT Georgia KC 30. David Ojabo EDGE Michigan KC 50. Jaquan Brisker S Penn State KC 62. John Metchie III WR Alabama KC 94. Calvin Austin III WR Memphis KC 103. James Cook RB Georgia KC 121. Zyon McCollum CB Sam Houston State KC 135. Jeffrey Gunter EDGE Coastal Carolina KC 233. Ali Fayad EDGE Western Michigan KC 243. Jermaine Waller CB Virginia Tech KC 251. Thomas Booker DT Stanford KC 259. Jeremiah Moon |
Posts: 47,174
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03-29-2022, 03:27 PM | #552 |
SuperBowl or bust
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: BF Iowa
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Who’s this guy that fell to us? This draft might force us to bring Ingram back, but damn the upside is quite possibly one of the best drafts the Chiefs have ever had.
29. Jameson Williams WR Alabama KC 30. David Ojabo EDGE Michigan KC 50. Devonte Wyatt DT Georgia KC 62. Skyy Moore WR Western Michigan KC 94. Jalyn Armour-Davis CB Alabama KC 103. James Cook RB Georgia KC 121. Dominique Robinson EDGE Miami-Oh KC 135. Alontae Taylor CB Tennessee KC 233. Scott Nelson S Wisconsin KC 243. Kana'i Mauga LB USC KC 251. Jeremiah Gemmel LB North Carolina KC 259. Jeremiah Moon |
Posts: 47,174
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03-29-2022, 04:42 PM | #553 |
Go Chiefs!
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Michigan
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I decided to do a defense-heavy draft but leave some room for a couple of offensive players. I also traded the first pick to grab a couple of additional picks.
Lewis Cine S Georgia KC 36. David Ojabo EDGE Michigan trade icon KC 50. Boye Mafe EDGE Minnesota KC 62. Christian Watson WR North Dakota State KC 81. Brian Asamoah II LB Oklahoma trade icon KC 94. Logan Hall DT Houston KC 103. Zyon McCollum CB Sam Houston State KC 121. Pierre Strong Jr. RB South Dakota State KC 135. Wan'Dale Robinson WR Kentucky |
Posts: 2,946
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03-29-2022, 05:43 PM | #554 |
SuperBowl or bust
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: BF Iowa
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Puts a good quality player at almost every need position. Might need to get Ingram on the line, though. To play while Okaboji rehab.
29. Daxton Hill S Michigan KC 30. Kaiir Elam CB Florida KC 50. David Ojabo EDGE Michigan KC 62. Arnold Ebiketie EDGE Penn State KC 94. John Metchie III WR Alabama KC 103. Jalyn Armour-Davis CB Alabama KC 121. Calvin Austin III WR Memphis KC 135. Chris Hinton DT Michigan KC 233. Olakunle Fatukasi LB Rutgers KC 243. Eyioma Uwazurike DT Iowa State KC 251. Jermaine Waller CB Virginia Tech KC 259. Jeremiah Gemmel |
Posts: 47,174
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03-29-2022, 08:09 PM | #555 |
Tossed Salad & Scrambled Eggs
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: ATX & OPKS
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I started flip-flopping between TDN, PFN, and PFF's mock draft modules to keep me from getting too set on any guys.
Example - I love Burks, and I keep getting him at 29 with PFN, but in doing PFF's last night for the first time, Green Bay or New England typically took him at 21/22. I really just don't know what to believe, and I don't envy Veach or the scouts having to make these projections. It's one thing to kick ass at player analysis, it's an entirely different thing figuring out how to play the board. |
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