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05-15-2020, 06:21 PM | #31171 |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Oct 2007
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Posts: 50,807
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05-15-2020, 06:24 PM | #31172 |
Mahomes: We Are All Witnesses
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Miami, FL
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Posts: 43,054
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05-15-2020, 06:26 PM | #31173 |
Starter
Join Date: Jun 2019
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Posts: 574
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05-15-2020, 06:43 PM | #31174 |
Mod Team
Join Date: Sep 2011
Location: Valley of the hot as ****
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Posts: 46,123
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05-15-2020, 06:43 PM | #31175 |
Would an idiot do that?
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Arizona
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05-15-2020, 06:46 PM | #31176 |
New and Improved
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Springfield, Mo.
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Posts: 21,957
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05-15-2020, 06:47 PM | #31177 |
sorta mod-ish
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: KC North
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I check the last page of this thread from time to time, because that's really all my interest in here has waned to. I'm thinking I'm not even that interested anymore.
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Posts: 103,564
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05-15-2020, 06:50 PM | #31178 |
Inmem 2.0
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: My house
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Posts: 76,462
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05-15-2020, 06:54 PM | #31179 |
Kind of a mod
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Donkey Land
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There's some promising news about an antibody treatment. That's about all that's worth knowing from today.
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Posts: 52,469
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05-15-2020, 07:01 PM | #31180 | |
Now you've pissed me off!
Join Date: Jan 2006
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Quote:
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05-15-2020, 07:02 PM | #31181 |
Starter
Join Date: Jun 2019
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Posts: 574
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05-15-2020, 07:04 PM | #31182 |
Now you've pissed me off!
Join Date: Jan 2006
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I thought the results from the Science study I linked llate last night showed some really positive things, namely that the lockdowns were able to reduce R0 well below 1. That proves that even in the absence of therapy we can use the hammer and the dance to stop the spread of the disease and that initiating shelter in place orders was not a waste of time. They saved thousands and thousands of lives.
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Posts: 74,970
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05-15-2020, 07:15 PM | #31183 | |
Sexiest Athlete
Join Date: Apr 2001
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Quote:
It is because boneheads like 88 can't figure simple shit like that out on their own. |
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05-15-2020, 07:20 PM | #31184 |
Inmem 2.0
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: My house
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Posts: 76,462
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05-15-2020, 07:33 PM | #31185 |
Now you've pissed me off!
Join Date: Jan 2006
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For the, "COVID deaths are overreported," crowd:
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...rticle/2766121 As of early May 2020, approximately 65 000 people in the US had died of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19),1 the disease caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). This number appears to be similar to the estimated number of seasonal influenza deaths reported annually by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) The root of such incorrect comparisons may be a knowledge gap regarding how seasonal influenza and COVID-19 data are publicly reported. The CDC, like many similar disease control agencies around the world, presents seasonal influenza morbidity and mortality not as raw counts but as calculated estimates based on submitted International Classification of Diseases codes.2 Between 2013-2014 and 2018-2019, the reported yearly estimated influenza deaths ranged from 23 000 to 61 000.3 Over that same time period, however, the number of counted influenza deaths was between 3448 and 15 620 yearly.4 On average, the CDC estimates of deaths attributed to influenza were nearly 6 times greater than its reported counted numbers. Conversely, COVID-19 fatalities are at present being counted and reported directly, not estimated. As a result, the more valid comparison would be to compare weekly counts of COVID-19 deaths to weekly counts of seasonal influenza deaths. During the week ending April 21, 2020, 15 455 COVID-19 counted deaths were reported in the US.5 The reported number of counted deaths from the previous week, ending April 14, was 14 478. By contrast, according to the CDC, counted deaths during the peak week of the influenza seasons from 2013-2014 to 2019-2020 ranged from 351 (2015-2016, week 11 of 2016) to 1626 (2017-2018, week 3 of 2018).6 The mean number of counted deaths during the peak week of influenza seasons from 2013-2020 was 752.4 (95% CI, 558.8-946.1).7 These statistics on counted deaths suggest that the number of COVID-19 deaths for the week ending April 21 was 9.5-fold to 44.1-fold greater than the peak week of counted influenza deaths during the past 7 influenza seasons in the US, with a 20.5-fold mean increase (95% CI, 16.3-27.7).5,6 The ratios we present are more clinically consistent with frontline conditions than ratios that compare COVID-19 fatality counts and estimated seasonal influenza deaths. Based on the figure of approximately 60 000 COVID-19 deaths in the US as of the end of April 2020, this ratio suggests only a 1.0-fold to 2.6-fold change from the CDC-estimated seasonal influenza deaths calculated during the previous 7 full seasons.3 From our analysis, we infer that either the CDC’s annual estimates substantially overstate the actual number of deaths caused by influenza or that the current number of COVID-19 counted deaths substantially understates the actual number of deaths caused by SARS-CoV-2, or both. |
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