***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***

[JakeF]

A couple of reminders...

Originally Posted by Bwana

Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.

Originally Posted by Dartgod

People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.

We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.

Thanks!

Click here for the original OP:

Spoiler!

Apparently the CoronaVirus can survive on a inanimate objects, such as door knobs, for 9 days.

California coronavirus case could be first spread within U.S. community, CDC says
By SOUMYA KARLAMANGLA, JACLYN COSGROVE
FEB. 26, 2020 8:04 PM

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is investigating what could be the first case of novel coronavirus in the United States involving a patient in California who neither recently traveled out of the country nor was in contact with someone who did.

“At this time, the patient’s exposure is unknown. It’s possible this could be an instance of community spread of COVID-19, which would be the first time this has happened in the United States,” the CDC said in a statement. “Community spread means spread of an illness for which the source of infection is unknown. It’s also possible, however, that the patient may have been exposed to a returned traveler who was infected.”

The individual is a resident of Solano County and is receiving medical care in Sacramento County, according to the state Department of Public Health.

The CDC said the “case was detected through the U.S. public health system — picked up by astute clinicians.”

Officials at UC Davis Medical Center expanded on what the federal agency might have meant by that in an email sent Wednesday, as reported by the Davis Enterprise newspaper.

The patient arrived at UC Davis Medical Center from another hospital Feb. 19 and “had already been intubated, was on a ventilator, and given droplet protection orders because of an undiagnosed and suspected viral condition,” according to an email sent by UC Davis officials that was obtained by the Davis Enterprise.

The staff at UC Davis requested COVID-19 testing by the CDC, but because the patient didn’t fit the CDC’s existing criteria for the virus, a test wasn’t immediately administered, according to the email. The CDC then ordered the test Sunday, and results were announced Wednesday. Hospital administrators reportedly said in the email that despite these issues, there has been minimal exposure at the hospital because of safety protocols they have in place.

A UC Davis Health spokesperson declined Wednesday evening to share the email with The Times.

Since Feb. 2, more than 8,400 returning travelers from China have entered California, according to the state health department. They have been advised to self-quarantine for 14 days and limit interactions with others as much as possible, officials said.

“This is a new virus, and while we are still learning about it, there is a lot we already know,” Dr. Sonia Angell, director of the California Department of Public Health, said in a statement. “We have been anticipating the potential for such a case in the U.S., and given our close familial, social and business relationships with China, it is not unexpected that the first case in the U.S. would be in California.”

It is not clear how the person became infected, but public health workers could not identify any contacts with people who had traveled to China or other areas where the virus is widespread. That raises concern that the virus is spreading in the United States, creating a challenge for public health officials, experts say.

“It’s the first signal that we could be having silent transmission in the community,” said Lawrence Gostin, director of the World Health Organization Collaborating Center on National and Global Health Law. “It probably means there are many more cases out there, and it probably means this individual has infected others, and now it’s a race to try to find out who that person has infected.”

On Tuesday, the CDC offered its most serious warning to date that the United States should expect and prepare for the coronavirus to become a more widespread health issue.

“Ultimately, we expect we will see coronavirus spread in this country,” said Nancy Messonnier, director of the CDC’s National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases. “It’s not so much a question of if, but a question of when.”

According to the CDC’s latest count Wednesday morning, 59 U.S. residents have tested positive for the new strain of coronavirus — 42 of whom are repatriated citizens from a Diamond Princess cruise. That number has grown by two since Messonnier’s last count Tuesday, although the CDC was not immediately available to offer details on the additional cases.

More than 82,000 cases of coronavirus have been reported globally, and more than 2,700 people have died, with the majority in mainland China, the epicenter of the outbreak.

But public health leaders have repeatedly reminded residents that the health risk from the novel coronavirus to the general public remains low.

“While COVID-19 has a high transmission rate, it has a low mortality rate,” the state Department of Public Health said in a statement Wednesday. “From the international data we have, of those who have tested positive for COVID-19, approximately 80% do not exhibit symptoms that would require hospitalization. There have been no confirmed deaths related to COVID-19 in the United States to date.”

CDC officials have also warned that although the virus is likely to spread in U.S. communities, the flu still poses a greater risk.

Gostin said the news of potential silent transmission does not eliminate the possibility of containing the virus in the U.S. and preventing an outbreak.

“There are few enough cases that we should at least try,” he said. “Most of us are not optimistic that that will be successful, but we’re still in the position to try.”

[DaFace]

Originally Posted by BleedingRed

It would also change the mortality rate dramatically/Hospitalization rate dramatically if that were true.

In which case we could adjust models accordingly

That would be true in a vacuum, but we already have two months of data that is being fed into the models, and so far IHME at least has performed pretty well. If anything, deaths are coming in above the forecasts these days, which doesn't suggest that there's evidence that the models are too alarmist.

[SAUTO]

Originally Posted by Rausch

Is that the same douche that predicted 2 million deaths in the US?

We're at over 70k deaths right now.

Do you really think it wouldn't be exponentially more had we done nothing?

[DaFace]

Originally Posted by O.city

But if it were spreading wild in say january or february, I'd think either we'd have noticed it or it's not the case.

Kind of like the "people getting reinfected" stuff, I kind of feel like the super early detections are in the realm of outliers for the time being. Maybe the tests were just faulty? Maybe there's some other related strain that's being picked up that wasn't spreading as quickly? I really have no idea, but it doesn't make enough sense for me to think we should be changing anything for now.

[dirk digler]

Originally Posted by TLO

Amazing information in regards to Missouri

https://health.mo.gov/living/healthc...ics-update.pdf

So this is showing potential COVID cases starting 2-1

[O.city]

Originally Posted by DaFace

Kind of like the "people getting reinfected" stuff, I kind of feel like the super early detections are in the realm of outliers for the time being. Maybe the tests were just faulty? Maybe there's some other related strain that's being picked up that wasn't spreading as quickly? I really have no idea, but it doesn't make enough sense for me to think we should be changing anything for now.

I posted a thread in here last night that pretty much ruled that out. So good news on that

[SAUTO]

One of my tool guy's 96 year old dad died 2 weeks ago in a nursing home.

Got pneumonia all of a sudden then started throwing blood clots 2 days later and died.

They wouldn't test him for covid...

[dirk digler]

Originally Posted by dirk digler

So this is showing potential COVID cases starting 2-1

Never mind on this, they chose a starting date of 2-1 and search for these symptoms shown below. How dumb


Symptom-based query using key words: “fever” and “cough” or “shortness of breath” or “difficulty breathing”

[dirk digler]

Originally Posted by SAUTO

One of my tool guy's 96 year old dad died 2 weeks ago in a nursing home.

Got pneumonia all of a sudden then started throwing blood clots 2 days later and died.

They wouldn't test him for covid...

Sounds like Covid to me.

[Monticore]

Originally Posted by SAUTO

One of my tool guy's 96 year old dad died 2 weeks ago in a nursing home.

Got pneumonia all of a sudden then started throwing blood clots 2 days later and died.

They wouldn't test him for covid...

I could understand 3 months ago but not testing 2 weeks ago seems odd. I understand because of his age it might not change treatment, but it would be nice to know.

[TLO]

MO DHSS Numbers Yesterday

Cases in Missouri: 8,916

Total Deaths: 377
(*There was a delay in the reporting of a number of deaths into the Missouri tracking system. In addition to the past 24 hours, the increase today includes some deaths that occurred between May 1-3.)

Patients tested in Missouri (by all labs): approximately 100,747
As of 2:00 p.m. CT, May 5

MO DHSS Numbers Today

Cases in Missouri: 9,102

Total Deaths: 396

Patients tested in Missouri (by all labs): approximately 100,747 (not yet updated for 5/6/20)

As of 2:00 p.m. CT, May 6

[TLO]

Originally Posted by sedated

What specifically?

Just a plethora of information.

[SAUTO]

Originally Posted by Bwana

Yep prices are going to go nuts.

My butcher guy called me a little while ago and is bringing me some more today because tomorrow morning it's going to 7 dollars a pound for ground beef

[Shiver Me Timbers]

Funny s**t
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fn8MxJx_erk
sorry if a Re.
still need to learn to imbed

[Monticore]

Originally Posted by Shiver Me Timbers

Funny s**t
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fn8MxJx_erk
sorry if a Re.
still need to learn to imbed

Nice.

[sedated]

Originally Posted by SAUTO

My butcher guy called me a little while ago and is bringing me some more today because tomorrow morning it's going to 7 dollars a pound for ground beef

Ground beef was almost $6/lb when I went this AM.