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04-29-2020, 09:13 AM | #25546 | |||
Supporter
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Hermosa, SD
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Quote:
Again, for the 3rd TIME: Quote:
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If your point is "well the official number is off" then You tell me what denominator you want to use. BUT, you should also adjust the numerator, as we know the deaths are an undercount as well by up to 20-30%, plus they are lagged by two weeks. Again, YOU made this claim that FLU deaths were higher for under 65 y/o's than COVID19. I am attempting to do the math on your claim for you. You haven't provided anything other than some generic hand waving at some links that you didn't actually run the numerical comparison on. The links you provide here are just again generic hand waving. They DO NOT include flu deaths by age group. They are also expressed as per 100k rather than as a percentage. But BASED on your own link you just provided, the deaths would be 128.84 (45-64 y/o) plus 14.3 (18-44) plus 0.0 (0-17)= 143.14 per 300k (the three groups added together). So divide 143.14/300000= .047% .047 percent there is the mortality rate for the ENTIRE population of NY City of under 65 year olds, whether they are infected or not. And even that number is DOUBLE the flu number. Let's face it, your idea that the flu is more deadly for under 65 was not well thought out. It's ok. Everyone makes mistakes. |
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04-29-2020, 09:16 AM | #25547 |
THIS .... IS... ARROWHEAD!!!!
Join Date: Mar 2016
Location: Houston, Tx
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04-29-2020, 09:19 AM | #25548 |
Mindful Taoist German
Join Date: Aug 2000
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04-29-2020, 09:20 AM | #25549 |
Kind of a mod
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Donkey Land
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04-29-2020, 09:21 AM | #25550 |
Mindful Taoist German
Join Date: Aug 2000
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Posts: 74,510
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04-29-2020, 09:22 AM | #25551 |
Supporter
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Hermosa, SD
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There is also the thought that if we reopen too quickly, or hastily without enough safeguards, that we will see a new spike and that will force everyone even further into their shells and delay a productive reopening even longer.
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04-29-2020, 09:22 AM | #25552 |
"Think BOOM!"
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: 33.675° N 106.475° W
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04-29-2020, 09:23 AM | #25553 |
Best Body On ChiefsPlanet
Join Date: Jan 2014
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Exactly there needs to be a middle ground and I think that's what our politicians are striving for.
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04-29-2020, 09:26 AM | #25554 |
THIS .... IS... ARROWHEAD!!!!
Join Date: Mar 2016
Location: Houston, Tx
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Posts: 27,653
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04-29-2020, 09:26 AM | #25555 |
Starter
Join Date: Jun 2019
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04-29-2020, 09:27 AM | #25556 |
Would an idiot do that?
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Arizona
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Or an American douche who studied abroad for a semester and now inserts little bits of another culture into things they say because they're super hip and obnoxious like that.
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04-29-2020, 09:31 AM | #25557 | |
Shit
Join Date: Jun 2008
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Quote:
which states wont let you boat by yourself? |
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Posts: 55,715
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04-29-2020, 09:32 AM | #25558 | |
Mindful Taoist German
Join Date: Aug 2000
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If we don't open it will ruin the economy. If we reopen a percentage of people will get it and will die. If we stay closed a much lower percentage will get it and will die. In some ways the choice is to pull off the bandage quickly and eat the pain or pull it slowly and handle one plucked hair at a much longer time. This virus will spread throughout the public. Over time we'll all be exposed. There's no avoiding that. I wonder if we can take a mixed approach. Keep population dense places more locked down and more rural and spread out populations more open. |
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04-29-2020, 09:33 AM | #25559 |
Shit
Join Date: Jun 2008
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Posts: 55,715
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04-29-2020, 09:35 AM | #25560 |
MVP
Join Date: Dec 2018
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More good news on remdisivir government study. Helping markets today. The Chinese study was ended early and underpowered.
Regarding deaths and despair from economy versus virus, nobody knows. Harder to estimate than the virus itself. Why in my opinion a balanced, measured approach makes more sense (e.g. Ohio) than what GA is doing, for example https://www.statnews.com/2020/04/29/...-to-treatment/ |
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