***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***

[JakeF]

A couple of reminders...

Originally Posted by Bwana

Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.

Originally Posted by Dartgod

People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.

We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.

Thanks!

Click here for the original OP:

Spoiler!

Apparently the CoronaVirus can survive on a inanimate objects, such as door knobs, for 9 days.

California coronavirus case could be first spread within U.S. community, CDC says
By SOUMYA KARLAMANGLA, JACLYN COSGROVE
FEB. 26, 2020 8:04 PM

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is investigating what could be the first case of novel coronavirus in the United States involving a patient in California who neither recently traveled out of the country nor was in contact with someone who did.

“At this time, the patient’s exposure is unknown. It’s possible this could be an instance of community spread of COVID-19, which would be the first time this has happened in the United States,” the CDC said in a statement. “Community spread means spread of an illness for which the source of infection is unknown. It’s also possible, however, that the patient may have been exposed to a returned traveler who was infected.”

The individual is a resident of Solano County and is receiving medical care in Sacramento County, according to the state Department of Public Health.

The CDC said the “case was detected through the U.S. public health system — picked up by astute clinicians.”

Officials at UC Davis Medical Center expanded on what the federal agency might have meant by that in an email sent Wednesday, as reported by the Davis Enterprise newspaper.

The patient arrived at UC Davis Medical Center from another hospital Feb. 19 and “had already been intubated, was on a ventilator, and given droplet protection orders because of an undiagnosed and suspected viral condition,” according to an email sent by UC Davis officials that was obtained by the Davis Enterprise.

The staff at UC Davis requested COVID-19 testing by the CDC, but because the patient didn’t fit the CDC’s existing criteria for the virus, a test wasn’t immediately administered, according to the email. The CDC then ordered the test Sunday, and results were announced Wednesday. Hospital administrators reportedly said in the email that despite these issues, there has been minimal exposure at the hospital because of safety protocols they have in place.

A UC Davis Health spokesperson declined Wednesday evening to share the email with The Times.

Since Feb. 2, more than 8,400 returning travelers from China have entered California, according to the state health department. They have been advised to self-quarantine for 14 days and limit interactions with others as much as possible, officials said.

“This is a new virus, and while we are still learning about it, there is a lot we already know,” Dr. Sonia Angell, director of the California Department of Public Health, said in a statement. “We have been anticipating the potential for such a case in the U.S., and given our close familial, social and business relationships with China, it is not unexpected that the first case in the U.S. would be in California.”

It is not clear how the person became infected, but public health workers could not identify any contacts with people who had traveled to China or other areas where the virus is widespread. That raises concern that the virus is spreading in the United States, creating a challenge for public health officials, experts say.

“It’s the first signal that we could be having silent transmission in the community,” said Lawrence Gostin, director of the World Health Organization Collaborating Center on National and Global Health Law. “It probably means there are many more cases out there, and it probably means this individual has infected others, and now it’s a race to try to find out who that person has infected.”

On Tuesday, the CDC offered its most serious warning to date that the United States should expect and prepare for the coronavirus to become a more widespread health issue.

“Ultimately, we expect we will see coronavirus spread in this country,” said Nancy Messonnier, director of the CDC’s National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases. “It’s not so much a question of if, but a question of when.”

According to the CDC’s latest count Wednesday morning, 59 U.S. residents have tested positive for the new strain of coronavirus — 42 of whom are repatriated citizens from a Diamond Princess cruise. That number has grown by two since Messonnier’s last count Tuesday, although the CDC was not immediately available to offer details on the additional cases.

More than 82,000 cases of coronavirus have been reported globally, and more than 2,700 people have died, with the majority in mainland China, the epicenter of the outbreak.

But public health leaders have repeatedly reminded residents that the health risk from the novel coronavirus to the general public remains low.

“While COVID-19 has a high transmission rate, it has a low mortality rate,” the state Department of Public Health said in a statement Wednesday. “From the international data we have, of those who have tested positive for COVID-19, approximately 80% do not exhibit symptoms that would require hospitalization. There have been no confirmed deaths related to COVID-19 in the United States to date.”

CDC officials have also warned that although the virus is likely to spread in U.S. communities, the flu still poses a greater risk.

Gostin said the news of potential silent transmission does not eliminate the possibility of containing the virus in the U.S. and preventing an outbreak.

“There are few enough cases that we should at least try,” he said. “Most of us are not optimistic that that will be successful, but we’re still in the position to try.”

[backinblack]

Originally Posted by PAChiefsGuy

Got a bad feeling NFL season is going to see stadiums with hardly any fans

This seems like a best case scenario at this point. Ideally we want normal games packed with fans sure, but if it’s decided that empty stadiums are the only way we can have a football season this year, I’ll take it. It’s better than nothing.

[Monticore]

Originally Posted by kgrund

I would argue that only number initially is who has had it. Do we really care if new cases are going up if over 70% of the population has already had it and the most vulnerable are protected in some capacity? We obviously care as lives are at risk, but context in those whole thing is huge. Step #1 going forward: Determine how big of a problem we have.

People who are immune might not be immune for ever it might be a long time and they don’t know if you are immune to all strains that I have seen yet.

[Monticore]

Originally Posted by KCChiefsFan88

If you look at the recent data for the COVID-19 deaths in New York, 86% of all deaths were among people who had underlying health issues, specifically hypertension and diabetes. (Source: https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/...es/2960151001/)

That is a very defined high risk group category.

About 100 million Americans have hypertension and diabetes.

Roughly about 30% of the population have those conditions.

That's still better than having 97% of the population under total social distancing measures.

What about asthma , heart disease , lung disease, cancer, gi liver disease , renal disease , immunodeficiency, elderly there is some overlap but that all ads up.

[petegz28]

Now they are saying deaths will peak on Sunday

[OnTheWarpath15]

Originally Posted by Monticore

What about asthma , heart disease , lung disease, cancer, gi liver disease , renal disease , immunodeficiency, elderly

You're wasting your time.

[Mecca]

Originally Posted by OnTheWarpath15

You're wasting your time.

How about just being a minority since some data says it affects them harder?

[FloridaMan88]

Originally Posted by Monticore

What about asthma , heart disease , lung disease, cancer, gi liver disease , renal disease , immunodeficiency, elderly there is some overlap but that all ads up.

The New York data is pretty clear, 86% of COVID-19 deaths are among people with hypertension and diabetes.

[kgrund]

Originally Posted by Monticore

People who are immune might not be immune for ever it might be a long time and they don’t know if you are immune to all strains that I have seen yet.

Do not disagree with this, but it does not change what I said. We have to determine the extent of spread we already have. The dynamics going forward changes dramatically once we have a better answer to that question.

[jd1020]

Originally Posted by Mecca

How about just being a minority since some data says it affects them harder?

How about just being a man since the data shows men are more at risk than women?

[Mecca]

Originally Posted by jd1020

How about just being a man since the data shows men are more at risk than women?

So basically you need to be a young white woman in good health......see this is why Sweden is doing ok without social distancing.

[Monticore]

Originally Posted by Mecca

How about just being a minority since some data says it affects them harder?

* awaits smart ass comment from DC idiot*

[BryanBusby]

Originally Posted by KCChiefsFan88

The New York data is pretty clear, 86% of COVID-19 deaths are among people with hypertension and diabetes.

Not sure how data can be clear when it hasn't even been collected properly from the start.

[Mecca]

Originally Posted by BryanBusby

Not sure how data can be clear when it hasn't even been collected properly from the start.

This would be like if you said your penis was large but you only surveyed people with tiny penises.

[Monticore]

Originally Posted by kgrund

Do not disagree with this, but it does not change what I said. We have to determine the extent of spread we already have. The dynamics going forward changes dramatically once we have a better answer to that question.

Yes you are correct , serology testing would be very helpful.

[OnTheWarpath15]

Originally Posted by BryanBusby

Not sure how data can be clear when it hasn't even been collected properly from the start.

If you read his link, you'll learn that he's not even clear on his own data.