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04-07-2020, 03:49 PM | #18001 |
"Think BOOM!"
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: 33.675° N 106.475° W
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Posts: 186,629
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04-07-2020, 03:49 PM | #18002 | |
Sauntering Vaguely Downwards
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Columbia, Mo
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Quote:
Again - they have a vested interest in saying something other than "man, we really ****ed up..." I don't see any reason to believe a word of their rationalizations at this point. They stated a presumption of effective social distancing and now they're gonna say "well our definition of 'effective' was 50% compliance..." Uh huh... |
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Posts: 63,064
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04-07-2020, 03:51 PM | #18003 | |
"Think BOOM!"
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: 33.675° N 106.475° W
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Quote:
I presume that one day, we'll get the chance to see the models. |
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Posts: 186,629
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04-07-2020, 03:51 PM | #18004 |
New and Improved
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Springfield, Mo.
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Posts: 21,974
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04-07-2020, 03:53 PM | #18005 | |
Life is changing..
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: NW Missouri
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Posts: 41,064
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04-07-2020, 03:55 PM | #18006 | |
The Maintenance Guy
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Renovated Bugeater Estate
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Posts: 70,538
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04-07-2020, 03:57 PM | #18007 | |
Sauntering Vaguely Downwards
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Columbia, Mo
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Quote:
I think they worked backwards from raw data derived from Italy, Spain and China. And I think we already know that the trash Imperial College model was based on a SARS and MERS model that idiot Ferguson recycled - I think the IMHE piggy backed on that piece of crap and tried to smash it together with Italy data (as the most transparent source of information available) and other datapoints emerging from Western Europe. I cannot overstate enough how badly I think this people ****ed this thing up. I think you could've given an upper level stats class this assignment and they'd have come up with better models than this. I cannot convince myself that any intelligent people actually started a clean sheet analysis of this and came up with these pieces of shit, no. These were recycled and reverse engineered models that they were trying to rush to to the press so they could be the first to get their names out there. They're complete tripe and all of these excuses are just attempts to rehab what should be a far more shattered reputation than they seem to be suffering. The fact that anyone takes anything they say at face value right now demonstrates how little attention they paid to how wrong these jackasses were. |
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Posts: 63,064
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04-07-2020, 03:57 PM | #18008 |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: San Antonio Tx.
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Posts: 66,914
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04-07-2020, 03:57 PM | #18009 |
Life is changing..
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: NW Missouri
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Dr. Fauci just said there was a large disparity in covid impacting black people, as they tend to have higher numbers of things such as diabetes, heart disease, etc. There seems to be other factors at play here too that they are investigating.
The president mentioned a rate of "3x to 4x". Unsure of what he's referencing. Last edited by TLO; 04-07-2020 at 04:20 PM.. |
Posts: 41,064
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04-07-2020, 04:17 PM | #18010 |
Life is changing..
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: NW Missouri
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I don't want this to be political, as I have no political agenda here... but the president is talking about freezing funding to the WHO at some point.
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Posts: 41,064
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04-07-2020, 04:19 PM | #18011 | |
"Think BOOM!"
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: 33.675° N 106.475° W
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Quote:
As to your question, I presume because they either didn't have this 90% compliance revision on 4/1, or did and simply hadn't run the model with that revised percentage. It doesn't have to be nefarious. You seem to think it is. What's the motivation for them to do so? |
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04-07-2020, 04:23 PM | #18012 | |
Inmem 2.0
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: My house
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Posts: 76,495
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04-07-2020, 04:32 PM | #18013 |
King Shit of **** Mountain
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Texarkana, Texas
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Posts: 50,102
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04-07-2020, 04:35 PM | #18014 |
"Think BOOM!"
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: 33.675° N 106.475° W
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Posts: 186,629
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04-07-2020, 04:37 PM | #18015 | |
Supporter
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Olathe, Ks
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When I hear people say that it makes me wonder if they realize all the other states for the most part are already taking steps to mitigate? So if the virus is already in Kansas and Kansas has been taken mitigation steps for going on 3 weeks now you have to ask yourself, if the worst is still yet to come then WTF did we lock down for the last 3 weeks? Kinda comes off like "psyche! It wasn't your turn yet!" |
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