Quote:
Originally Posted by staylor26
This is the very definition of projection.
Again, what stopped Courtland Sutton from getting held back by Denver’s QB play in 2019 where he had 1,112 yards and 6 TD’s?
Why were Kelce’s numbers with Alex similar to his numbers with Mahomes? The difference in the stats is nowhere near the difference in QB.
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1,100 yards and 6 TDs was not stellar production from a #1 WR in 2019. He barely made the top 20 in yards that season. Joe Flacco, Drew Lock and Brandon Allen held Courtland Sutton back. Still, a rookie Fant was able to halve that production from a traditional TE position because he's pretty good.
And Kelce's numbers have changed pretty significantly since Mahomes took over:
In the three full seasons he started with Alex he averaged 80 catches, just over 1,000 yards and 6 TDs. On average, 49 receptions went for 1st downs.
In three full seasons with Mahomes, he averages 101 catches, 1,327 yards and 9 TDs. On average, 73 of those receptions go for 1st downs.
His catch percentage has gone up with Mahomes, his yards per target are up with Mahomes, his yards per catch are up with Mahomes. He went from a guy who was a really good TE but a clear-cut second to Gronk with Alex to smashing TE receiving records and a Hall of Fame lock with Mahomie.