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04-25-2020, 11:43 AM | #24481 |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Jul 2009
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Posts: 82,341
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04-25-2020, 11:43 AM | #24482 |
Now you've pissed me off!
Join Date: Jan 2006
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Regarding antibody testing:
Let's say that COVID is present in 5% of the population. You have a test that is 100% sensitive and 95% specific. If I have a positive test, what is the likelihood that I'm actually positive? 50%. If the test is 99.5% specific, the likelihood is 91%. That's the reason why a lot of these tests have issues. |
Posts: 74,934
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04-25-2020, 11:44 AM | #24483 |
sorta mod-ish
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: KC North
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Posts: 103,234
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04-25-2020, 11:44 AM | #24484 |
MVP
Join Date: Sep 2019
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Posts: 16,637
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04-25-2020, 11:44 AM | #24485 |
Life is changing..
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: NW Missouri
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Posts: 40,421
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04-25-2020, 11:53 AM | #24486 | |
Now you've pissed me off!
Join Date: Jan 2006
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Quote:
The reason why the progress of science is often slow is because the process of evidence evaluation takes a long time, and that pressure has led to people seeking out information that has not yet been properly vetted and claiming that it has far more predictive value than it really does--which is actively harmful. |
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04-25-2020, 11:56 AM | #24487 | |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Jul 2009
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Quote:
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Posts: 82,341
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04-25-2020, 11:58 AM | #24488 | |
New and Improved
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Springfield, Mo.
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Quote:
That's a helluva difference. Looking at those numbers the average person would think the 100/95 test would be very accurate. |
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04-25-2020, 12:01 PM | #24489 |
Life is changing..
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: NW Missouri
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OUR BET IS ON DISCUSS!!!
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Posts: 40,421
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04-25-2020, 12:02 PM | #24490 |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Jul 2009
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Sweden is probably playing it as they're trying to get as close to the line on it as they can, which is what we're gonna end up doing once we relax things.
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Posts: 82,341
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04-25-2020, 12:03 PM | #24491 |
"You like to drink?"
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: "I like to drink."
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Posts: 43,906
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04-25-2020, 12:04 PM | #24492 |
Life is changing..
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: NW Missouri
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Posts: 40,421
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04-25-2020, 12:06 PM | #24493 |
"You like to drink?"
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: "I like to drink."
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Posts: 43,906
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04-25-2020, 12:11 PM | #24494 |
Life is changing..
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: NW Missouri
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Posts: 40,421
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04-25-2020, 12:17 PM | #24495 |
sorta mod-ish
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: KC North
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What are you going to do with your $10,000 in real money when you win, TLO?
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