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**DaFace** · 06-05-2020, 01:04 PM

Gwynne Shotwell is probably a more reasonable gauge of timelines. Here's what she said recently:

Outlook from @spacex's Gwynne Shotwell: "We've learned so much in the last six years, I'm sure we will have people flying in Starship in less than six years. It would be a major company fail if we're not flying people in like half that amount of time or less." -AvWeek interview
— Irene Klotz (@Free_Space) May 25, 2020

Note that she's just talking about flying (at all). It's hard to imagine Mars being only a couple years away.

But I will say that, once you understand "Elon Time," you get it. He says "we'll do it in 2 years" when everyone else thinks it'll take 10. Then when it's done in 5, it's still a big win.

06-05-2020, 01:04 PM	#3028
DaFace Kind of a mod DaFace's Avatar Join Date: Aug 2005 Location: Donkey Land	Gwynne Shotwell is probably a more reasonable gauge of timelines. Here's what she said recently: Outlook from @spacex's Gwynne Shotwell: "We've learned so much in the last six years, I'm sure we will have people flying in Starship in less than six years. It would be a major company fail if we're not flying people in like half that amount of time or less." -AvWeek interview — Irene Klotz (@Free_Space) May 25, 2020 Note that she's just talking about flying (at all). It's hard to imagine Mars being only a couple years away. But I will say that, once you understand "Elon Time," you get it. He says "we'll do it in 2 years" when everyone else thinks it'll take 10. Then when it's done in 5, it's still a big win.
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