Quote:
Originally Posted by DJ's left nut
I'm also curious what the mortality timelines are.
Does it appear that the people who are popping positive then dying are dying within 72 hours or are they limping along for 6-8 days before dying?
If it's the former, the death rate is unlikely to spike in any meaningful way - they're already baked into the pie so to speak. If it's the latter, it'll probably continue to decline a bit as the denominator gets bigger before the deaths start to result, but then we'll see an inexorable climb towards those spooky 7-8% mortality rates that have people so fearful of the Italy situation.
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That's tough. On one hand we know the rate will drop simply because more cases will be identified. So the best we can do is just keep tracking both and hope the rate keeps going down.