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This has to bottom out at some point, doesn't it? Eventually contending teams are going to see that a number of their prospects aren't developing and they need to make significant trades to contend. Or is that wishful thinking?
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Cubs Shopping Martin Maldonado
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If Syndergaard is dealt to San Diego or Houston the Mets will look really bad as those teams are good with pitchers.
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I don’t read that as the Padres saying they won’t trade a top 100, just not MacKenzie Gore. That makes sense. Gore is a consensus top 5 prospect in baseball and is one of a handful of pitching prospects with true ace potential. The Padres have a bunch of top 100 guys they could send the Mets. Adrian Morejon and Luis Urias are both somewhat expendable. Michel Baez. Ryan Weathers. I doubt they would move Patiño and they won’t move Gore, but they still have more than enough beyond those two to get it done. |
That's a fair point. Although if you're going to trade two and a half years of a talent like Syndergaard, you want to get a sure fire ace back.
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I thought this was an excellent piece from RR on Nicky Lopez's struggles: https://www.royalsreview.com/2019/7/...ntact#comments
Basically, he makes way too soft contact, and he's making too much contact by swinging at and hitting balls out of the strike zone. He needs to make harder contact, and be more selective at the plate. Hitting a bunch of balls softly is killing him. Quote:
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He’s the perfect Dayton guy , swings at everything, makes weak contact, and can run fast. Yay!
I think we’ve acquired like 7 more dudes just like Nicky this past 18 months. |
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Vargas traded to Philly.
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Lopez has typically struggled a bit initially each time he has moved up the ladder.
if he follows that pattern, he’ll start producing at the major league level soon. |
I'll assume that after the loss Ned recapped the game (minus any meaningful insight), talked about the thread used to stitch the baseballs, and then said goodbye?
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Let’s talk Alex, first two months vs last wto
233ab 9hr 38rbi 2.17iso .509slg 127wRC+ 204ab 2hr 22rbi 0.96iso .384slg 92wRC+ He’s about done as an MLB regular. Just crazy how y’all wanted to bring this fart-face back. |
So how exactly does one rebuild a bullpen? I'm not even talking about getting back to the 14-15 bullpen... just something that isn't far more likely to lose games for us than hold leads and eventually win, like it is now.
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The first 104 PAs -- June -- he was .232/.282/.337/59wRC+ The last 100 PAs -- July -- he is .344/.400/.433/125wRC+ His wRC+ by month: April 143 May 109 June 59 July 125 That looks like a pretty standard up-and-downs of a season. His HR power has fallen off -- 9 HRs the first two months, 2 since. But otherwise, he's bounced back quite nicely from a terrible June. He's hardly "about done as an MLB regular." Let's see how he finishes before writing him off. |
Duncan's Top 25 for 2019 (plus some bonus guys)
Here's my long-awaited (at least in my own mind) look at the Royals' rebuilding system. It still needs work - more depth and more position talent - but this is a far cry from writing up things that made me kind of want to cry. As usual, I've switched up my approach a bit this time, using a tiering system. Read on.
Tier 1: These are the guys who will make a lot of top 100 lists. Major improvement in this tier for KC from the past few seasons. 1. Bobby Witt, Jr. SS. Rookie – AZL. Top 50 Witt has the most upside of any player in the Royals’ system, and is the player who looks most likely to become truly elite prospect and eventually a superstar major leaguer. At his best, you’d see a guy who hits for a good average (.275+) with plus power (25+ HR) and speed (30+ SB) while playing elite defense. That’s a lineup anchor and perpetual all-star. His start at rookie ball has been fine, but nothing spectacular. Click for 2-4
Spoiler!
Tier 2: This is where the improvement in the system really starts to pop up. The Royals have a lot more players in this range than previously. Building up a log of guys in this range preps you for making big leaps forward. 5. Kris Bubic, LH SP. A+ Wilmington. Fringe 100 (100-200 range) Bubic has great command and a dynamite changeup that he has ridden to dynamite results at A and A+. His deception and changeup have generated a ton of swings and misses. After a slow start in Wilmington, Bubic seems to have found a stride, with a sub 2 ERA and 40 Ks in his past 28 1/3 innings. The fastball velocity is probably too low to be a mid-rotation guy, but Bubic could end up as a Marco Gonzales-like back-end starter. Click for 6-8
Spoiler!
Tier 3+: This tier is for legit prospects who haven’t earned their way into top 100 consideration. All can be considered to be outside the top 200 or so prospects in baseball (though it doesn’t take much to move up). 9. Erick Pena, OF. TBD. Pena’s placement is based entirely on his upside. He’s 16 and terribly far away from the majors, but guys who sign out of IFA for $2+ million dollars have star potential. If you look at the position player prospects in the Royals’ system and ask who is most likely to be a perennial all-star and lineup centerpiece, Pena probably ranks 2nd only to Witt. Click for 10-25
Spoiler!
Relievers Tier: These guys are legitimate prospects but are limited to relief upside. Richard Lovelady, LHP. Lovelady is in KC again. He should be the first of a few young relievers who can help rebuild the productivity of KC’s pen. Lovelady has a floor of solid middle-innings guy who is tough on same-side hitters. If he ramps up a bit against righties, he could be a real weapon in the pen. Click for 2 more
Spoiler!
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Great stuff, Duncan. Thanks!
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Who’s the homo in Ducans avi?
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You’re welcome. As a bonus, here are five guys from that list who are lesser known but worth paying extra attention to: Evan Steele Wilmin Candelario Darryl Collins Brady McConnell Zack Haake |
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What do you mean? I got rid of the Alex Smith avatar ... |
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After 18+ years, I thought it was time for the avatar to match the username... |
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Heresy! Sick the Fremen on him! |
Montgomery doing his part to help us in the draft position.
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Right-hander Trevor Bauer has been traded to the Cincinnati Reds, sources familiar with the deal tells ESPN. He will move as part of a three-team deal with the San Diego Padres, according to sources.</p>— Jeff Passan (@JeffPassan) <a href="https://twitter.com/JeffPassan/status/1156385314803453952?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 31, 2019</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
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LMAO Good luck with that. They literally sent him off to pitching purgatory. That place is a complete bandbox.
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Taylor Trammell to Padres in the 3 team trade</p>— Jon Heyman (@JonHeyman) <a href="https://twitter.com/JonHeyman/status/1156387951775035392?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 31, 2019</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Bauer goes to Reds</p>— Jon Heyman (@JonHeyman) <a href="https://twitter.com/JonHeyman/status/1156386166578524160?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 31, 2019</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script> |
LMAO To make it even more wild Puig just got in the middle of a fight even though he's not even on the team anymore.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="und" dir="ltr"><a href="https://t.co/sEPZLFngCy">pic.twitter.com/sEPZLFngCy</a></p>— Red Sox Stats (@redsoxstats) <a href="https://twitter.com/redsoxstats/status/1156390177675370496?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 31, 2019</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script> |
Aqua Man
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Zimmer man.
Good to see. |
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">What we know about monster Indians-Reds-Padres three-way trade, per sources:<br><br>Cincinnati gets: RHP Trevor Bauer<br><br>Cleveland gets: OF Franmil Reyes, LHP Logan Allen, OF Yasiel Puig, 3B Victor Nova (per <a href="https://twitter.com/AJCassavell?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@AJCassavell</a>)<br><br>San Diego gets: OF Taylor Trammell<br><br>LHP Scott Moss also involved.</p>— Jeff Passan (@JeffPassan) <a href="https://twitter.com/JeffPassan/status/1156396613830696961?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 31, 2019</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
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The Padres really are taking the stockpiling prospects shit to heart. |
That didn't last long.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="ca" dir="ltr"><a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Astros?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Astros</a> acquire catcher Martín Maldonado from <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Cubs?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Cubs</a>, sources tell The Athletic.</p>— Ken Rosenthal (@Ken_Rosenthal) <a href="https://twitter.com/Ken_Rosenthal/status/1156609260190674945?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 31, 2019</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script> |
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Maldonado has been passed around more often than the clap.
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Cubs will be retiring Martin Maldonado's number as soon as they remember which number he was.
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And here are numerous deals of the day......
Nationals get: Roenis Elias Mariners get: Elvis Alvarado Taylor Guilbeau ----- Nationals get: Daniel Hudson Jays get: Kyle Johnson (#27 Nats prospect according to MLB.) ------ Brewers get: Ray Black Drew Pomeranz Giants get: Mauricio Dubon ------ A's get: Tanner Roark Reds get: Jameson Hannah (#8 A's prospect according to MLB.com) Nats get: Hunter Strickland Mariners get: Aaron Fletcher (#21 prospect on Nats/MLB.com) Diamonbacks get: RHP Zac Gallen (#5 Marlins prospect/MLB.com) Marlins get: Jazz Chisholm (#1 Diamondbacks prospect and #59 overall prospect/MLB.com) Phillies get: Corey Dickerson Pirates get: Unknown at the moment Brewers get: Marcos Diplan Twins get: Cash ------- Braves get: Shane Greene Tigers get: Unknown at the moment ------- Dodgers get: Jedd Gyorko Cardinals get: Unknown And apparently Robbie Ray to the Yankees is dead because they want Clint Frazier and 3 more guys. |
We trading anybody today? Whit? Soler? Anyone?
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Y'all really aren't gonna get Ian Kennedy traded?
Well that's surprising. There are teams that would definitely like to get their hands on that guy. He's been awfully good in relief and you see trades like the Josh Fields for Yordan Alvarez debacle every couple of seasons. Paddack was a wild card, Luis Castillo, Fernando Tatis Jr... All of these guys were just 'meh' prospects when moved that turned into real assets. Surely the Royals know that they're pissing into the wind if they keep Kennedy around. |
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To close games. That don't matter. I...am puzzled. |
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Doesn't sound like there will be any more big moves.
I don't think it's that surprising, but they're having a big conversation about where baseball is on MLB Network. It goes back to what we've all talked about. Teams are so risk-averse now. You have first place championship contenders like the Yankees and Dodgers who can take on massive payrolls, and they didn't do anything major because they don't want to lose prospects. Ten years ago, there's probably no doubt that you'd have a couple guys like Bumgarner, Wheeler or Whit traded for a package with multiple elite prospects. |
I stand corrected. Apparently the Astros just trade for Greinke. Last minute shocker.
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The Royals refuse to eat any money on a Kennedy trade, so they keep him and ... eat all the money anyway.
They could look at it as buying a decent prospect, but no. They'd rather do nothing and SPEND ALL THAT MONEY ON IAN KENNEDY. |
Four main ways to add MLB talent:
- draft - international free agency - veteran free agency - trades Small market teams obviously can't rely too much on veteran free agency. We haven't really found anything in international free agency in a while. The draft has been better the last 2 years but you can't build a team through the draft alone. I suppose you could add another smaller category of player acquisition for rule 5 or other under the radar type additions, but Brad Keller success stories are relatively rare. I don't know how a small market team can add enough talent to be competitive if they are either unwilling or incapable of making smart trades. I've already moved on from trading Merrifield as that's simply never going to happen. But Moore/Glass can't even make up for shitty contracts given out by throwing in some money to help facilitate a trade for guys like Duffy or Kennedy? I don't see how anyone can have faith that they'll be able to add enough talent to return to the postseason. Last time around they could throw large bonuses to coax high schoolers to join them. They don't have that benefit anymore and the draft alone simply won't be enough. |
Royals have three home games against Houston in September.
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Astros fix pitchers so Grienke will now see his career resurgence just like Verlander.
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Your 2019 leaders in WHIP:<br>1-Justin Verlander 0.81<br>2-Zack Greinke 0.94<br>5-Gerrit Cole 1.00<br><br>That's your Game 1-2-3 starters in Houston. Scary.</p>— Jayson Stark (@jaysonst) <a href="https://twitter.com/jaysonst/status/1156660774284267520?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 31, 2019</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
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Plus...think about 2012 when the Royals started making the turn for the next run. Jonathan Broxton pretty much kept Holland from having to take on the closer role and let him settle into the 8th inning role Holland was ready to go when we traded Broxton. We don't really have a guy ready. Next year, I expect one of the new relievers to seize the 8th inning role and get ready to be the next guy. Whether we had Kennedy or not, Moore would have signed a vet closer...because it's what he does. This is how he's always behaved, like it or not. Might as well be Kennedy for another year. |
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Astros are probably the favorite to take the championship now.
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Jesus I don't even think the Astros gave up that much...
They didn't give up Tucker or Whitley...Seth Beer probably the biggest name in the deal. |
Well, Houston is gonna win the World Series.
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Got the Astros 3, 4, 5 and 22nd ranked prospects. Did not get Kyle Tucker though.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Corbin Martin, J.B. Bukauskas, Seth Beer and Josh Rojas are headed to the Diamondbacks for Zack Greinke, source tells ESPN.</p>— Jeff Passan (@JeffPassan) <a href="https://twitter.com/JeffPassan/status/1156661936349749248?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 31, 2019</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script> |
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Greinke has been traded for a buttload of players. |
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Greinke in the World Series? |
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So doing a bit of digging here....
Seth Beer looks like the best prospect in that deal as odds are he'll be an above average hitting 1st baseman. However the rest of that deal is very...Martin just had Tommy John surgery, Bukauskas has serious questions on if he can be a starter or not due to his delivery and the other dude is a wildcard, like the Astros 20th ranked prospect. So I think Beer is a legit prospect then you have 2 fringe top 100 prospects with questions and a flyer, I'm assuming the Astros took back all the money on Grienke's deal to avoid giving up Whitley and Tucker here. |
Sounds like the Dbacks are sending $24 million and the Astros are eating the rest.
They basically had the same evaluation on MLB Network. Beer is going to be a solid major league hitter who probably doesn't have a position other than 1B, but there are questions about the other guys. |
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And when he struggled in summer ball wood bat tournaments, teams started to get a little nervous about him as a potential AAAA slugger type with no defensive chops. I still liked him as a hitter but understood why he was slipping a bit. I was going to be disappointed if the Cards didn't take him until Gorman fell in their laps. The D-Backs did well here; shed about 2/3 of Greinke's salary and got some guys with potential. |
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Kinda freaky how good Houstons system is considering all the deals and winning. |
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They have so much talent on that squad that they aren't likely to have a need for a guy like Bauskas. A guy like Josh James is an afterthought for them and he'd be the next great pitching prospect for most teams in the league. Its completely insane how good that organization is. And they're aggressive to boot. They're the blueprint right now. Glad we let the shitty Jeff Luhnow walk... |
I'm hoping for Houston to curb stomp NY and LAD if they end up facing either of them. These teams who refuse to give up anything of value need to realize the opportunity they missed by stockpiling minor league talent instead of making trades.
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What they're doing would be like if after the Royals called up all their guys the farm system was still top 5 instead of barren. When you have a young team that is awesome and a top farm system pulling trades isn't gonna hurt you much, you're dealing guys with no spots. Where would Seth Beer play on the Astros? |
The Royals’ unwillingness to eat money on Ian Kennedy is frustrating.
You look at what the Braves gave up for Shane Greene - lovely product Joey Wentz as the centerpiece - for 1.3 years of Greene, and you have to think the Royals could have landed something similar had they been willing to pay the rest of Kennedy’s 2019 salary and 1/2 of 2020. The market for Merrifield should be a lot better in the offseason, when more teams are in “buy” mode. Even then, it would still take a real haul. |
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