duncan_idaho |
08-12-2019 12:39 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by OKchiefs
(Post 14391397)
I saw a lot of people on here predicting around 70 wins this year. Unless Moore is allowed to open the checkbook I don't see how next year's team is that much better. Guys like Merrifield, Soler, Mondesi, and Dozier would all have to have career years above and beyond what they've already shown AND would all need to stay healthy. Someone in the group of Cuthbert, Phillips, Starling, Lopez, or some wildcard in AAA like Heath would need to become an above average contributor. Several of our young bullpen pieces would need to solidify their roles. I'm not sure where the starting pitching will come from. Moore getting the go ahead to throw around money is also a concern considering his track record in free agency.
We're also probably no better than third best in the division next year behind Minnesota and Cleveland, and there always is the possibility that Chicago's young talent finally puts it together and passes us. I just don't see how this team is significantly better next year. I don't think any GM in baseball should be able to survive three straight 100 loss seasons.
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Their run differential (which I always take with a grain of salt) puts them on basically a 70-win pace. Once they lost Perez, that was out the window.
It’s challenging to lose 100 games. I also doubt a team will lose that many unless they’re purposely trying to be awful. Personally, I’d take 100 losses and a top 2-3 pick over 92 and #7 or 8. But I realize that’s me.
This year is the right kind of suck, too. They’re losing a bunch of games with promising performances from the guys you want to see improve (Mondesi, Dozier, Soler). I’m excited to see Phillips soon and see if his adjustments translate to the majors.
If the farm system continues to improve, and signs of hope continue to show up, I think Moore easily survives 2020.
I don’t really think they’re going to make a huge leap forward by any means next year, but I’d peg them at 95 losses absent any significant additions in free agency.
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