jd1020 |
10-07-2021 07:06 AM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Why Not?
(Post 15877257)
The run he allowed was an earned run.
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My bad. I was thinking the run scored on the error.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Why Not?
(Post 15877257)
The Cardinals had multiple base runners in scoring position and couldn't do anything with them. Granted, that means Scherzer made some pitches when he needed to but if you want to hang your hat on that being a performance in line with an ace pitcher, go ahead.
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So being fortunate means that he didn't pitch like an ace? The Cardinals had base runners on first outside the 1st inning when they scored their only run, a bunt by Wainwright for the 2nd out to get Bader to 2nd, and the 5th when Scherzer was taken out after he just struck out O'Neil.
Where is the fortune? The Cardinals had 2 legitimate threats of scoring when Scherzer was on the mound through the 5th and none were nearly as dangerous as when the Dodgers failed to score with the bases loaded and 1 out with Trea Turner at the plate.
The odds of not giving up a run to start any inning is 70%. There was a 70% chance of ending the first only giving up the 1 run. There was a 80% chance of getting out of the 3rd not giving up a run, which is why a lot of managers dont sacrifice bunt any more, why Shildt chose to do that instead of attempt to steal second with Bader I will never know. And once Scherzer struck out O'Neil in the 5th there was a 60% chance of getting out of that inning with 0 runs scored. Arguably the only fortunate moment of the night was getting out of the 5th with 0 runs scored.
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