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Old 04-05-2017, 10:55 AM  
Chiefspants Chiefspants is offline
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*** Official 2017 Royals Repository ***

Chiefsplanet’s (Proposed) 2017 Season Title: One Last Ride

Midish-Season Update (Royals 51-47, 2nd Wild Card, 1.5 GB of ALC):

We're halfway through 2017, and fittingly to the Chiefsplanet's 2017 Season Title, the Royals are all-in on what will likely be one final run with the current core. While many are worried the Royals will take a 2004 style tumble after this year, the farm system is hardly the barren wasteland it was during the Baird years. To see what's in the pipeline and what we have to look forward to, check out this exceptional list and analysis that Duncan put together of our system.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...htmlview#gid=0

While I had the honor of starting this thread this year, Duncan will always have a VIP pass to this OP, and can add more content at any time.

2017's Burning Questions Revisited:

1. What is the threshold between being “buyers” and “sellers” at the deadline?

We're buyers, baby.

In April, I argued that it would be a wise strategy for us to sell if we were 5 GB or worse, but that Dayton would likely add supplemental pieces for us to load up for another run if we were 1-2 GB. On July 24th, the Royals found themselves in sole possession of the 2nd wild card spot and 1.5 games back of the division. In April I said the Royals might pull the trigger on someone like Alex Cobb and resign Luke Hochevar, but since the Rays are also buyers and Luke's shoulder hasn't rebounded, this prediction hasn't come to fruition. Luckily, Dayton Moore again proved much more adept and creative than me by adding Trevor Cahill (good call, Duncan), Brandon Maurer and Ryan Buchter in a single trade. Giving us a solid starter to compete in 2017, and two relievers whom we will control through 2019 and 2021, respectively, keeping Moore's new vision through 2019-2020 intact. Moore has hinted that the Royals will continue to pursue the right deals if they're there, so the fun may not be over just yet. While we may not have the bullets to pull in a "star" like Cueto or Zo, Moore's adeptness may yet again net us what we need for another run in October.

2. Can Gordo and Moose bounce back to 2015 levels?

In April I asked if Gordo could at least set the table at a 265/325/425 clip and if Moose could deliver damage around a 265/335/500 clip for an entire year. This season Mr. Moustakas has been the prospect that was promised, delivering at a 277/307/568 clip as of this update. Gordo, on the other hand, has put up an unbelievably abysmal line thus far. But, if there is a silver lining, it's that Gordo has performed at a 246/311/432 line since June 1st, and if he can continue to perform near that mark, he will be more than a valuable asset at the bottom of the lineup while he continues to provide the best LF defense in the league.

3. Can Ned Yost manage a bullpen?

In April, I felt that despite the poor start, Royals bullpen would ultimately be "solid" this year, but the question was whether "solid" was good enough for Ned. I argued that the Royals needed Soria to bounce back and that Ned would need to start being strategic in his L/L and R/R matchups. While Ned has still made at times baffling and frustrating decisions with his starters (such as allowing Travis Wood to try to "get the win" and still insisting on sending Hammel out for the 6th, he's mostly done a good job).

MASH: Minor/Moylan - Alexander - Soria - Herrera (Credit to C3HIEF3S for the origins of the phrase) have cemented into reliable pieces, and now that Herrera is showing signs of stabilizing, our dumping of Wood, our call up Flynn, and the acquisition of Buchter and Maurer, the Royals have the potential to enter October with one of the best and deepest bullpens in the postseason.

4. Will the Royals find a boost from an unexpected X-Factor to lift them to contention?

Cool-Whit, Boni, Mike ****ing Minor, and Alexander have come up huge thus far. Cool Whit is, incredibly, is second on the team in WAR and has more than replaced Zo's presence on the team. They, like the X-Factors on the 2014-2015 teams, have been critical cogs as we've raced back to contention, while Cool-Whit and Boni also have provided a rosier outlook for this team's future. It's worth noting that Salvador Perez and Jason Vargas has been beasts on offense and the mound (along with Sal providing his customary defensive excellence), but I am still a bit wary of Salvy's annual Yost assisted offensive drought as the team moves into August, along with Vargy regressing to his averages.

5. Can Jorge Soler and Brandon Moss be productive contributors in Kauffman’s dimensions?

Ouch, no, but the Royals shift to power-hitting in the juiced ball era looks like one that will pay off. Thankfully, Moss is showing signs of entering his seasonal hot streak where he becomes corn-fed Jesus for a month, and we'll need him hot to keep up with Cleveland down the stretch. While Jorge has been painful to watch in the majors, his scorching performance in AAA should give one a bright hope for the future. While some may disagree, I offer Moose, Hos, Gordo, and Duffy's struggles as exhibit A for why it is far too early to give up on Soler's potential.

Bonus Question - Is Raul Mondesi truly ready to be an everyday player?

Ha! Not even close. However, like Soler, his progress in AAA is incredibly encouraging. With ceilings like Lindor and floors being Esky being thrown out there, it's hard not to be excited about his future.

The Picture Forward

There are many reasons to be excited, and not only for 2017. The Royals emergence of Cool Whit, Bonifacio, and Scott Alexander, and the fact that we have pieces like Salvador Perez, Danny Duffy, Kelvin Herrera, Jorge Soler, Ryan Buchter, Brandon Maurer Cheslor Cuthbert, and Raul Mondesi until at least 2019 should leave one feeling pretty optimistic. Re-up Moose or Hos (and heck, re-sign Dyson while we're at it), and suddenly this team looks very much like one that could compete for the indefinite future.

The Royals are all in again, buckle in and enjoy the ride.

April OP:

Spoiler!

Last edited by Chiefspants; 08-02-2017 at 01:53 PM..
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Old 07-27-2017, 12:41 PM   #4771
Dartgod Dartgod is offline
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And without a doubt, after the Angels screw the pooch in the top of the 7th, Scioscia leaves in JC Ramirez to face Lindor and the Indians take a one run lead at the end of 7. Top of the order for the Angels coming up. Bauer stays in the game and starts the 8th with 109 pitches. Hahaha and Revere is first pitch swinging. Smart move. Smh.
7 pitch inning.
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Old 07-27-2017, 12:44 PM   #4772
Prison Bitch Prison Bitch is offline
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Originally Posted by DJ's left nut View Post
Manny Machado is a good player and a great defender.

Nolan Arenado is a god among men.

Andrelton Simmons kinda broke a few defensive metrics a few years back and I'm a little surprised that Arenado hasn't done the same (some would argue he did in 2013). There's no better defender at any position in the game than Nolan.

The guys a magician.

He's checking in at #4 among 3B. So maybe a god among men in the NL West.


(Scratch that - Turner is ahead of him)
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Old 07-27-2017, 12:55 PM   #4773
DJ's left nut DJ's left nut is offline
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Originally Posted by Prison Bitch View Post
He's checking in at #4 among 3B. So maybe a god among men in the NL West.


(Scratch that - Turner is ahead of him)
On defense? C'mon - there's nobody that touches him defensively.

And again, I think Coors hitters are unfairly calculated by getting penalized for playing in Coors in park adjustments but then do not get a commensurate 'bump' for the fact that playing in Coors also damages their road numbers.

If you'd take any 3b in baseball over Nolan Arenado, I think you're nuts. The guy impacts games in ways very few guys can. That said, I'll concede that Rendon's having an exceptional season. I still wouldn't take him over Arenado.
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Old 07-27-2017, 01:14 PM   #4774
Mama Hip Rockets Mama Hip Rockets is offline
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Old 07-27-2017, 01:15 PM   #4775
Why Not? Why Not? is offline
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I hate Cleveland.

As do I. But to be fair, they're just doing the same thing we are doing. Beating up shit teams
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Old 07-27-2017, 01:18 PM   #4776
penbrook penbrook is offline
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#BlueJays, #Royals making progress on a Francisco Liriano trade, sources confirm reports by @Joelsherman1 and @BNightengale. @MLB
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Old 07-27-2017, 01:19 PM   #4777
penbrook penbrook is offline
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The Kansas City #Royals quickly added their name to the list of teams interested in #Marlins starter Dan Straily
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Old 07-27-2017, 01:26 PM   #4778
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Per Bob Nightengale

The Kansas City #Royals quickly added their name to the list of teams interested in #Marlins starter Dan Straily
Now THAT might actually help you. But again, with his strong showing in Cincy last year and improvement on that this year, combined with the dearth of available SP in the market and number of teams seeking it out, I wonder if those are waters are too deep.

Controlled pitchers with even #3 ability are friggen gold right now.
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Old 07-27-2017, 01:28 PM   #4779
siberian khatru siberian khatru is offline
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Originally Posted by penbrook View Post
Per Bob Nightengale

The Kansas City #Royals quickly added their name to the list of teams interested in #Marlins starter Dan Straily
I wondered about that. He's cheap now and controllable for three more years, plus there's probably a lot of competition for him, all of which means he's likely to cost more than the Royals are willing or able to pay.
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Old 07-27-2017, 01:29 PM   #4780
Prison Bitch Prison Bitch is offline
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Originally Posted by DJ's left nut View Post
On defense? C'mon - there's nobody that touches him defensively.

And again, I think Coors hitters are unfairly calculated by getting penalized for playing in Coors in park adjustments but then do not get a commensurate 'bump' for the fact that playing in Coors also damages their road numbers.

If you'd take any 3b in baseball over Nolan Arenado, I think you're nuts. The guy impacts games in ways very few guys can. That said, I'll concede that Rendon's having an exceptional season. I still wouldn't take him over Arenado.
It's hard for me to march your enthusiasm for him at least offensively. His away #s, adj for 600 AB season:


.266 76r 37 2b 26 HR 82 RBI 41/106 K/BB 781 OPS 106 wRC+



I'll take your word he's a defensive guru since I never see him play, but his bat is so inflated by Coors it's laughable. All of them are. Why do we keep buy No into the sham?
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Old 07-27-2017, 01:35 PM   #4781
siberian khatru siberian khatru is offline
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Per Jon Morosi

#BlueJays, #Royals making progress on a Francisco Liriano trade, sources confirm reports by @Joelsherman1 and @BNightengale. @MLB
I just don't get this. Only thing I can figure is 1) they spotted something with him they believe would be an instant fix, and 2) they need a long man in the bullpen.
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Old 07-27-2017, 01:37 PM   #4782
penbrook penbrook is offline
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I just don't get this. Only thing I can figure is 1) they spotted something with him they believe would be an instant fix, and 2) they need a long man in the bullpen.
Per Joel Sherman

Have heard few teams envision Liriano as relief option: Has 16 K/1BB vs. LHs, who have a .646 OPS against him. #bluejays
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Old 07-27-2017, 01:38 PM   #4783
KChiefs1 KChiefs1 is offline
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****ing Angels. Runners on 2nd and 3rd, no outs and they failed to score.

Worthless ****s...

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Old 07-27-2017, 01:38 PM   #4784
DJ's left nut DJ's left nut is offline
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Originally Posted by Prison Bitch View Post
It's hard for me to march your enthusiasm for him at least offensively. His away #s, adj for 600 AB season:


.266 76r 37 2b 26 HR 82 RBI 41/106 K/BB 781 OPS 106 wRC+



I'll take your word he's a defensive guru since I never see him play, but his bat is so inflated by Coors it's laughable. All of them are. Why do we keep buy No into the sham?
A) He's improved as a hitter every year of his career, citing a career average for a guy who's just entering his prime and has been a starter since he was 22 is wildly disingenuous.

B) The Coors hangover has been studied extensively. Good hitters become better hitters on the road when they leave Coors than they were when they played there. And Nolan Arenado is absolutely a good hitter, even on the road, despite playing at Coors field. Cutting both ways with park effects is bullshit - you can't give them a full penalty for playing there without also acknowledging its impact when they're away.

Some guys ARE Coors hitters (I think Cargo would be a walking pile of shit outside of Coors). But the truly excellent hitters that have played there are going to be good hitters even after they play there. The problem is that the Rockies are no different than anyone else - they don't have a ton of truly great hitters that come through there. Walker, Holliday; maybe a couple more that I can't think of at the moment. They have many more that are simply Coors products and they sully the truly excellent hitters in the lot. More still play their prime years in Coors and then leave when they're exiting their primes and/or injuries get the best of them.

I'm not sure where Tulo would fall, for instance, because he was a 30 yr old hitter with a SLEW of lower body injuries. The fact that he can't even hit in the Rogers center now demonstrates pretty clearly that his body was failing him even in Colorado.

Nolan Arenado, OTOH, among those exceptions - the dude can HIT. His .880 rd OPS this year supports that.
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Old 07-27-2017, 01:56 PM   #4785
Prison Bitch Prison Bitch is offline
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Originally Posted by DJ's left nut View Post
A) He's improved as a hitter every year of his career, citing a career average for a guy who's just entering his prime and has been a starter since he was 22 is wildly disingenuous.

B) The Coors hangover has been studied extensively. Good hitters become better hitters on the road when they leave Coors than they were when they played there. And Nolan Arenado is absolutely a good hitter, even on the road, despite playing at Coors field. Cutting both ways with park effects is bullshit - you can't give them a full penalty for playing there without also acknowledging its impact when they're away.

Some guys ARE Coors hitters (I think Cargo would be a walking pile of shit outside of Coors). But the truly excellent hitters that have played there are going to be good hitters even after they play there. The problem is that the Rockies are no different than anyone else - they don't have a ton of truly great hitters that come through there. Walker, Holliday; maybe a couple more that I can't think of at the moment. They have many more that are simply Coors products and they sully the truly excellent hitters in the lot. More still play their prime years in Coors and then leave when they're exiting their primes and/or injuries get the best of them.

I'm not sure where Tulo would fall, for instance, because he was a 30 yr old hitter with a SLEW of lower body injuries. The fact that he can't even hit in the Rogers center now demonstrates pretty clearly that his body was failing him even in Colorado.

Nolan Arenado, OTOH, among those exceptions - the dude can HIT. His .880 rd OPS this year supports that.

No, he hasn't, his wRC+ #s are:

77
113
119
124
123

I'll drop out at this point. If you don't like my opinions don't read or respond to them. Make sure you're certain of something before you accuse somebody of being "disengenuous". I don't give a shit about Arrenado, certainly not enough to manipulate any argument.
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