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Old 04-17-2024, 01:34 PM   #2
BWillie BWillie is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by staylor26 View Post
Congratulations on discovering that there is some luck involved in winning championships.
I've always believed this but fans tend to think there is almost no luck in sports.
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Old 04-17-2024, 01:43 PM   #3
DJ's left nut DJ's left nut is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BWillie View Post
I've always believed this but fans tend to think there is almost no luck in sports.
There's a shitload of luck in sports.

Ultimately that's what drives me nuts about the Cardinals and their "We want to be relevant in September" approach. Because if you have ANY bad luck at all when you're targeting 88 wins, then you're going to win 83 and miss the playoffs.

You've gotta build in a luck buffer. Building for 84 wins and lucking your way into 4 more to get to 88 and the playoffs may work for a year, but you're gonna fall back again the next season. And building for 88 wins is going to net you 82 as often as it does a playoff appearance.

Luck is absolutely a part of the game. But ultimately over any reasonable sample size it's likely to even out. Most teams will get about the same amount of good luck and bad luck. Well led teams will fight through the bad. Poor led teams blame it for being poorly run.

4 SB appearances and 3 wins in 5 years is a plenty long sample size. Easily long enough to demonstrate that it ain't luck that led to that.
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Old 04-17-2024, 02:57 PM   #4
dlphg9 dlphg9 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BWillie View Post
I've always believed this but fans tend to think there is almost no luck in sports.
I'd say an overwhelming percentage (>90%) of fans realize there is some luck involved in winning/losing. Honestly I've never seen anyone argue against it (IRL or on the Internet) and I read Reddit quite a bit. That place is filled with brain dead idiots.

What fans are you talking about?
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Old 04-17-2024, 03:00 PM   #5
BWillie BWillie is offline
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Originally Posted by dlphg9 View Post
I'd say an overwhelming percentage (>90%) of fans realize there is some luck involved in winning/losing. Honestly I've never seen anyone argue against it (IRL or on the Internet) and I read Reddit quite a bit. That place is filled with brain dead idiots.

What fans are you talking about?
Walk into a sports bar when any game is on.

Step 2. Look around.
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Old 04-17-2024, 03:05 PM   #6
dlphg9 dlphg9 is offline
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Originally Posted by BWillie View Post
Walk into a sports bar when any game is on.

Step 2. Look around.
What am I looking for?
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Old 04-17-2024, 03:06 PM   #7
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Let me tell you about luck. Throwing a pick that literally lost the game and Dee Ford gets a flag the same play. Throwing a pick in the SB and getting a holding ball across the field to keep the ball. Nothing that lucky has happened to us.
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Old 04-17-2024, 03:11 PM   #8
KC_Connection KC_Connection is offline
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Mahomes makes his own luck.
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Old 04-17-2024, 02:01 PM   #9
Woogieman Woogieman is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by staylor26 View Post
Congratulations on discovering that there is some luck involved in winning championships.
I refer to it as "good fortune"...where preparation meets opportunity, then has beers with Patrick Mahomes
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