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Old 04-05-2017, 10:55 AM  
Chiefspants Chiefspants is offline
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*** Official 2017 Royals Repository ***

Chiefsplanet’s (Proposed) 2017 Season Title: One Last Ride

Midish-Season Update (Royals 51-47, 2nd Wild Card, 1.5 GB of ALC):

We're halfway through 2017, and fittingly to the Chiefsplanet's 2017 Season Title, the Royals are all-in on what will likely be one final run with the current core. While many are worried the Royals will take a 2004 style tumble after this year, the farm system is hardly the barren wasteland it was during the Baird years. To see what's in the pipeline and what we have to look forward to, check out this exceptional list and analysis that Duncan put together of our system.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...htmlview#gid=0

While I had the honor of starting this thread this year, Duncan will always have a VIP pass to this OP, and can add more content at any time.

2017's Burning Questions Revisited:

1. What is the threshold between being “buyers” and “sellers” at the deadline?

We're buyers, baby.

In April, I argued that it would be a wise strategy for us to sell if we were 5 GB or worse, but that Dayton would likely add supplemental pieces for us to load up for another run if we were 1-2 GB. On July 24th, the Royals found themselves in sole possession of the 2nd wild card spot and 1.5 games back of the division. In April I said the Royals might pull the trigger on someone like Alex Cobb and resign Luke Hochevar, but since the Rays are also buyers and Luke's shoulder hasn't rebounded, this prediction hasn't come to fruition. Luckily, Dayton Moore again proved much more adept and creative than me by adding Trevor Cahill (good call, Duncan), Brandon Maurer and Ryan Buchter in a single trade. Giving us a solid starter to compete in 2017, and two relievers whom we will control through 2019 and 2021, respectively, keeping Moore's new vision through 2019-2020 intact. Moore has hinted that the Royals will continue to pursue the right deals if they're there, so the fun may not be over just yet. While we may not have the bullets to pull in a "star" like Cueto or Zo, Moore's adeptness may yet again net us what we need for another run in October.

2. Can Gordo and Moose bounce back to 2015 levels?

In April I asked if Gordo could at least set the table at a 265/325/425 clip and if Moose could deliver damage around a 265/335/500 clip for an entire year. This season Mr. Moustakas has been the prospect that was promised, delivering at a 277/307/568 clip as of this update. Gordo, on the other hand, has put up an unbelievably abysmal line thus far. But, if there is a silver lining, it's that Gordo has performed at a 246/311/432 line since June 1st, and if he can continue to perform near that mark, he will be more than a valuable asset at the bottom of the lineup while he continues to provide the best LF defense in the league.

3. Can Ned Yost manage a bullpen?

In April, I felt that despite the poor start, Royals bullpen would ultimately be "solid" this year, but the question was whether "solid" was good enough for Ned. I argued that the Royals needed Soria to bounce back and that Ned would need to start being strategic in his L/L and R/R matchups. While Ned has still made at times baffling and frustrating decisions with his starters (such as allowing Travis Wood to try to "get the win" and still insisting on sending Hammel out for the 6th, he's mostly done a good job).

MASH: Minor/Moylan - Alexander - Soria - Herrera (Credit to C3HIEF3S for the origins of the phrase) have cemented into reliable pieces, and now that Herrera is showing signs of stabilizing, our dumping of Wood, our call up Flynn, and the acquisition of Buchter and Maurer, the Royals have the potential to enter October with one of the best and deepest bullpens in the postseason.

4. Will the Royals find a boost from an unexpected X-Factor to lift them to contention?

Cool-Whit, Boni, Mike ****ing Minor, and Alexander have come up huge thus far. Cool Whit is, incredibly, is second on the team in WAR and has more than replaced Zo's presence on the team. They, like the X-Factors on the 2014-2015 teams, have been critical cogs as we've raced back to contention, while Cool-Whit and Boni also have provided a rosier outlook for this team's future. It's worth noting that Salvador Perez and Jason Vargas has been beasts on offense and the mound (along with Sal providing his customary defensive excellence), but I am still a bit wary of Salvy's annual Yost assisted offensive drought as the team moves into August, along with Vargy regressing to his averages.

5. Can Jorge Soler and Brandon Moss be productive contributors in Kauffman’s dimensions?

Ouch, no, but the Royals shift to power-hitting in the juiced ball era looks like one that will pay off. Thankfully, Moss is showing signs of entering his seasonal hot streak where he becomes corn-fed Jesus for a month, and we'll need him hot to keep up with Cleveland down the stretch. While Jorge has been painful to watch in the majors, his scorching performance in AAA should give one a bright hope for the future. While some may disagree, I offer Moose, Hos, Gordo, and Duffy's struggles as exhibit A for why it is far too early to give up on Soler's potential.

Bonus Question - Is Raul Mondesi truly ready to be an everyday player?

Ha! Not even close. However, like Soler, his progress in AAA is incredibly encouraging. With ceilings like Lindor and floors being Esky being thrown out there, it's hard not to be excited about his future.

The Picture Forward

There are many reasons to be excited, and not only for 2017. The Royals emergence of Cool Whit, Bonifacio, and Scott Alexander, and the fact that we have pieces like Salvador Perez, Danny Duffy, Kelvin Herrera, Jorge Soler, Ryan Buchter, Brandon Maurer Cheslor Cuthbert, and Raul Mondesi until at least 2019 should leave one feeling pretty optimistic. Re-up Moose or Hos (and heck, re-sign Dyson while we're at it), and suddenly this team looks very much like one that could compete for the indefinite future.

The Royals are all in again, buckle in and enjoy the ride.

April OP:

Spoiler!

Last edited by Chiefspants; 08-02-2017 at 01:53 PM..
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Old 04-30-2017, 07:39 AM   #631
Unsmooth-Moment Unsmooth-Moment is offline
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Originally Posted by Great Expectations View Post
I hope we don't send a piece to the Cardinals that helps them win. The AAA rhetoric will restart in full if that happens.
Meh. I want as much as we can get. Highest bidder regardless of team!

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Old 04-30-2017, 07:46 AM   #632
BigCatDaddy BigCatDaddy is offline
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Originally Posted by Great Expectations View Post
I hope we don't send a piece to the Cardinals that helps them win. The AAA rhetoric will restart in full if that happens.
Who cares?
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Old 04-30-2017, 08:20 AM   #633
duncan_idaho duncan_idaho is offline
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The Nationals are merging as a logical trade partner for Kansas City after losing Eaton.

A Cain-Herrera package to Washington would fill the only two holes that team has (similar to Cueto-Zobrist for KC in 2015).

There's a thing on TradeRumors about Washington being interested in Kelvin.

CF prospect Andrew Stevenson would make a lot of sense coming back for KC. He is off to a nice start in AAA Harrisburg and might be expendable for Washington, which has to start thinking about maximizing its chances this year and next, with Harper hitting free agency after next year.

Would expect more than just Stevenson back, but it is a great fit as a primary piece for the Royals.


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Old 04-30-2017, 08:24 AM   #634
Bowser Bowser is offline
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(I don't really want to do it, but we're nose diving hard. Better to sell high while we can, I guess?)
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Old 04-30-2017, 08:26 AM   #635
Sure-Oz Sure-Oz is offline
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The hate for these guys going around is pretty ****ing stupid especially what they have done for this franchise.
Yep...I want them to do well except against the Royals. I'm upset they aren't but not wishing them to suck the rest of their careers. Don't be ungrateful assholes.
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Old 04-30-2017, 08:30 AM   #636
Sure-Oz Sure-Oz is offline
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Originally Posted by duncan_idaho View Post
The Nationals are merging as a logical trade partner for Kansas City after losing Eaton.

A Cain-Herrera package to Washington would fill the only two holes that team has (similar to Cueto-Zobrist for KC in 2015).

There's a thing on TradeRumors about Washington being interested in Kelvin.

CF prospect Andrew Stevenson would make a lot of sense coming back for KC. He is off to a nice start in AAA Harrisburg and might be expendable for Washington, which has to start thinking about maximizing its chances this year and next, with Harper hitting free agency after next year.

Would expect more than just Stevenson back, but it is a great fit as a primary piece for the Royals.


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Hope This happens for a haul. I assume we won't resign Herrera after next season. Wonder how soon this could happen too.... probably still by the deadline?
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Old 04-30-2017, 09:55 AM   #637
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Those days are long gone.

I know a lot of people didn't like my comments last year but I still stand by the fact that the Fire Sale should have occurred before 2016's Trade Deadline.

When it happens this year, they're going to receive a pittance in return this year as opposed to 2016.
Weren't you the one complaining about not just 2016, but also the 2015 trades and getting rid of all those prospects "just" to win a world series? Or was that someone else?

I think a lot of people would have been okay with some trades last year (not me) and it sounds like it may have happened had Davis not been injured.
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Old 04-30-2017, 04:48 PM   #638
suzzer99 suzzer99 is offline
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OMFG
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Old 04-30-2017, 05:13 PM   #639
13and3 13and3 is offline
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If we trade all these people who is going to fill the roster. Will we get worse than this? And for how long? I really dont understand the concept of managing a small market team, and the willingness to really suck for someone who might not play for 3 years if they ever make it to the major leagues at all.
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Old 04-30-2017, 05:52 PM   #640
Chiefspants Chiefspants is offline
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Originally Posted by 13and3 View Post
If we trade all these people who is going to fill the roster. Will we get worse than this? And for how long? I really dont understand the concept of managing a small market team, and the willingness to really suck for someone who might not play for 3 years if they ever make it to the major leagues at all.
One thing to keep in mind was that this was the exact strategy we used to win a World Series.

Danny Duffy, Salvador Perez, Alex Gordon, Eric Hosmer, Moose, Yordano Ventura, Kelvin Herrera, and Greg Holland all went through our minor league system. Lorenzo Cain and Esky were added through trades, and Wade Davis was acquired because of the minor league talent in our system. All of this happened while our major league team was sucking, and ALL carried the risk that they'd never pan out at all.

We don't have the funds to compete with the Giants or Dodgers of the world, luckily, our front office has already shown they can succeed in a small market, and deserve a couple of years to show they can do it again.
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Old 04-30-2017, 06:17 PM   #641
lewdog lewdog is offline
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If we trade all these people who is going to fill the roster. Will we get worse than this? And for how long? I really dont understand the concept of managing a small market team, and the willingness to really suck for someone who might not play for 3 years if they ever make it to the major leagues at all.
Not every market has the ability to build a roster each year with money. A team like the Royals has to hit on numerous prospects developing at one time to have a chance to win. Just like Chiefspants laid out wit the players who came up through our system.

If you have "talent" but won't be winning (current season), you unload to get a haul of prospects. There is not time table for how long it will take to get "good" again. A lot has to go right for small market teams to make a run like we did in 2015.

I realize this is hard for many new Royals fans to understand. And although the Royals are spending money on this roster, it's not sustainable unless you're winning. Many of the guys who helped us win a World Series simply cannot be retained.
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Old 04-30-2017, 06:35 PM   #642
ChiefsCountry ChiefsCountry is offline
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OMFG
Actually thats a genius idea. It's hard as hell to hold food items and a drink at a game.
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Old 04-30-2017, 06:37 PM   #643
Prison Bitch Prison Bitch is offline
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The crowds are about to collapse and when they do, Glass will order the Code Red. And he will be perfectly justified. He isn't spending 140M on this garbage without some heads rolling. They are getting humiliated by trash teams like the Sux and Twinx
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Old 04-30-2017, 06:39 PM   #644
duncan_idaho duncan_idaho is offline
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Originally Posted by 13and3 View Post
If we trade all these people who is going to fill the roster. Will we get worse than this? And for how long? I really dont understand the concept of managing a small market team, and the willingness to really suck for someone who might not play for 3 years if they ever make it to the major leagues at all.

The concept is simple for a small market: you have to develop your own talent to win, and you have to keep doing it to win consistently.

The Royals farm system has not produced enough to do a simple reload. Not ideal, but it happens. Baseball scouting is the hardest of the major sports.

And that would be the case even if the Royals had kept Finnegan and Reed and Manaea.

KC has a flag that will for ever as a result. Not every small market is so lucky. In fact, most slink back to the bottom without a title. Ask a Rays fan, if you can find one. Or a Twins fan. Or an A's fan. Or a Brewers fan. Or a Pirates fan.

As for what happens immediately, they'll find guys to fill he roster. They probably will even get a player or two back that comes straight to the majors.

But say they do ship out Moustakas, Hosmer, Cain, and Herrera before the deadline. That probably means Cuthbert is playing every day at 3B. Moss can take time at 1B. Hunter Dozier probably gets a promotion to the show. Bonifacio and Soler play big roles.

The only position without an obvious answer is CF, where Donnie Dewees is probably KC's best prospect and is still a bit away from the majors (he's off to an OK start at AA Northwest Arkansas but nothing incredible).

In the rotation, I imagine KC would move Kennedy and Vargas and Hammel and Wood and Young, if anyone wants any of those guys (they may hang on to Kennedy, depends on the SP market and his value).

The biggest key is going to be stockpiling talent. Just get the best guys you can. It would be ideal to be ready to compete again in 2-3 years, while Duffy and Perez are still prime contributors. But you can't take lesser talent to chase that goal.


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Old 04-30-2017, 06:42 PM   #645
suzzer99 suzzer99 is offline
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Actually thats a genius idea. It's hard as hell to hold food items and a drink at a game.
Yeah also hard to walk up and down stairs with food and a drink.
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