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Old 04-05-2017, 10:55 AM  
Chiefspants Chiefspants is offline
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*** Official 2017 Royals Repository ***

Chiefsplanet’s (Proposed) 2017 Season Title: One Last Ride

Midish-Season Update (Royals 51-47, 2nd Wild Card, 1.5 GB of ALC):

We're halfway through 2017, and fittingly to the Chiefsplanet's 2017 Season Title, the Royals are all-in on what will likely be one final run with the current core. While many are worried the Royals will take a 2004 style tumble after this year, the farm system is hardly the barren wasteland it was during the Baird years. To see what's in the pipeline and what we have to look forward to, check out this exceptional list and analysis that Duncan put together of our system.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...htmlview#gid=0

While I had the honor of starting this thread this year, Duncan will always have a VIP pass to this OP, and can add more content at any time.

2017's Burning Questions Revisited:

1. What is the threshold between being “buyers” and “sellers” at the deadline?

We're buyers, baby.

In April, I argued that it would be a wise strategy for us to sell if we were 5 GB or worse, but that Dayton would likely add supplemental pieces for us to load up for another run if we were 1-2 GB. On July 24th, the Royals found themselves in sole possession of the 2nd wild card spot and 1.5 games back of the division. In April I said the Royals might pull the trigger on someone like Alex Cobb and resign Luke Hochevar, but since the Rays are also buyers and Luke's shoulder hasn't rebounded, this prediction hasn't come to fruition. Luckily, Dayton Moore again proved much more adept and creative than me by adding Trevor Cahill (good call, Duncan), Brandon Maurer and Ryan Buchter in a single trade. Giving us a solid starter to compete in 2017, and two relievers whom we will control through 2019 and 2021, respectively, keeping Moore's new vision through 2019-2020 intact. Moore has hinted that the Royals will continue to pursue the right deals if they're there, so the fun may not be over just yet. While we may not have the bullets to pull in a "star" like Cueto or Zo, Moore's adeptness may yet again net us what we need for another run in October.

2. Can Gordo and Moose bounce back to 2015 levels?

In April I asked if Gordo could at least set the table at a 265/325/425 clip and if Moose could deliver damage around a 265/335/500 clip for an entire year. This season Mr. Moustakas has been the prospect that was promised, delivering at a 277/307/568 clip as of this update. Gordo, on the other hand, has put up an unbelievably abysmal line thus far. But, if there is a silver lining, it's that Gordo has performed at a 246/311/432 line since June 1st, and if he can continue to perform near that mark, he will be more than a valuable asset at the bottom of the lineup while he continues to provide the best LF defense in the league.

3. Can Ned Yost manage a bullpen?

In April, I felt that despite the poor start, Royals bullpen would ultimately be "solid" this year, but the question was whether "solid" was good enough for Ned. I argued that the Royals needed Soria to bounce back and that Ned would need to start being strategic in his L/L and R/R matchups. While Ned has still made at times baffling and frustrating decisions with his starters (such as allowing Travis Wood to try to "get the win" and still insisting on sending Hammel out for the 6th, he's mostly done a good job).

MASH: Minor/Moylan - Alexander - Soria - Herrera (Credit to C3HIEF3S for the origins of the phrase) have cemented into reliable pieces, and now that Herrera is showing signs of stabilizing, our dumping of Wood, our call up Flynn, and the acquisition of Buchter and Maurer, the Royals have the potential to enter October with one of the best and deepest bullpens in the postseason.

4. Will the Royals find a boost from an unexpected X-Factor to lift them to contention?

Cool-Whit, Boni, Mike ****ing Minor, and Alexander have come up huge thus far. Cool Whit is, incredibly, is second on the team in WAR and has more than replaced Zo's presence on the team. They, like the X-Factors on the 2014-2015 teams, have been critical cogs as we've raced back to contention, while Cool-Whit and Boni also have provided a rosier outlook for this team's future. It's worth noting that Salvador Perez and Jason Vargas has been beasts on offense and the mound (along with Sal providing his customary defensive excellence), but I am still a bit wary of Salvy's annual Yost assisted offensive drought as the team moves into August, along with Vargy regressing to his averages.

5. Can Jorge Soler and Brandon Moss be productive contributors in Kauffman’s dimensions?

Ouch, no, but the Royals shift to power-hitting in the juiced ball era looks like one that will pay off. Thankfully, Moss is showing signs of entering his seasonal hot streak where he becomes corn-fed Jesus for a month, and we'll need him hot to keep up with Cleveland down the stretch. While Jorge has been painful to watch in the majors, his scorching performance in AAA should give one a bright hope for the future. While some may disagree, I offer Moose, Hos, Gordo, and Duffy's struggles as exhibit A for why it is far too early to give up on Soler's potential.

Bonus Question - Is Raul Mondesi truly ready to be an everyday player?

Ha! Not even close. However, like Soler, his progress in AAA is incredibly encouraging. With ceilings like Lindor and floors being Esky being thrown out there, it's hard not to be excited about his future.

The Picture Forward

There are many reasons to be excited, and not only for 2017. The Royals emergence of Cool Whit, Bonifacio, and Scott Alexander, and the fact that we have pieces like Salvador Perez, Danny Duffy, Kelvin Herrera, Jorge Soler, Ryan Buchter, Brandon Maurer Cheslor Cuthbert, and Raul Mondesi until at least 2019 should leave one feeling pretty optimistic. Re-up Moose or Hos (and heck, re-sign Dyson while we're at it), and suddenly this team looks very much like one that could compete for the indefinite future.

The Royals are all in again, buckle in and enjoy the ride.

April OP:

Spoiler!

Last edited by Chiefspants; 08-02-2017 at 01:53 PM..
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Old 05-25-2017, 09:00 AM   #1381
Fansy the Famous Bard Fansy the Famous Bard is offline
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Not you specifically, SK. Just the norm in here, if you have a differing opinion posters focus on your cankles and call you a fatty. So... I have cankles, i never claimed not to be a fatty.
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Old 05-25-2017, 09:02 AM   #1382
Fansy the Famous Bard Fansy the Famous Bard is offline
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Originally Posted by ChiTown View Post
I'd rather play Mondesi every day and just let him develop. We lose nothing defensively, and how much are we really going to lose offensively?
Either way we still have to pay Escobar. I believe the thinking is that Mondesi just isn't ready for it and they don't want to ruin him. They threw Escobar to the wolves and let him work it through... so I'm not sure what is so different of the circumstances... maybe they feel they have more to lose with Mondesi, I dunno.
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Old 05-25-2017, 09:09 AM   #1383
Fansy the Famous Bard Fansy the Famous Bard is offline
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Originally Posted by duncan_idaho View Post
Re: Buck...

Had forgotten he was ranked that high going into 2003. By the summer of 2004, when the deal was made, Teahen was seen as the centerpiece in the circles I was in (was in the middle of my internship at SN at that point, under the tutelage of baseball analysis genius Tom Gatto).

It looks like Buck's status was pointing down in the year leading up to that trade, probably why I remembered it the way I did.

Kansas City tried the "the gang's all back" approach in 2016, with disappointing results. You can argue that injuries played a part there, definitely, and I have. But it also was reasonable to look at that and say the Royals approach - hyper focused on contact and grinding through low scoring games - had seen its window close.

I applaud them for trying to shift gears. I think it was necessary. Especially considering the risk associated with hanging on to Davis.

I don't think we're THAT far apart on eval of Soler as a return, actually, now that we've talked through it.

I also know his medicals were (and therefore still are) a bit of a mess, which changed the trade return picture and also increased Kc's risk if keeping him.

Considering his velo is down ANOTHER full MPH across the board, I wouldn't be surprised if the elbow pops sometime soon (hope it doesn't, for his sake).

All of my thoughts on the deal are colored by those thoughts.

Re: Robles... I had dismissed that as a "no way" possibility until hearing Passan say it was reasonable this week.

That's intriguing. I'd be willing to give the Nats a one-stop shop for what they need to go over
The top this year... send them Cain, Herrera, and Soria, and I think you can work Robles and either Andrew Stevenson or Erick Fedde out of them.


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I do remember the backroom talk of "Teahan will be the gem of the trade and is what made it sweet at the time". But the centerpiece for the organization was Buck... In baseball circles KC had openly talked about their desperation for a Catcher of the future because the minors\majors were so barren in our organization. Baird was openly campaigning for a "ML Ready Catcher" when shopping Beltran. The entire city was openly campaigning for one, they were sick of Brent Mayne and AJ Hinch that could neither catch nor hit to expectations. Shortsighted, probably... but that's what it was at the time. Catcher was our major weakness that was going to solve everything. I mean we had bright young stars like Desi Relaford, Ken Harvey, Jeremy Affeldt, Chris George, Kyle Snyder, Migel Asencio and Angel Berroa to build around.
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Old 05-25-2017, 09:13 AM   #1384
siberian khatru siberian khatru is offline
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Originally Posted by fahrenheit View Post
It's what I do.

I drink and I get buttsoredness.

Not you specifically, SK. Just the norm in here, if you have a differing opinion posters focus on your cankles and call you a fatty. So... I have cankles, i never claimed not to be a fatty.
Good. Because I thought we had a decent discussion.

And that explains the T-shirt image you posted (I didn't get it at the time -- I was honestly wondering which version of Gordo Nation shirt you received from sitting in that section).

FTR, I don't think there's a party line in the Royals threads (it's not like the Alex Smith/DRAFT A QB ANY QB arguments). For old-timers like me, it recalls the "PPL" meme (Planet Party Line) that, IIRC, KCJohnny used to propagate.

Don't be like KCJohnny.
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Old 05-25-2017, 09:16 AM   #1385
mr. tegu mr. tegu is offline
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Originally Posted by duncan_idaho View Post
Kansas City tried the "the gang's all back" approach in 2016, with disappointing results. You can argue that injuries played a part there, definitely, and I have. But it also was reasonable to look at that and say the Royals approach - hyper focused on contact and grinding through low scoring games - had seen its window close.
I am fairly certain last year's failure can be 90% attributed to one player in Soria. I bet we make the playoffs without him. Just a horrible signing all around that really never made much sense. Soria had a good half season in 2015 and for that we signed him to way too much money and years, which forced him into a prominent role, and I think it cost us the playoffs last season.
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Old 05-25-2017, 09:21 AM   #1386
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I am fairly certain last year's failure can be 90% attributed to one player in Soria.
And Cain missing so much time. The W-L with him in and out of the lineup was staggering.
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Old 05-25-2017, 10:11 AM   #1387
Sure-Oz Sure-Oz is offline
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Either way we still have to pay Escobar. I believe the thinking is that Mondesi just isn't ready for it and they don't want to ruin him. They threw Escobar to the wolves and let him work it through... so I'm not sure what is so different of the circumstances... maybe they feel they have more to lose with Mondesi, I dunno.
I'd rather Escobar play and have Mondesi get ready in AAA...he needs it.
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Old 05-25-2017, 10:13 AM   #1388
Sure-Oz Sure-Oz is offline
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And Cain missing so much time. The W-L with him in and out of the lineup was staggering.
Moose taken out Gordon...it's def more than 1 guy
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Old 05-25-2017, 10:48 AM   #1389
Demonpenz Demonpenz is offline
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Was Teahean in the Book Money ball or like a sidebook? I seem to recall he was running hot in that era becauae of his batting eye.
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Old 05-25-2017, 10:55 AM   #1390
Prison Bitch Prison Bitch is offline
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I do remember the backroom talk of "Teahan will be the gem of the trade and is what made it sweet at the time". But the centerpiece for the organization was Buck... In baseball circles KC had openly talked about their desperation for a Catcher of the future because the minors\majors were so barren in our organization. Baird was openly campaigning for a "ML Ready Catcher" when shopping Beltran. The entire city was openly campaigning for one, they were sick of Brent Mayne and AJ Hinch that could neither catch nor hit to expectations. Shortsighted, probably... but that's what it was at the time. Catcher was our major weakness that was going to solve everything. I mean we had bright young stars like Desi Relaford, Ken Harvey, Jeremy Affeldt, Chris George, Kyle Snyder, Migel Asencio and Angel Berroa to build around.

At the time, Baird told everyone he needed a 3B and a C. Why? Because Baird was a reerun that's why. That Royals team had ZERO chance of contending anytime soon, no farm, and no young talent anywhere outside of CF and SS. Yet he limited his return demanding certain positions


We needed a top-20 prospect for Beltran (to his credit, Baird did offer him straight up for Floridas top prospect the winter before 2003 season. Some dude named Miggy Cabrera). Shot down
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Old 05-25-2017, 11:09 AM   #1391
mr. tegu mr. tegu is offline
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Originally Posted by Prison Bitch View Post
We needed a top-20 prospect for Beltran (to his credit, Baird did offer him straight up for Floridas top prospect the winter before 2003 season. Some dude named Miggy Cabrera). Shot down
Crazy. I had no idea about that. It feels good to not have to worry about the what ifs though since we went to two world series and won one.
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Old 05-25-2017, 11:31 AM   #1392
duncan_idaho duncan_idaho is offline
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Originally Posted by Prison Bitch View Post
At the time, Baird told everyone he needed a 3B and a C. Why? Because Baird was a reerun that's why. That Royals team had ZERO chance of contending anytime soon, no farm, and no young talent anywhere outside of CF and SS. Yet he limited his return demanding certain positions





We needed a top-20 prospect for Beltran (to his credit, Baird did offer him straight up for Floridas top prospect the winter before 2003 season. Some dude named Miggy Cabrera). Shot down

The Yankees offered Robby Cano plus a few other pieces who escape me at this point.

Gatto told me the Royals would regret it at the time. He was obviously very correct.

The feel outside KC - at least SN, a St. Louis based national pub - was that Teahen was the prize/plum in that deal. Interesting to hear more KC-centric takes on it.

Quote:
Originally Posted by mr. tegu View Post
I am fairly certain last year's failure can be 90% attributed to one player in Soria. I bet we make the playoffs without him. Just a horrible signing all around that really never made much sense. Soria had a good half season in 2015 and for that we signed him to way too much money and years, which forced him into a prominent role, and I think it cost us the playoffs last season.

Soria was a big piece of it. Moore signed him thinking this year's version is what he would get.

I don't think swapping even a cyborg in for Soria completely makes up the difference, though.

Moustakas, Cain and Gordon injuries all hurt, too.





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Old 05-25-2017, 11:36 AM   #1393
Prison Bitch Prison Bitch is offline
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Originally Posted by mr. tegu View Post
Crazy. I had no idea about that. It feels good to not have to worry about the what ifs though since we went to two world series and won one.
Athlon preview last year had the 2006 draft revisit. (10 yr anniversary). Obv we took Hoch 1. It was so stacked:

3. Longoria
6. Andrew Miller
7. Kershaw
10. Lincecum
11. Scherzer


(Balt took Bill Rowell 9. Became a druggie too. Worst bust in franchise history and hated forever for who went right after. http://baltimore.cbslocal.com/2016/0...s-of-all-time/)



Anyway that regret stuff goes out the window when you win it all. Hoch threw 11 scoreless IP in the playoffs. Part of a dominant pen that won the title. All good!
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Old 05-25-2017, 11:44 AM   #1394
siberian khatru siberian khatru is offline
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Originally Posted by duncan_idaho View Post
The Yankees offered Robby Cano plus a few other pieces who escape me at this point.



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Made sense from Allard's perspective. I mean, when you have Ruben Gotay as the future ...
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Old 05-25-2017, 11:45 AM   #1395
Prison Bitch Prison Bitch is offline
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Duncan can correct me but I seem to recall Andy Miller being the obv choice in 06. And we were taking him no doubts, after he dominated the Cape Cod. I remember being really surprised we took Hoch. Or maybe I'm misremembering, as that era was a depressing blur
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