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07-13-2017, 12:55 PM | #1006 | |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Nov 2010
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Quote:
Only problem is you are looking at Yu Dervish being the only ace in the pool and the guy is always injured. |
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Posts: 24,336
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07-13-2017, 12:57 PM | #1007 | |
Sauntering Vaguely Downwards
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Columbia, Mo
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Quote:
Some years Lester's been better than Quintana. Some year's he's been worse. They've always been comparable and in the end there are a whole lot of metrics that say Quintana has been every bit Lester's equal over the last several years including last season when Quintana actually had a BETTER adjusted FIP than Lester did. If Quintana is 'nothing special', then you guys paid $25 million/season for a middle of the rotation starter in Jon Lester. |
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Posts: 60,763
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07-13-2017, 01:16 PM | #1008 |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Nov 2010
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Lester had the best season of his career before FA and he's pitched like an ace ever since signing, numbers far lower than anything Quintana has posted. He also happens to have a career postseason ERA of 2.63. Obviously the contract won't age well if he continues down his first half path but when you look at what guys like Greinke got to say 150 isn't a bargain is nuts.
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Posts: 24,336
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07-13-2017, 01:21 PM | #1009 | |
Sauntering Vaguely Downwards
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Columbia, Mo
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Quote:
Y'know, the very argument you tried to make IN FAVOR of Lester. You have GOT to stop moving goalposts. And while post-season matters, that's not why the Cubs paid dearly for Quintana. He cost what he cost because of the 3 extra seasons of control and the innings/consistency/production he will provide. This isn't a rental and that's obviously why WAR does matter here. If all you care about is the postseason go get Darvish and ride him till he bucks ya. He'd have cost less than Quintana. But clearly that's not the only thing Theo is focused on - he's worried about the rotation going forward and wants a steady arm in it. The fact that Quintana has accumulated more WAR and put up comparable -FIPs over the last 4 years absolutely puts him in Lester's class in terms of value. |
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Posts: 60,763
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07-13-2017, 01:30 PM | #1010 | |
Rufus Dawes Jr.
Join Date: Aug 2000
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Quote:
Frankly, I don't think they need it. Next years roation is already four deep: Lester, Hendricks, Quintana, and Montgomery. So they could go with a prove it type guy, a one year like Anderson. What I think they are going to do is make another move before the deadline. I'd love them to revist the Fulmer deal. They still have plenty of prospects and he's only 24. So yes, I would unload talent in my farm system to build my starting rotation for years to come and avoid paying FA contracts for pitchers. If you sign a guy like Gray, you are going to need to be ready to pay him another contract in a few years. |
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Posts: 17,385
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07-13-2017, 01:38 PM | #1011 |
Sauntering Vaguely Downwards
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Columbia, Mo
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I think your farm system is largely 'unloaded' already when you're talking that level of player. Y'all don't have the bullets anymore to just move prospects for anything more than the Ervin Santana, Lance Lynn level of pitcher (I'd send y'all Lynn for Candelario, FYI).
I mean I guess you could peddle Happ but you're not getting a cost-controlled young starter for just Happ. So if Schwarber doesn't get you Fulmer, you ready to move Schwarber, Happ and Candelario for Fulmer and Wilson? If so, what's your OF going forward? The Cubs are in an undeniably enviable position given the youth of their core, but there's no getting around the fact that recent deals have really sapped their organizational depth. There's not a lot that the Cubs can move out at this point without it starting to sting a bit on the big league roster. |
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07-13-2017, 01:51 PM | #1012 | |
Rufus Dawes Jr.
Join Date: Aug 2000
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Posts: 17,385
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07-13-2017, 02:06 PM | #1013 | |
Sauntering Vaguely Downwards
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Columbia, Mo
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Quote:
It's easier to find a credible long-term 2b than it is to find a top of the rotation starter. And if you could run Lester - Fulmer - Quintana - Hendricks - Whatever you're in pretty nice shape. C - Contreras 1b - Rizzo 2b - Zobrist SS - Russell 3b - Baez LF - Bryant CF - Almora RF - Bryant Yeah, that lineup's good enough. If you got Wilson back in the deal you have closer insurance for Davis (and a good lefty reliever if you keep Davis). Probably a good deal to make. |
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Posts: 60,763
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07-13-2017, 02:15 PM | #1014 |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Nov 2010
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Posts: 24,336
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07-13-2017, 06:26 PM | #1015 | |
Rufus Dawes Jr.
Join Date: Aug 2000
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07-13-2017, 06:54 PM | #1016 |
Sauntering Vaguely Downwards
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Columbia, Mo
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Posts: 60,763
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07-13-2017, 08:35 PM | #1017 |
Rufus Dawes Jr.
Join Date: Aug 2000
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07-14-2017, 04:40 AM | #1018 |
Comfortably Numb
Join Date: Sep 2000
Location: Virginia
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07-14-2017, 07:24 AM | #1019 |
MVP
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: East Jabip
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07-14-2017, 06:16 PM | #1020 |
Diablo Negro
Join Date: Sep 2003
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Piscotty is in a line of shitty contracts handed out by Mo.
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Posts: 69,469
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