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03-20-2020, 03:26 PM | #7996 | |
George Brett shit his pants
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: At the Bellagio
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Quote:
We can estimate that at least 90% of our population of 330,000,000 will get a Coronavirus each year. As we know, there was a novel H1N1 virus outbreak in 2009. The scare of that was that it was more potent to younger people than the regular flu. An estimated 61 million people contracted the novel H1N1 in a one year period in 2009 in the United States. As we know, Covid-19 is AT LEAST twice as contagious as H1N1 was. Swine Flu/H1N1 infected 61 million US ppl and being COVID-19 is even more contagious it could easily infect at bare minimum 125 million people of our population. 125,000,000 (the lowest potential amount of infections) x 1% (the lowest acceptable mortality rate) = 1,250,000 minimum deaths if we just, you know. Do nothing. When compared to the swine flu which killed only about 13,000 in the USA. Being a vaccine may even take 18-months. This number could even be greater. This ALSO doesn't account for the strain on our health care system. The lack of ventilators that would be available. The lack of ICU beds. If you accounted for all of that the mortality rate would go up, as we are seeing in other countries that have had their health care system be overloaded. https://www.cdc.gov/flu/pandemic-res...-pandemic.html Last edited by BWillie; 03-20-2020 at 03:34 PM.. |
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Posts: 48,599
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03-20-2020, 03:29 PM | #7997 |
I love your mom
Join Date: Feb 2020
Location: Sturgeon Falls, Ontario
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I forgot to mention earlier about n95 , it Is not 1 style fits all, we get fitted every year where we sit under a hood and check to see if we can taste the sugary solution they spray under the hood doing various movements etc. Having a beard also reduces effectiveness.i am sure a test could be macgivered at home.
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03-20-2020, 03:31 PM | #7998 |
I'll be back.
Join Date: Nov 2002
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Posts: 286,523
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03-20-2020, 03:31 PM | #7999 | |
MVP
Join Date: Oct 2017
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Quote:
Also, healthcare providers have resorted to wearing surgical masks because there are not enough n95 masks. |
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Posts: 7,381
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03-20-2020, 03:32 PM | #8000 |
Chiefs
Join Date: Feb 2009
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03-20-2020, 03:32 PM | #8001 |
I'll be back.
Join Date: Nov 2002
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Posts: 286,523
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03-20-2020, 03:32 PM | #8002 |
I love your mom
Join Date: Feb 2020
Location: Sturgeon Falls, Ontario
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If only there was an island full of convicts we could send them to.
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Posts: 6,961
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03-20-2020, 03:32 PM | #8003 | |
Banned
Join Date: Dec 2012
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Posts: 729
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03-20-2020, 03:33 PM | #8004 |
Kind of a mod
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Donkey Land
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Posts: 52,366
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03-20-2020, 03:34 PM | #8005 |
Kind of a mod
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Donkey Land
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Posts: 52,366
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03-20-2020, 03:35 PM | #8006 | |
Forever Royal
Join Date: Mar 2012
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***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***
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There’s a lot of wrong in this post. It’s estimated there are at least 200 viruses that cause the common cold. Of those only a few are known coronaviruses that affect people and they make up about 20-30% of cases. |
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Posts: 24,962
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03-20-2020, 03:35 PM | #8007 |
"You like to drink?"
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: "I like to drink."
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Posts: 43,998
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03-20-2020, 03:35 PM | #8008 |
MVP
Join Date: Oct 2017
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Notice how the CDC guidelines for PPE have changed. They changed from N95 masks for healthcare providers to surgical masks being acceptable. Look at the PPE in China vs the PPE being used here.
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Posts: 7,381
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03-20-2020, 03:37 PM | #8009 |
Starter
Join Date: Jan 2014
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Thought this might be of interest.
For the past five weeks, infectious disease researchers from institutions around the United States have been taking a survey that gathers their thoughts on the trajectory of the COVID-19 virus. The researchers come from academia, government and industry, and are experts in modeling the spread of viruses like this one: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...to-get-either/ |
Posts: 52
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03-20-2020, 03:37 PM | #8010 | |
"Think BOOM!"
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: 33.675° N 106.475° W
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