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03-19-2020, 04:44 PM | #7216 | |
Kind of a mod
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Donkey Land
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03-19-2020, 04:45 PM | #7217 | |
MVP
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Back in K.C. baby!!!!
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Quote:
But hey, when a state is asking for money from the Federal government, it helps to inflate the numbers a little. |
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Posts: 7,024
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03-19-2020, 04:45 PM | #7218 |
WE ARE THE CHAMPIONS
Join Date: Aug 2000
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You say this in jest, but sadly it's been done before.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/British_Pet_Massacre |
Posts: 119,942
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03-19-2020, 04:46 PM | #7219 |
"Think BOOM!"
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: 33.675° N 106.475° W
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Posts: 186,064
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03-19-2020, 04:46 PM | #7220 | |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Confusion, USA
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Quote:
Typical unrestrained rate of doubling approx once every 4 days Fourteen doubling events Starting with 1,000 infected: Day 4= 2,000 Day 8 = 4,000 Day 12 = 8,000 Day 16 = 16,000 Day 20 = 32,000 Day 24 = 64,000 Day 28 = 128,000 Day 32 = 256,000 Day 36 = 512,000 Day 40 = 1,024,000 Day 44 = 2,048,000 Day 48 = 4,096,000 Day 52 = 8,192,000 Day 56 = 16,384,000 There are all kinds of gaps in the data that relate to mortality/etc but this is just math. Could it be slightly lower or higher? Sure. Will mitigation and social distancing and herd immunity stunt the spread? Of course. But, again, the figures cited - while most likely worst case - are not out of the realm of possibility if the spread is left unrestricted and continues to spread at the current rate. |
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03-19-2020, 04:46 PM | #7221 |
Veteran
Join Date: Aug 2001
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03-19-2020, 04:47 PM | #7222 | |
Supporter
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Olathe, Ks
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03-19-2020, 04:48 PM | #7223 | |
Kind of a mod
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Donkey Land
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Quote:
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Posts: 52,365
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03-19-2020, 04:48 PM | #7224 |
MVP
Join Date: Feb 2013
Location: Studio City, CA
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Gov. Newsom SHOW YOUR WORK we need to check your math and crosscheck it with this article I read on Salon a month ago
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Posts: 13,355
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03-19-2020, 04:49 PM | #7225 | |
Life is changing..
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: NW Missouri
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Posts: 40,614
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03-19-2020, 04:49 PM | #7226 |
"Think BOOM!"
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: 33.675° N 106.475° W
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Posts: 186,064
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03-19-2020, 04:50 PM | #7227 |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Confusion, USA
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Posts: 47,058
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03-19-2020, 04:50 PM | #7228 |
MVP
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Back in K.C. baby!!!!
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What, you all of a sudden believe everything politicians say now? When NOBODY is predicting those kinds of numbers. It would be unprecedented. It would be worse than the Spanish (am I aloud to say that any more?) Flu.
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Posts: 7,024
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03-19-2020, 04:50 PM | #7229 |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Confusion, USA
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Posts: 47,058
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03-19-2020, 04:51 PM | #7230 |
MVP
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Back in K.C. baby!!!!
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