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Old 06-27-2016, 11:23 AM  
DaFace DaFace is offline
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Investing megathread extravaganza
A place to talk about investing stuff.
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Old 06-15-2020, 02:32 PM   #5401
lewdog lewdog is offline
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Originally Posted by ThaVirus View Post
To people in this thread who have a brain (aka not Clay), are you expecting another big drop in the near future or over these next 6-ish months?
I’m expecting a large dump late 2020 or early 2021 (50%+). Although the Feds may start buying stocks so who really knows.

Guessing is hard. I always take profits along the way in my brokerage account because no one ever went poor selling stocks for profit. In my investment accounts I just dollar cost average each month and never look back. I rebalance those accounts once a year to my desired allocation.
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Old 06-15-2020, 02:36 PM   #5402
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Originally Posted by jdubya View Post
My 20 year old son has a ROTH IRA. Is today as good a day as any for him to drop some coin in it?
Time IN the market beats timing the market. If you have the cash, investing sooner rather than later usually results in more compounding interest over time.
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Old 06-15-2020, 02:40 PM   #5403
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Originally Posted by lewdog View Post
Time IN the market beats timing the market. If you have the cash, investing sooner rather than later usually results in more compounding interest over time.
Even if you expect a big dump (50%+) in just a few months?

I guess if you're 20 you've got another 40 years for the market to rebound and compound interest, but would it be better for someone on the older side to ride it out for another 6-9 months before dumping in a boatload of cash?
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Old 06-15-2020, 02:45 PM   #5404
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Originally Posted by ThaVirus View Post
Even if you expect a big dump (50%+) in just a few months?

I guess if you're 20 you've got another 40 years for the market to rebound and compound interest, but would it be better for someone on the older side to ride it out for another 6-9 months before dumping in a boatload of cash?
I would tend to agree with Lew that dollar cost averaging is the way to go. None of us really knows what will happen. If we get good news about vaccines and the second wave is small, then the markets will climb from here. So if you put in a little at a time with consistency, you'll manage both downside risk and upside risk.

I love the fact that trades are free now on the brokerages. I can buy $100 of stock at a time now without worrying about fees eating my profits.
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Old 06-15-2020, 02:49 PM   #5405
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Originally Posted by lewdog View Post
Time IN the market beats timing the market. If you have the cash, investing sooner rather than later usually results in more compounding interest over time.
Every once in awhile i am reminded that no matter how old I get, I`m still capable of asking stupid questions. Feel foolish that I needed reminding that the success of ROTH IRAs are based on CI which is based on time. Thanks the the head slap of wakefulness
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Old 06-15-2020, 02:58 PM   #5406
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Old 06-15-2020, 03:03 PM   #5407
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Originally Posted by ThaVirus View Post
To people in this thread who have a brain (aka not Clay), are you expecting another big drop in the near future or over these next 6-ish months?
If you saw my chart this year you'd think more highly of my brain.
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Old 06-15-2020, 03:11 PM   #5408
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ThaVirus View Post
Even if you expect a big dump (50%+) in just a few months?

I guess if you're 20 you've got another 40 years for the market to rebound and compound interest, but would it be better for someone on the older side to ride it out for another 6-9 months before dumping in a boatload of cash?
Someone older should limit their stock exposure anyway. If they’re dumping a Boatload on stocks that late in life, that’s their gambling, not money management.


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Originally Posted by Hammock Parties View Post
If you saw my chart this year you'd think more highly of my brain.
Realized gains or all paper?
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Old 06-15-2020, 03:14 PM   #5409
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Originally Posted by lewdog View Post
Realized gains or all paper?
Some realized, some are long-term holds.

But move those goalposts, lewdick.

We're not in the IQ era any more.

I am become death, destroyer of shorts.
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Old 06-15-2020, 03:17 PM   #5410
lewdog lewdog is offline
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Originally Posted by jdubya View Post
Every once in awhile i am reminded that no matter how old I get, I`m still capable of asking stupid questions. Feel foolish that I needed reminding that the success of ROTH IRAs are based on CI which is based on time. Thanks the the head slap of wakefulness
Not a problem. Easy concept but missed by many.

I’m going to get this thread on track and provide some good responses, articles and information. I’ve spent the last few months screwing around in my posting here and honestly this could be a valuable thread. Pete and Buehler provide good posts, along with Rainman and some occasional others. I’ll even say that Clay isn’t always wrong, but I do enjoy the banter with him. His trading style is risky although no uncommon. I wouldn’t recommend it for most but he’s not always super foolish.
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Old 06-15-2020, 03:18 PM   #5411
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Originally Posted by Hammock Parties View Post
Some realized, some are long-term holds.

But move those goalposts, lewdick.

We're not in the IQ era any more.

I am become death, destroyer of shorts.
Your fascination with my dick could be the reason you’re #foreveralone.
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Old 06-15-2020, 05:08 PM   #5412
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Originally Posted by jdubya View Post
My 20 year old son has a ROTH IRA. Is today as good a day as any for him to drop some coin in it?
At 20 years old, everyday is a good day to drop coin in. I wish I had a Roth at 20.
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Old 06-15-2020, 05:42 PM   #5413
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Originally Posted by ThaVirus View Post
Even if you expect a big dump (50%+) in just a few months?

I guess if you're 20 you've got another 40 years for the market to rebound and compound interest, but would it be better for someone on the older side to ride it out for another 6-9 months before dumping in a boatload of cash?
History says NO.
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Old 06-15-2020, 07:34 PM   #5414
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At 20 years old, everyday is a good day to drop coin in. I wish I had a Roth at 20.
Absolutely. I am always talking to the newer people at work about how important it is to always contribute to our TSP. A lot of them don't realize how quickly it can build if you put a few % more than the match.
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Old 06-15-2020, 08:11 PM   #5415
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My company match blows. Only bad part about my job and benefits. I put in 12% of my own income to bring my tax bracket down though. Crazy how many people pass up free money in the company match.
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