***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***

[JakeF]

A couple of reminders...

Originally Posted by Bwana

Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.

Originally Posted by Dartgod

People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.

We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.

Thanks!

Click here for the original OP:

Spoiler!

Apparently the CoronaVirus can survive on a inanimate objects, such as door knobs, for 9 days.

California coronavirus case could be first spread within U.S. community, CDC says
By SOUMYA KARLAMANGLA, JACLYN COSGROVE
FEB. 26, 2020 8:04 PM

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is investigating what could be the first case of novel coronavirus in the United States involving a patient in California who neither recently traveled out of the country nor was in contact with someone who did.

“At this time, the patient’s exposure is unknown. It’s possible this could be an instance of community spread of COVID-19, which would be the first time this has happened in the United States,” the CDC said in a statement. “Community spread means spread of an illness for which the source of infection is unknown. It’s also possible, however, that the patient may have been exposed to a returned traveler who was infected.”

The individual is a resident of Solano County and is receiving medical care in Sacramento County, according to the state Department of Public Health.

The CDC said the “case was detected through the U.S. public health system — picked up by astute clinicians.”

Officials at UC Davis Medical Center expanded on what the federal agency might have meant by that in an email sent Wednesday, as reported by the Davis Enterprise newspaper.

The patient arrived at UC Davis Medical Center from another hospital Feb. 19 and “had already been intubated, was on a ventilator, and given droplet protection orders because of an undiagnosed and suspected viral condition,” according to an email sent by UC Davis officials that was obtained by the Davis Enterprise.

The staff at UC Davis requested COVID-19 testing by the CDC, but because the patient didn’t fit the CDC’s existing criteria for the virus, a test wasn’t immediately administered, according to the email. The CDC then ordered the test Sunday, and results were announced Wednesday. Hospital administrators reportedly said in the email that despite these issues, there has been minimal exposure at the hospital because of safety protocols they have in place.

A UC Davis Health spokesperson declined Wednesday evening to share the email with The Times.

Since Feb. 2, more than 8,400 returning travelers from China have entered California, according to the state health department. They have been advised to self-quarantine for 14 days and limit interactions with others as much as possible, officials said.

“This is a new virus, and while we are still learning about it, there is a lot we already know,” Dr. Sonia Angell, director of the California Department of Public Health, said in a statement. “We have been anticipating the potential for such a case in the U.S., and given our close familial, social and business relationships with China, it is not unexpected that the first case in the U.S. would be in California.”

It is not clear how the person became infected, but public health workers could not identify any contacts with people who had traveled to China or other areas where the virus is widespread. That raises concern that the virus is spreading in the United States, creating a challenge for public health officials, experts say.

“It’s the first signal that we could be having silent transmission in the community,” said Lawrence Gostin, director of the World Health Organization Collaborating Center on National and Global Health Law. “It probably means there are many more cases out there, and it probably means this individual has infected others, and now it’s a race to try to find out who that person has infected.”

On Tuesday, the CDC offered its most serious warning to date that the United States should expect and prepare for the coronavirus to become a more widespread health issue.

“Ultimately, we expect we will see coronavirus spread in this country,” said Nancy Messonnier, director of the CDC’s National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases. “It’s not so much a question of if, but a question of when.”

According to the CDC’s latest count Wednesday morning, 59 U.S. residents have tested positive for the new strain of coronavirus — 42 of whom are repatriated citizens from a Diamond Princess cruise. That number has grown by two since Messonnier’s last count Tuesday, although the CDC was not immediately available to offer details on the additional cases.

More than 82,000 cases of coronavirus have been reported globally, and more than 2,700 people have died, with the majority in mainland China, the epicenter of the outbreak.

But public health leaders have repeatedly reminded residents that the health risk from the novel coronavirus to the general public remains low.

“While COVID-19 has a high transmission rate, it has a low mortality rate,” the state Department of Public Health said in a statement Wednesday. “From the international data we have, of those who have tested positive for COVID-19, approximately 80% do not exhibit symptoms that would require hospitalization. There have been no confirmed deaths related to COVID-19 in the United States to date.”

CDC officials have also warned that although the virus is likely to spread in U.S. communities, the flu still poses a greater risk.

Gostin said the news of potential silent transmission does not eliminate the possibility of containing the virus in the U.S. and preventing an outbreak.

“There are few enough cases that we should at least try,” he said. “Most of us are not optimistic that that will be successful, but we’re still in the position to try.”

[Donger]

Originally Posted by TLO

Why were you asking me about the IHME model the other day? And why did you quote a post I made in September about it? I've been curious.

At the time, it seemed very pessimistic. With the recent growth in new cases and deaths, I wanted to revisit it to see where we are against it. I remembered that you kept an eye on it so I found your post.

[Donger]

Originally Posted by Pasta Giant Meatball

You are absolutely pathetic

Que the "why??"

They're just unfortunate facts. I think it's clear that we've cleared any Thanksgiving backlog by now.

[TLO]

CDC vaccine advisers vote to recommend Pfizer/BioNTech Covid-19 vaccine in the United States.

Hopefully the Moderna data looks just as solid and we get approval for it around this time next week.

[Chief Roundup]

Originally Posted by TLO

Fire up the planes, trains, and automobiles. One of the most important distribution operations in US history is about to begin.

This is not necessary for the limited number of vaccinations that will be available.

[louie aguiar]

Originally Posted by Chief Roundup

This is not necessary for the limited number of vaccinations that will be available.

200 million is a limited number?

[Pasta Little Brioni]

Originally Posted by Chief Roundup

This is not necessary for the limited number of vaccinations that will be available.

Let him have that one

[Chief Roundup]

Originally Posted by louie aguiar

200 million is a limited number?

Where you getting that? There is only suppose to be 6.4 million vaccines ready currently for the US.

Sent from my SM-G973U1 using Tapatalk

[louie aguiar]

Originally Posted by Chief Roundup

Where you getting that? There is only suppose to be 6.4 million vaccines ready currently for the US.

Sent from my SM-G973U1 using Tapatalk

Between Pfizer and moderna we’ve secured that many doses - certainly not all available yet but this will no doubt be a massive distribution effort especially when you consider the special handling that the vaccines require.

[Chief Roundup]

Originally Posted by louie aguiar

Between Pfizer and moderna we’ve secured that many doses - certainly not all available yet but this will no doubt be a massive distribution effort especially when you consider the special handling that the vaccines require.

First I stated available, which is what you quoted me and implied that I was wrong about. Second that many have not been secured. You need to check your info. There is a reason that the has been an outcry about us not securing more doses that got sold to Europe. There may not be 200 million people take the vaccine in the US.

[Donger]

Covid-19 vaccines are packaged at the Pfizer facility on Sunday

Looks like a highway construction gig...

[Hoover]

Thrilled that the vaccine will start to be distributed next week.

Time to vaccinate people with little to no life expectancy remaining (anyone over age 72).
Got to vaccinate those health care heroes who have for months proven that PPE is effective.
And don't forget, we must get all those incarcerated vaccinated!

Then maybe we can get to the teachers....

[KCUnited]

Seeing trucks roll out with vaccines is some moon landing feels for me.

People will keep on warring over the immaterial, but I'm ready to rally.

[Chief Roundup]

[Rain Man]

Originally Posted by Hoover

Thrilled that the vaccine will start to be distributed next week.

Time to vaccinate people with little to no life expectancy remaining (anyone over age 72).
Got to vaccinate those health care heroes who have for months proven that PPE is effective.
And don't forget, we must get all those incarcerated vaccinated!

Then maybe we can get to the teachers....

At age 72 the average remaining life expectancy is 14 years. In 14 years of retirement I could write a novel, start a cult, sail around the world, design an improved grapefruit, and explore the entirety of Mammoth Cave in Kentucky.

[Katipan]

Short of it being self peeling, how are you improving the grapefruit?