***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***

[JakeF]

A couple of reminders...

Originally Posted by Bwana

Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.

Originally Posted by Dartgod

People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.

We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.

Thanks!

Click here for the original OP:

Spoiler!

Apparently the CoronaVirus can survive on a inanimate objects, such as door knobs, for 9 days.

California coronavirus case could be first spread within U.S. community, CDC says
By SOUMYA KARLAMANGLA, JACLYN COSGROVE
FEB. 26, 2020 8:04 PM

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is investigating what could be the first case of novel coronavirus in the United States involving a patient in California who neither recently traveled out of the country nor was in contact with someone who did.

“At this time, the patient’s exposure is unknown. It’s possible this could be an instance of community spread of COVID-19, which would be the first time this has happened in the United States,” the CDC said in a statement. “Community spread means spread of an illness for which the source of infection is unknown. It’s also possible, however, that the patient may have been exposed to a returned traveler who was infected.”

The individual is a resident of Solano County and is receiving medical care in Sacramento County, according to the state Department of Public Health.

The CDC said the “case was detected through the U.S. public health system — picked up by astute clinicians.”

Officials at UC Davis Medical Center expanded on what the federal agency might have meant by that in an email sent Wednesday, as reported by the Davis Enterprise newspaper.

The patient arrived at UC Davis Medical Center from another hospital Feb. 19 and “had already been intubated, was on a ventilator, and given droplet protection orders because of an undiagnosed and suspected viral condition,” according to an email sent by UC Davis officials that was obtained by the Davis Enterprise.

The staff at UC Davis requested COVID-19 testing by the CDC, but because the patient didn’t fit the CDC’s existing criteria for the virus, a test wasn’t immediately administered, according to the email. The CDC then ordered the test Sunday, and results were announced Wednesday. Hospital administrators reportedly said in the email that despite these issues, there has been minimal exposure at the hospital because of safety protocols they have in place.

A UC Davis Health spokesperson declined Wednesday evening to share the email with The Times.

Since Feb. 2, more than 8,400 returning travelers from China have entered California, according to the state health department. They have been advised to self-quarantine for 14 days and limit interactions with others as much as possible, officials said.

“This is a new virus, and while we are still learning about it, there is a lot we already know,” Dr. Sonia Angell, director of the California Department of Public Health, said in a statement. “We have been anticipating the potential for such a case in the U.S., and given our close familial, social and business relationships with China, it is not unexpected that the first case in the U.S. would be in California.”

It is not clear how the person became infected, but public health workers could not identify any contacts with people who had traveled to China or other areas where the virus is widespread. That raises concern that the virus is spreading in the United States, creating a challenge for public health officials, experts say.

“It’s the first signal that we could be having silent transmission in the community,” said Lawrence Gostin, director of the World Health Organization Collaborating Center on National and Global Health Law. “It probably means there are many more cases out there, and it probably means this individual has infected others, and now it’s a race to try to find out who that person has infected.”

On Tuesday, the CDC offered its most serious warning to date that the United States should expect and prepare for the coronavirus to become a more widespread health issue.

“Ultimately, we expect we will see coronavirus spread in this country,” said Nancy Messonnier, director of the CDC’s National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases. “It’s not so much a question of if, but a question of when.”

According to the CDC’s latest count Wednesday morning, 59 U.S. residents have tested positive for the new strain of coronavirus — 42 of whom are repatriated citizens from a Diamond Princess cruise. That number has grown by two since Messonnier’s last count Tuesday, although the CDC was not immediately available to offer details on the additional cases.

More than 82,000 cases of coronavirus have been reported globally, and more than 2,700 people have died, with the majority in mainland China, the epicenter of the outbreak.

But public health leaders have repeatedly reminded residents that the health risk from the novel coronavirus to the general public remains low.

“While COVID-19 has a high transmission rate, it has a low mortality rate,” the state Department of Public Health said in a statement Wednesday. “From the international data we have, of those who have tested positive for COVID-19, approximately 80% do not exhibit symptoms that would require hospitalization. There have been no confirmed deaths related to COVID-19 in the United States to date.”

CDC officials have also warned that although the virus is likely to spread in U.S. communities, the flu still poses a greater risk.

Gostin said the news of potential silent transmission does not eliminate the possibility of containing the virus in the U.S. and preventing an outbreak.

“There are few enough cases that we should at least try,” he said. “Most of us are not optimistic that that will be successful, but we’re still in the position to try.”

[Donger]

Originally Posted by TLO

Pardon my ignorance, but aren't these numbers quite a bit lower than previous numbers we've seen?

Or do you have to multiply the numbers listed above by 100 or something? I think you do.

I've never seen the CDC break them out this way before, so I don't know.

To get the actual percentage IFR, yes, x 100

[mlyonsd]

Oxford, AstraZeneca to resume coronavirus vaccine trial

18,000 people have received vaccine

https://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/...-vaccine-trial

[TLO]

Originally Posted by mlyonsd

Oxford, AstraZeneca to resume coronavirus vaccine trial

18,000 people have received vaccine

https://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/...-vaccine-trial

Good news.

[Kidd Lex]

Originally Posted by mlyonsd

Oxford, AstraZeneca to resume coronavirus vaccine trial

18,000 people have received vaccine

https://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/...-vaccine-trial

I appreciate you sharing new pertinent info in this Donger diseased thread.

[Donger]

Originally Posted by Kidd Lex

I appreciate you sharing new pertinent info in this Donger diseased thread.

Not a big fan of facts, eh?

[suzzer99]

Lol yeah the thread that doesn't have dozens of posters insisting that a person with diabetes who got covid and died - actually died of diabetes - is the diseased thread. o_O

[suzzer99]

Originally Posted by TLO

Pardon my ignorance, but aren't these numbers quite a bit lower than previous numbers we've seen?

Or do you have to multiply the numbers listed above by 100 or something? I think you do.

I suspect a lot of that has to do with securing nursing homes, and a lot to do with other at-risk people being very cautious.

Also there is very strong evidence that initial viral dose affects eventual severity of infection. Masks help with initial viral load, as does warmer weather.

I'm concerned about cold weather + back to school + back to office. At least we'll have a small amount of herd immunity.

[Donger]

Dakotas lead US in virus growth as both reject mask rules

https://apnews.com/f4988865f4fad739e099b17707f8727f

SIOUX FALLS, S.D. (AP) — Coronavirus infections in the Dakotas are growing faster than anywhere else in the nation, fueling impassioned debates over masks and personal freedom after months in which the two states avoided the worst of the pandemic.

The argument over masks raged this week in Brookings, South Dakota, as the city council considered requiring face coverings in businesses. The city was forced to move its meeting to a local arena to accommodate intense interest, with many citizens speaking against it, before the mask requirement ultimately passed.

Amid the brute force of the pandemic, health experts warn that the infections must be contained before care systems are overwhelmed. North Dakota and South Dakota lead the country in new cases per capita over the last two weeks, ranking first and second respectively, according to Johns Hopkins University researchers.

South Dakota has also posted some of the country’s highest positivity rates for COVID-19 tests in the last week — over 17 percent — an indication that there are more infections than tests are catching.

Infections have been spurred by schools and universities reopening and mass gatherings like the Sturgis Motorcycle Rally, which drew hundreds of thousands of people from across the country.

“It is not a surprise that South Dakota has one of the highest (COVID-19) reproduction rates in the country,” Brookings City Council member Nick Wendell said as he commented on the many people who forgo masks in public.

The Republican governors of both states have eschewed mask requirements, tapping into a spirit of independence hewn from enduring the winters and storms of the Great Plains.

The Dakotas were not always a hot spot. For months, the states appeared to avoid the worst of the pandemic, watching from afar as it raged through large cities. But spiking infection rates have fanned out across the nation, from the East Coast to the Sun Belt and now into the Midwest, where states like Iowa and Kansas are also dealing with surges.

When the case count stayed low during the spring and early summer, people grew weary of constantly taking precautions, said Dr. Benjamin Aaker, president of the South Dakota State Medical Association.

“People have a tendency to become complacent,” he said. “Then they start to relax the things that they were doing properly, and that’s when the increase in cases starts to go up.”

[TLO]

Originally Posted by suzzer99

I suspect a lot of that has to do with securing nursing homes, and a lot to do with other at-risk people being very cautious.

Also there is very strong evidence that initial viral dose affects eventual severity of infection. Masks help with initial viral load, as does warmer weather.

I'm concerned about cold weather + back to school + back to office. At least we'll have a small amount of herd immunity.

Dr. Z, who I've linked on here with a few different YouTube videos has theorized this for quite some time now. (Particularly the part about masks helping with the initial viral load). It's the biggest reason a couple months back I bought some n95's and started wearing a surgical mask over the n95 at work.

[TLO]

Missouri's 7 day positivity rate continues to drop.

Number of cases reported each day is in the same ballpark.

Hospitalizations are holding mostly steady.

[suzzer99]

Originally Posted by Donger

Dakotas lead US in virus growth as both reject mask rules

https://apnews.com/f4988865f4fad739e099b17707f8727f

SIOUX FALLS, S.D. (AP) — Coronavirus infections in the Dakotas are growing faster than anywhere else in the nation, fueling impassioned debates over masks and personal freedom after months in which the two states avoided the worst of the pandemic.

The argument over masks raged this week in Brookings, South Dakota, as the city council considered requiring face coverings in businesses. The city was forced to move its meeting to a local arena to accommodate intense interest, with many citizens speaking against it, before the mask requirement ultimately passed.

Amid the brute force of the pandemic, health experts warn that the infections must be contained before care systems are overwhelmed. North Dakota and South Dakota lead the country in new cases per capita over the last two weeks, ranking first and second respectively, according to Johns Hopkins University researchers.

South Dakota has also posted some of the country’s highest positivity rates for COVID-19 tests in the last week — over 17 percent — an indication that there are more infections than tests are catching.

Infections have been spurred by schools and universities reopening and mass gatherings like the Sturgis Motorcycle Rally, which drew hundreds of thousands of people from across the country.

“It is not a surprise that South Dakota has one of the highest (COVID-19) reproduction rates in the country,” Brookings City Council member Nick Wendell said as he commented on the many people who forgo masks in public.

The Republican governors of both states have eschewed mask requirements, tapping into a spirit of independence hewn from enduring the winters and storms of the Great Plains.

The Dakotas were not always a hot spot. For months, the states appeared to avoid the worst of the pandemic, watching from afar as it raged through large cities. But spiking infection rates have fanned out across the nation, from the East Coast to the Sun Belt and now into the Midwest, where states like Iowa and Kansas are also dealing with surges.

When the case count stayed low during the spring and early summer, people grew weary of constantly taking precautions, said Dr. Benjamin Aaker, president of the South Dakota State Medical Association.

“People have a tendency to become complacent,” he said. “Then they start to relax the things that they were doing properly, and that’s when the increase in cases starts to go up.”

A friend of mine just told me her great aunt died of covid (sorry died of hypertension or whatever comorbidity she had).

My friend thought it was weird because her aunt, "lives in this podunk town in South Dakota where you wouldn't think covid would be an issue."

[lewdog]

Originally Posted by TLO

Dr. Z, who I've linked on here with a few different YouTube videos has theorized this for quite some time now. (Particularly the part about masks helping with the initial viral load). It's the biggest reason a couple months back I bought some n95's and started wearing a surgical mask over the n95 at work.

Absolutely seems true. Less viral load present on exposure could equal milder case.

We do the same at work now too. N95 with surgical + face shield for direct patient contact.

[suzzer99]

Feel like I’ve been saying it for the better part of a year: “Reopening” in the form of economic revival is not just a button the big cheeses can push when they want to. People have to be persuaded that it’s something worth participating in. Here’s some evidence. https://t.co/RQzoq5DR5c

— southpaw (@nycsouthpaw) September 12, 2020

[lewdog]

Originally Posted by TLO

Missouri's 7 day positivity rate continues to drop.

Number of cases reported each day is in the same ballpark.

Hospitalizations are holding mostly steady.

If it continues for a few weeks then you’ll see hospitalizations dropping.

Good news there.

[petegz28]

Originally Posted by lewdog

If it continues for a few weeks then you’ll see hospitalizations dropping.

Good news there.

Daily new hospitalizations in the KC area are at their lowest rate since the end of June.

35% of total beds are available and only 5% are being used for Covid

# of average daily tests is down over 60% from July where it peaked

# of daily new cases is down almost 50% from the peak in July