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03-02-2020, 09:33 AM | #406 |
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03-02-2020, 09:36 AM | #407 | |
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Quote:
Case update: As of 7 PM March 1, GMT +8 there are 89,768 (+2,788 today vs +1,799 yesterday) confirmed coronavirus cases worldwide Last edited by SupDock; 03-02-2020 at 09:48 AM.. |
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03-02-2020, 10:12 AM | #408 | |
In Search of a Life
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Location: Confusion, USA
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03-02-2020, 10:13 AM | #409 | |
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03-02-2020, 10:14 AM | #410 |
NFL's #1 Ermines Fan
Join Date: Jul 2001
Location: My house
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Yeah, that's a good theory. If true, then it might also mean that if it's going to kill you, it does it pretty quickly. That would explain the high death rates now in Italy and South Korea.
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03-02-2020, 10:18 AM | #411 |
"Think BOOM!"
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: 33.675° N 106.475° W
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Sure you could. Recovered is a known outcome. So, we know that there have been 90,000 cases and 45,000 recoveries. So, recovery is ~50%. That is accurate, but that doesn't mean that it will stay at "only" 50% recovery (let's hope not).
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03-02-2020, 10:20 AM | #412 | |
"Think BOOM!"
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03-02-2020, 10:26 AM | #413 |
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I just came back from a paint store. All disposable masks were GONE/SOLD OUT!
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03-02-2020, 10:54 AM | #414 | |
In Search of a Life
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03-02-2020, 10:59 AM | #415 |
In Search of a Life
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Iran could be our look at what happens when a country doesn't take drastic steps to keep people off the streets/contain this thing. 34 deaths so far including people high up in govt. 2 people in AUS and one in NYC who recently returned from Iran have tested positive.
It seems very likely there are more deaths that aren't diagnosed. Infected rate is almost meaningless imo in a country that isn't aggressively testing everyone with symptoms. We could soon have another data point outside Wuhan as to what it looks like when this goes supernova in a population. |
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03-02-2020, 10:59 AM | #416 |
NFL's #1 Ermines Fan
Join Date: Jul 2001
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What we know now is that it's a minimum of 3.4%. If everyone with an open case survives, it's 3.4%. If everyone with an open case dies, it's 49.1%. Based on what we see with closed cases, the best bet is 6.3%. But as noted earlier, it'll likely vary due to some issues like timing of the virus arrival in different areas and whether those Chinese precincts are accurately reporting deaths.
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03-02-2020, 11:01 AM | #417 |
Veteran
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Who knew the Apocalypse would involve so much math?
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03-02-2020, 11:01 AM | #418 |
I'll be back.
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03-02-2020, 11:03 AM | #419 |
NFL's #1 Ermines Fan
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03-02-2020, 11:03 AM | #420 |
I'll be back.
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03-02-2020, 11:09 AM |
L.A. Chieffan |
This message has been deleted by L.A. Chieffan.
Reason: My math sucks
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