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11-21-2017, 04:16 PM | |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: San Antonio Tx.
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David Carr " Chiefs have higher upside with Mahomes"
The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results. Yet, here we are looking at the same Kansas City Chiefs offense we've seen year after year.
The Chiefs have made three playoff appearances since Reid took over as head coach in 2013, losing once in the wild-card game (2013) and twice in the divisional round (2015, 2016). I'm a fan of Reid and quarterback Alex Smith, but with the way things are right now, they'll be sitting at home while Pittsburgh and New England duke it out on Championship Sunday. I was Smith's teammate in San Francisco for one year (2010) and I got to know him well. When the weather starts playing a bigger factor in games late in the season, he's not a guy who can make tough throws in tough conditions. He's particular and wants the football a certain way. The colder the weather the firmer the ball and other conditions make the ball slippery. It's really hard to play in inclement weather as a quarterback, yet there are some guys -- like Brett Favre -- who could grab a ball out of a bucket of water or pile of mud and hurl it downfield. But everybody's not like that, including Smith. The conditions have to be right and the running game has to be there. As we've witnessed throughout his career, Smith isn't often going to transcend an offense and win a game on huge throws -- a frequent critique. He's just not that type of quarterback. Early in the season, we saw Smith make those big plays and the Chiefs were rolling. We've seen downfield shots slowly digress as the season's gone on, a trend that goes back to at least the past two seasons. Since 2015, Smith has been far more effective throwing the ball down field (20-pus air yards) through the Chiefs' first eight games than he has in their final eight, completing more passes (42.1 percent vs. 36.7 percent) with a better TD-to-INT ratio (8:0 vs. 2:4) and a significantly higher passer rating (124.3 vs. 63.1). Furthermore, since Smith's first year with the Chiefs in 2013, his passer rating on pass attempts of more than 20 yards has fallen off in the second half of the season. September: 92.0 October: 111.1 November: 63.5 Dec.-Jan.: 68.8 The Chiefs' high-flying offense started to stall after the Steelers exposed a weakness in Week 6. Pittsburgh played more zone coverage and allowed them to throw the ball underneath by respecting the ability of Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce to make things happen downfield. In addition, the run game hasn't been as effective the last five games (the Chiefs are 1-4 in that stretch), averaging 81 rush yards per game. That's 70 yards per game fewer than Kansas City put up in its first five games (all wins). In my opinion, Smith needs the run game to improve or we'll likely see him continue to struggle throwing the ball downfield as this season progresses. I know this sounds crazy, but there's a case for Patrick Mahomes, who played well in the preseason, to start in place of Smith as the playoffs near. The Chiefs gave up a third-rounder and next year's first to draft Mahomes, viewing him as their franchise quarterback of the future. He's a gunslinger who adds another dimension in the pass game when a) the weather worsens, and b) they're trying to go head to head with the AFC's best offenses. It's definitely possible the Chiefs could find themselves in a Nathan Peterman situation, especially if they don't handle the timing of the switch well. We don't know. What I do know, though, is we can expect the same ending to the Chiefs' story if they don't change up their cast of characters. http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap300...-limits-chiefs |
Posts: 66,914
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01-01-2018, 03:41 AM | #361 | |
Choco Favre
Join Date: Jul 2012
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Quote:
What about Manning, Brady, Ryan, Wilson, Big Ben etc...? They all played right away and are/were great quarterbacks. |
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Posts: 30,248
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01-01-2018, 08:27 AM | #362 | |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Northern Kansas
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Quote:
It looked very much like the plays Clay has gifed up from the all22s that show open receivers that Smith doesn't throw to. Mahomes did. But for some reason, Harris had to stop, and another defender came in late to make it look like double coverage. Mahomes leads Harris, and that is an easy TD. Last edited by Coogs; 01-01-2018 at 08:47 AM.. |
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01-01-2018, 08:30 AM | #363 | |
Banned
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: 19th Hole
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Posts: 11,680
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01-01-2018, 08:33 AM | #364 | |
Banned
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: 19th Hole
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Quote:
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Posts: 11,680
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01-01-2018, 09:04 AM | #365 | |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Aug 2008
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Quote:
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Posts: 49,275
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01-01-2018, 09:16 AM | #366 | |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Aug 2008
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Quote:
Like any young qb, he would have learned while he played. Just as Wentz is doing. Just as Goff is doing. Just as Watson was doing. |
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Posts: 49,275
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01-01-2018, 09:22 AM | #367 | |
Choco Favre
Join Date: Jul 2012
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Quote:
Mahomes on the other hand... |
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Posts: 30,248
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01-01-2018, 09:40 AM | #368 |
Starter
Join Date: Mar 2012
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Posts: 592
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01-01-2018, 09:43 AM | #369 |
XBOX GT MAVS ACE
Join Date: Feb 2013
Location: Wisconsin
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I’d be tempted to just go with Mahomes now honestly. Mahomes is a stud.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk |
Posts: 18,683
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01-01-2018, 09:52 AM | #370 | |
Starter
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Overland Park, KS
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Posts: 179
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01-01-2018, 09:55 AM | #371 | |
Mahomosapien
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: the great white north
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Quote:
Rodgers fell into Green Bays lap. They didnt move up 15 spots and use future draft capitol to get him. They probably weren't planning on taking him, he just kind of fell to them. They didnt move up because they already had a Hall of fame bound QB, and even then they probably only took Aaron because Favre was 36 years old. |
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Posts: 6,121
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01-01-2018, 10:06 AM | #372 |
SUPER BOWL CHAMPIONS
Join Date: Aug 2013
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The Chiefs aren't keeping the Ferrari in the garage another year. That thought died yesterday.
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Posts: 26,807
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01-01-2018, 10:07 AM | #373 |
The Beast Inside Your Head
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Parts Unknown
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Posts: 26,021
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01-01-2018, 10:12 AM | #374 |
Diablo Negro
Join Date: Sep 2003
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Posts: 71,623
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01-01-2018, 10:14 AM | #375 | |
Still Got The Blues (For You)
Join Date: May 2013
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Quote:
uh oh. Worth it then? ... but Mahomes did enough overall to give everyone some confidence in his future. I still feel sure Smith is gone from KC next season. |
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