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Old 04-05-2017, 10:55 AM  
Chiefspants Chiefspants is offline
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*** Official 2017 Royals Repository ***

Chiefsplanet’s (Proposed) 2017 Season Title: One Last Ride

Midish-Season Update (Royals 51-47, 2nd Wild Card, 1.5 GB of ALC):

We're halfway through 2017, and fittingly to the Chiefsplanet's 2017 Season Title, the Royals are all-in on what will likely be one final run with the current core. While many are worried the Royals will take a 2004 style tumble after this year, the farm system is hardly the barren wasteland it was during the Baird years. To see what's in the pipeline and what we have to look forward to, check out this exceptional list and analysis that Duncan put together of our system.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...htmlview#gid=0

While I had the honor of starting this thread this year, Duncan will always have a VIP pass to this OP, and can add more content at any time.

2017's Burning Questions Revisited:

1. What is the threshold between being “buyers” and “sellers” at the deadline?

We're buyers, baby.

In April, I argued that it would be a wise strategy for us to sell if we were 5 GB or worse, but that Dayton would likely add supplemental pieces for us to load up for another run if we were 1-2 GB. On July 24th, the Royals found themselves in sole possession of the 2nd wild card spot and 1.5 games back of the division. In April I said the Royals might pull the trigger on someone like Alex Cobb and resign Luke Hochevar, but since the Rays are also buyers and Luke's shoulder hasn't rebounded, this prediction hasn't come to fruition. Luckily, Dayton Moore again proved much more adept and creative than me by adding Trevor Cahill (good call, Duncan), Brandon Maurer and Ryan Buchter in a single trade. Giving us a solid starter to compete in 2017, and two relievers whom we will control through 2019 and 2021, respectively, keeping Moore's new vision through 2019-2020 intact. Moore has hinted that the Royals will continue to pursue the right deals if they're there, so the fun may not be over just yet. While we may not have the bullets to pull in a "star" like Cueto or Zo, Moore's adeptness may yet again net us what we need for another run in October.

2. Can Gordo and Moose bounce back to 2015 levels?

In April I asked if Gordo could at least set the table at a 265/325/425 clip and if Moose could deliver damage around a 265/335/500 clip for an entire year. This season Mr. Moustakas has been the prospect that was promised, delivering at a 277/307/568 clip as of this update. Gordo, on the other hand, has put up an unbelievably abysmal line thus far. But, if there is a silver lining, it's that Gordo has performed at a 246/311/432 line since June 1st, and if he can continue to perform near that mark, he will be more than a valuable asset at the bottom of the lineup while he continues to provide the best LF defense in the league.

3. Can Ned Yost manage a bullpen?

In April, I felt that despite the poor start, Royals bullpen would ultimately be "solid" this year, but the question was whether "solid" was good enough for Ned. I argued that the Royals needed Soria to bounce back and that Ned would need to start being strategic in his L/L and R/R matchups. While Ned has still made at times baffling and frustrating decisions with his starters (such as allowing Travis Wood to try to "get the win" and still insisting on sending Hammel out for the 6th, he's mostly done a good job).

MASH: Minor/Moylan - Alexander - Soria - Herrera (Credit to C3HIEF3S for the origins of the phrase) have cemented into reliable pieces, and now that Herrera is showing signs of stabilizing, our dumping of Wood, our call up Flynn, and the acquisition of Buchter and Maurer, the Royals have the potential to enter October with one of the best and deepest bullpens in the postseason.

4. Will the Royals find a boost from an unexpected X-Factor to lift them to contention?

Cool-Whit, Boni, Mike ****ing Minor, and Alexander have come up huge thus far. Cool Whit is, incredibly, is second on the team in WAR and has more than replaced Zo's presence on the team. They, like the X-Factors on the 2014-2015 teams, have been critical cogs as we've raced back to contention, while Cool-Whit and Boni also have provided a rosier outlook for this team's future. It's worth noting that Salvador Perez and Jason Vargas has been beasts on offense and the mound (along with Sal providing his customary defensive excellence), but I am still a bit wary of Salvy's annual Yost assisted offensive drought as the team moves into August, along with Vargy regressing to his averages.

5. Can Jorge Soler and Brandon Moss be productive contributors in Kauffman’s dimensions?

Ouch, no, but the Royals shift to power-hitting in the juiced ball era looks like one that will pay off. Thankfully, Moss is showing signs of entering his seasonal hot streak where he becomes corn-fed Jesus for a month, and we'll need him hot to keep up with Cleveland down the stretch. While Jorge has been painful to watch in the majors, his scorching performance in AAA should give one a bright hope for the future. While some may disagree, I offer Moose, Hos, Gordo, and Duffy's struggles as exhibit A for why it is far too early to give up on Soler's potential.

Bonus Question - Is Raul Mondesi truly ready to be an everyday player?

Ha! Not even close. However, like Soler, his progress in AAA is incredibly encouraging. With ceilings like Lindor and floors being Esky being thrown out there, it's hard not to be excited about his future.

The Picture Forward

There are many reasons to be excited, and not only for 2017. The Royals emergence of Cool Whit, Bonifacio, and Scott Alexander, and the fact that we have pieces like Salvador Perez, Danny Duffy, Kelvin Herrera, Jorge Soler, Ryan Buchter, Brandon Maurer Cheslor Cuthbert, and Raul Mondesi until at least 2019 should leave one feeling pretty optimistic. Re-up Moose or Hos (and heck, re-sign Dyson while we're at it), and suddenly this team looks very much like one that could compete for the indefinite future.

The Royals are all in again, buckle in and enjoy the ride.

April OP:

Spoiler!

Last edited by Chiefspants; 08-02-2017 at 01:53 PM..
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Old 07-06-2017, 05:45 PM   #3436
Prison Bitch Prison Bitch is offline
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Originally Posted by BWillie View Post
Yeah and he wants to package the following players to do it: Raul Mondesi, Hunter Dozier, Bubba Starling, Josh Staumont, and Jorge Soler in the deal.
Sorry I don't believe you
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Old 07-06-2017, 05:48 PM   #3437
Why Not? Why Not? is offline
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Awesome for Moose. 3 Royals to the AS game.
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Old 07-06-2017, 06:58 PM   #3438
cmh6476 cmh6476 is offline
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Originally Posted by penbrook View Post
Royals In Market For Pitching Upgrades, May Pursue Rotation Rentals
July 6th, 2017 at 12:49pm CST • By Steve Adams
On the heels of a 22-10 run over their past 32 contests, the Royals are in the market for upgrades in both their rotation and the bullpen, reports FanRag’s Jon Heyman.

“We’re evaluating the landscape, and paying close attention to what may be available in the pitching market,” GM Dayton Moore tells Heyman. “…We’re looking to improve our roster and make it more balanced for the second half. … I don’t know why anyone thought we’d be sellers.” Those comments largely back up recent statements made by manager Ned Yost on MLB Network Radio on SiriusXM and to reporters following last night’s game (link via the Kansas City Star’s Rustin Dodd).
He goes on to throw out some names in the article:


Quote:
Royals In Market For Pitching Upgrades, May Pursue Rotation Rentals

By Steve Adams | July 6, 2017 at 12:49pm CDT


On the heels of a 22-10 run over their past 32 contests, the Royals are in the market for upgrades in both their rotation and the bullpen, reports FanRag’s Jon Heyman.

“We’re evaluating the landscape, and paying close attention to what may be available in the pitching market,” GM Dayton Moore tells Heyman. “…We’re looking to improve our roster and make it more balanced for the second half. … I don’t know why anyone thought we’d be sellers.” Those comments largely back up recent statements made by manager Ned Yost on MLB Network Radio on SiriusXM and to reporters following last night’s game (link via the Kansas City Star’s Rustin Dodd).

Heyman goes on to add that the Royals aren’t likely to have too much payroll flexibility due to the fact that they entered the season with a franchise-record $145MM payroll. However, there’s a belief that Kansas City is open to adding a veteran starter on an expiring contract, according to Heyman. A look at MLBTR’s list of 2017-18 free agents shows starters that fit the bill, though obviously not all of those arms are available in trades, and some may not fit into an apparently tight Royals budget.

The following names are purely my own speculation, but if the Royals are aiming to add affordable rotation rentals, any of this bunch could make some sense (listed from lowest salary to highest salary):
•Trevor Cahill: Cahill was only just activated off the disabled list after missing seven weeks due to a strained right shoulder. While he doesn’t come with much in the way of name value these days, Cahill has broken out in his return to a big league rotation, throwing 45 2/3 innings with 10.8 K/9, 3.7 BB/9 and a 62.3 percent ground-ball rate. That’s led to a 2.96 ERA that is backed by a 2.98 FIP, 3.25 xFIP and 3.51 SIERA. He’s earning just $1.75MM in 2017, so from a financial standpoint, he’s an ideal fit.
•Jhoulys Chacin: Teammates with Cahill, Chacin is also earning $1.75MM this year. He’s been the more durable of the two, and although he posted terrible numbers early in the year, he’s logged a 2.98 ERA with a 39-to-15 K/BB ratio and a 50.4 percent grounder rate over his past 42 1/3 innings. He’s hardly an impact upgrade, but right now it doesn’t look like there’ll be an impact rental available at all.
•Scott Feldman: The 34-year-old has been the Reds’ best starter this season, turning in 102 2/3 innings of 3.94 ERA ball. Feldman’s 7.5 K/9 mark is the best of his career, and he’s averaging a reasonable 2.9 walks per nine innings with a 45 percent ground-ball rate. Despite playing his home games at Great American Ball Park, he’s managed to limit home runs (1.1 HR/9). Feldman has a cheap $2.3MM base salary, though he’s already added $1.3MM worth of incentives and will tack on another $300K after his 20th start. Since this is all speculative anyhow, the Reds have a number of shorter-term bullpen pieces that could move (e.g. Drew Storen, Blake Wood) plus a shortstop that would be a significant upgrade for the Royals’ infield.
•Alex Cobb: It’s worth debating whether Cobb will even be available because of the fact that the Rays are contending, but Tampa Bay will almost certainly lose him for nothing this offseason as a free agent rather than make him a qualifying offer that could top $18MM. Cobb carries a 4.01 ERA with 6.1 K/9, 2.4 BB/9 and a 44.6 percent grounder rate in 107 2/3 innings. He hasn’t been the borderline ace that he was prior to Tommy John surgery, but he’s earning an affordable $4.2MM. From the Rays’ vantage point, they’ll get Matt Andriese back in August while Jose De Leon and Blake Snell wait in the wings for full-time rotation spots. And, Jacob Faria has already laid claim to a starting job with five brilliant starts.
•Derek Holland: Holland has given the division-rival White Sox 16 starts of 4.52 ERA ball and a total of 87 1/3 innings, but his production has cratered over the past month or so. He’s averaging 7.8 K/9 but 3.7 BB/9 and 1.75 HR/9. Metrics like FIP, xFIP and SIERA all actually feel that he’s been somewhat fortunate to hold down that 4.52 ERA. Holland is affordable, though, with a $6MM base salary and $2MM worth of incentives ($1MM for reaching 150 innings and another $1MM for 200 frames).
•Lance Lynn: As is the case with Cobb, Lynn is no lock to be available. The Cards are a manageable 5.5 games out of the NL Central lead and may take their deadline course of action down to the wire. However, they could also simply slide Luke Weaver into Lynn’s rotation spot, so there’s room to move him even if they still aim to contend. Lynn has a 3.87 ERA with 8.6 K/9, 3.5 BB/9 and a 42.3 percent ground-ball rate through 95 1/3 innings in his first year back from Tommy John. But, he’s also been torched for 1.9 HR/9, as 19.6 percent of the fly-balls he’s yielded have left the yard. That’s a 10 percent departure from his career mark of 9.3 percent, so perhaps the home run spike is somewhat fluky. If the Royals (or another club) believes him capable of reigning in the homers, Lynn’s $7.5MM salary is hardly backbreaking.
•Jaime Garcia: Garcia has bombed over his past four starts, allowing five runs or more in each outing. He’s still sporting a 4.55 ERA on the season with a 54.3 percent ground-ball rate, 6.7 K/9 and 3.4 BB/9. None of those are especially eye-catching, and the Royals may well wish the Braves to pay down some of the $5.7MM that remains on his $12MM salary. The Braves, though, are surely open to moving Garcia, who looks to be a steadier option than the Royals’ current fifth starter, Travis Wood.

Other potentially available rentals include Jeremy Hellickson, Johnny Cueto, Marco Estrada and Francisco Liriano, though each of that bunch makes more than anyone listed here and/or has struggled on the mound thus far. Yu Darvish would be the only potential ace that’d be available as a rental, but he’s reportedly likely to stay put even if the Rangers fall out of the race, and the asking price on him would be exorbitant anyhow.

From a broader perspective, Moore’s comments seem to throw cold water on any suggestion that Kansas City would entertain the thought of trading key impending free agents like Eric Hosmer, Mike Moustakas, Lorenzo Cain, Jason Vargas and Mike Minor. (Alcides Escobar, too, is a free agent, though his lack of production makes him a tough sell as a trade candidate anyhow.) Those names have all recently fallen off of MLBTR’s list of this summer’s top 60 trade candidates.
https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2017/...rade+Rumors%29
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Old 07-06-2017, 07:02 PM   #3439
Sure-Oz Sure-Oz is offline
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Originally Posted by Prison Bitch View Post
Sorry I don't believe you
No he said that on air .. basically package a bunch of guys...since they don't have a prospect under the top 100 he there Soler in there as a "a team might think of trying to fix him, a big strong guy"
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Old 07-06-2017, 07:04 PM   #3440
Sure-Oz Sure-Oz is offline
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Originally Posted by duncan_idaho View Post
Jesus Christ. Worst trade proposal I've heard since Petro was pounding the table to trade Wil Myers and Duffy and Mike Montgomery for Jair Jurrjens.

Fanning's baseball takes just aren't very sophisticated. He thinks Hosmer is a better ball player than Moustakas over the next five years and a better fit for the K.


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Most his sports takes reek of the guy or next door neighbor hot take guy...he's worse than Fescoe imo
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Old 07-06-2017, 08:03 PM   #3441
BWillie BWillie is offline
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Originally Posted by Sure-Oz View Post
No he said that on air .. basically package a bunch of guys...since they don't have a prospect under the top 100 he there Soler in there as a "a team might think of trying to fix him, a big strong guy"
Fanning doesn't appear to understand the only reason Mondesi isn't a Top 100 prospect is because he no longer has prospect status being he's been in and out of the big leagues for two years.
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Old 07-06-2017, 08:03 PM   #3442
KChiefs1 KChiefs1 is offline
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Originally Posted by cmh6476 View Post
He goes on to throw out some names in the article:









https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2017/...rade+Rumors%29


Cahill & Lynn might interest me


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Old 07-06-2017, 08:10 PM   #3443
BWillie BWillie is offline
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Wat about Look Hoecheyvar? Or Ayrin Croe? Are dey ded?
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Old 07-06-2017, 08:35 PM   #3444
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So K.O.K. had an article suggesting the Royals make a play for Nick Markakis (posted below) saying maybe it could take the offense to the next level by inserting him into the #2 spot in the lineup (a la Zobrist). It would potentially mean giving up Bonifacio. I found it interesting because most things I've read when it comes to the Royals adding have all been pitching related (either starter or bullpen arm).

http://kingsofkauffman.com/2017/07/0...fense-heights/

Thoughts ??
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Old 07-06-2017, 08:40 PM   #3445
no love no love is offline
indifference
 
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Sup y'all?!? Been lurking for a decade, but had a question to pose...
What about Karns? Just like getting Duffy back from injury, we added a staff ace. When(/if?) Karns comes back, we would be adding one of the better 4-5 pitcher we've had in a while... without losing prospects. Let's use the guy we traded Dyson for, unless he's headed for TJ? or is he out of the picture completely and I missed it? If so disregard and I'll go back to lurking...

Great thread by the way!!! Love it!
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Old 07-06-2017, 08:45 PM   #3446
Why Not? Why Not? is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TomBarndtsTwin View Post
So K.O.K. had an article suggesting the Royals make a play for Nick Markakis (posted below) saying maybe it could take the offense to the next level by inserting him into the #2 spot in the lineup (a la Zobrist). It would potentially mean giving up Bonifacio. I found it interesting because most things I've read when it comes to the Royals adding have all been pitching related (either starter or bullpen arm).

http://kingsofkauffman.com/2017/07/0...fense-heights/

Thoughts ??
If the Braves would accept the trade offer laid out in that report, I probably would. Boni has been great but I think his regression is more in line with his potential moving forward. Clearly he'll make adjustments and may become a regular 20 hr guy. But I don't think he'll hit for average and he K's to much and his defense is what it is. If this is truly a go for it year, Markakis makes sense.
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Old 07-06-2017, 08:49 PM   #3447
Why Not? Why Not? is offline
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Originally Posted by no love View Post
Sup y'all?!? Been lurking for a decade, but had a question to pose...
What about Karns? Just like getting Duffy back from injury, we added a staff ace. When(/if?) Karns comes back, we would be adding one of the better 4-5 pitcher we've had in a while... without losing prospects. Let's use the guy we traded Dyson for, unless he's headed for TJ? or is he out of the picture completely and I missed it? If so disregard and I'll go back to lurking...

Great thread by the way!!! Love it!

Last I saw, general consensus was that anything we get out of Karns the rest of this season is a bonus. Maybe he comes back in August or September but clearly, if a move is to be made to procure a pitcher, it will be made by then.
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Old 07-06-2017, 08:50 PM   #3448
penbrook penbrook is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by no love View Post
Sup y'all?!? Been lurking for a decade, but had a question to pose...
What about Karns? Just like getting Duffy back from injury, we added a staff ace. When(/if?) Karns comes back, we would be adding one of the better 4-5 pitcher we've had in a while... without losing prospects. Let's use the guy we traded Dyson for, unless he's headed for TJ? or is he out of the picture completely and I missed it? If so disregard and I'll go back to lurking...

Great thread by the way!!! Love it!
Karns more than likely won't be back by the end of the season. He's on the 60 day DL
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Old 07-06-2017, 08:56 PM   #3449
CasselGotPeedOn CasselGotPeedOn is offline
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Originally Posted by penbrook View Post
Karns more than likely won't be back by the end of the season. He's on the 60 day DL
He's on the 60 day dl retroactive to like the middle of May. That means nothing.
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Old 07-06-2017, 09:01 PM   #3450
TomBarndtsTwin TomBarndtsTwin is offline
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Originally Posted by Why Not? View Post
Last I saw, general consensus was that anything we get out of Karns the rest of this season is a bonus. Maybe he comes back in August or September but clearly, if a move is to be made to procure a pitcher, it will be made by then.
This.

And adding a starter is almost a necessity at this point. The rotation is woefully thin past Duffy, Vargas, Kennedy & Hammel (assuming they all stay healthy, knock on wood). With Strahm gone for the year, our #5 right now is Travis Wood. Yikes. And, again, that's assuming no more injuries or missed starts for anyone. They've tried calling up the young guys from the minors and none of them have really worked out. Don't know if there is anyone left in AA or AAA that is a realistic potential answer for that #5 spot?

I assume they will add at least a veteran bargain type of starter. Someone they won't have to give up much for.
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TomBarndtsTwin is obviously part of the inner Circle.TomBarndtsTwin is obviously part of the inner Circle.TomBarndtsTwin is obviously part of the inner Circle.TomBarndtsTwin is obviously part of the inner Circle.TomBarndtsTwin is obviously part of the inner Circle.TomBarndtsTwin is obviously part of the inner Circle.TomBarndtsTwin is obviously part of the inner Circle.TomBarndtsTwin is obviously part of the inner Circle.TomBarndtsTwin is obviously part of the inner Circle.TomBarndtsTwin is obviously part of the inner Circle.TomBarndtsTwin is obviously part of the inner Circle.
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