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#33796 |
pie is never free
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: the drivers seat
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Liberals being more educated than conservatives is a long ago disproven lie, just for the record here in the non political thread
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Posts: 92,352
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#33797 |
THIS .... IS... ARROWHEAD!!!!
Join Date: Mar 2016
Location: Houston, Tx
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Posts: 27,645
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#33798 | |
Supporter
Join Date: Sep 2000
Location: Hollywood, CA
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Quote:
Trust me, it's not worth your time to debate or correct him. He knows everything. |
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Posts: 88,960
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#33799 |
Now you've pissed me off!
Join Date: Jan 2006
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(not speaking to you, just in general)
Looks like they've been able to get their R0 down to 0.7 through testing and contact tracing. Meanwhile, there has been sizable pushback against the utility and practicality of both in the US. So, while Denmark may very well be able to prevent that second wave through those measures, other countries likely won't if they don't adopt similar strategies. This is why one needs to read the articles, not the headlines. |
Posts: 74,860
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#33800 |
THIS .... IS... ARROWHEAD!!!!
Join Date: Mar 2016
Location: Houston, Tx
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Posts: 27,645
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#33801 |
Stroking to the SB Champs!
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Flatlands of Kansas
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Posts: 39,425
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#33802 |
The Beast Inside Your Head
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Parts Unknown
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Posts: 25,948
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#33803 |
THIS .... IS... ARROWHEAD!!!!
Join Date: Mar 2016
Location: Houston, Tx
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Posts: 27,645
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#33804 |
Life is changing..
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: NW Missouri
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Where's that floating dumpster fire gif when you need it.
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Posts: 39,351
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#33805 |
THIS .... IS... ARROWHEAD!!!!
Join Date: Mar 2016
Location: Houston, Tx
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Posts: 27,645
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#33806 | |
Hockey Town
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Kansas City, Missouri
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Quote:
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Posts: 111,342
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#33807 | |
Now you've pissed me off!
Join Date: Jan 2006
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Quote:
More information = less uncertainty. If you look at data in New York City, around 25% have antibodies. That means there have been 2,000,000 infections in that city alone. Of those we have around 16,000 deaths now (and those deaths and infections will climb, as they both have lag time, but deaths and antibody development are relatively close in overall time). 16,000/2,000,000 is a 0.8% IFR Spain sampled 90,000 people over 36,000 households and found 5% were infected, which extrapolated to a 1.1% IFR. You also have to realize that models have degrees of uncertainty. 0.4 is their best estimate, it's not their prediction. It can range from 0.2 to 1.0. If it's 0.9, the model isn't wrong. |
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Posts: 74,860
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#33808 |
Veteran
Join Date: Aug 2001
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I’d like to hear your theory
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Posts: 2,603
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#33809 |
New and Improved
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Springfield, Mo.
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Posts: 21,316
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#33810 |
Life is changing..
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: NW Missouri
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Posts: 39,351
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