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04-28-2020, 01:51 PM | #25336 |
Supporter
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Olathe, Ks
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Posts: 129,398
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04-28-2020, 02:01 PM | #25337 | |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Jan 2016
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Quote:
So I understand you correctly, You are using a denominator of 38,000,000 for the 2017-2018 flu, and are only using a denominator of 621,953 for Covid-19 despite telling me over and over the R0 on Covid-19 is much higher than the flu. This is logically flawed... you get that, right? |
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Posts: 27,641
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04-28-2020, 02:02 PM | #25338 |
The Beast Inside Your Head
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Parts Unknown
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Just got word our school will be opening what is essentially a day care program the 18th. Sounds like summer school may be a go then.
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Posts: 26,019
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04-28-2020, 02:02 PM | #25339 |
Diablo Negro
Join Date: Sep 2003
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You claimed 80% of the population is high risk, the data doesn't support that, in fact it supports the opposite.
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Posts: 71,611
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04-28-2020, 02:11 PM | #25340 | |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Jan 2016
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Quote:
8 out of 10 that get Ebola die. 8 out of 100 kids less than 5 died of polio. 8 of 1500, in all ages will die of Covid-19 based on new estimations of overall IFR(.6%). 8 of 12000 for those under 65 and healthy. |
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Posts: 27,641
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04-28-2020, 02:12 PM | #25341 | ||
Please squeeze
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Clinton, MO
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Quote:
What else could it be? Quote:
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Posts: 66,634
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04-28-2020, 02:14 PM | #25342 |
I love your mom
Join Date: Feb 2020
Location: Sturgeon Falls, Ontario
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If the CFR was 0 but 100% end up on home oxygen, would CFR matter. As an internet warrior do you think you know enough about the diseases to make a call for herd immunity
Last edited by Monticore; 04-28-2020 at 02:26 PM.. |
Posts: 6,913
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04-28-2020, 02:21 PM | #25343 |
Please squeeze
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Clinton, MO
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Posts: 66,634
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1 0 |
04-28-2020, 02:26 PM | #25344 | |
...
Join Date: May 2002
Location: Kansas City, MO
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Quote:
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Posts: 28,877
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04-28-2020, 02:32 PM | #25345 |
Diablo Negro
Join Date: Sep 2003
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You are arguing things we know not to be true to make your case. Not sure how thats not worse than what he is arguing.
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Posts: 71,611
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04-28-2020, 02:34 PM | #25346 | |
I love your mom
Join Date: Feb 2020
Location: Sturgeon Falls, Ontario
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Quote:
People keep pointing out how CFR for a portion of of the population is close to another deadly disease like it is a good thing Last edited by Monticore; 04-28-2020 at 02:42 PM.. |
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Posts: 6,913
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04-28-2020, 02:39 PM | #25347 | |
Forever Royal
Join Date: Mar 2012
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Quote:
Do you think your district has beat this? Because I don’t at all. Once the shut down is over all indications are you will have lots of cases. And will just be where a lot of places are now with it only it’s months from now. |
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Posts: 24,889
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04-28-2020, 02:43 PM | #25348 |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Jan 2016
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It's not the only factor but the major one. We know that 90% of hospitalizations and deaths are those that are older and/or have an underlying condition. Many estimates say around 80% are asymptomatic, so yes, are future policy should be trying to protect the vulnerable class and letting many of those of the 28,000,000 unemployed start to get their lives back. We are way better now at knowing what we are encountering, how to mitigate it, and we should move forward.
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Posts: 27,641
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04-28-2020, 02:47 PM | #25349 | |
Supporter
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Hermosa, SD
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Quote:
What CFR do you want to use instead and how did YOU arrive at it? |
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Posts: 44,355
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04-28-2020, 02:47 PM | #25350 |
I love your mom
Join Date: Feb 2020
Location: Sturgeon Falls, Ontario
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No I don’t think we beat it but with 0 community spread if people don’t bring it from elsewhere it won’t magically appear, but once things open up it will be hard to control that.
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Posts: 6,913
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