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04-17-2020, 05:17 PM | #22381 | |
Life is changing..
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: NW Missouri
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Quote:
Still not putting a ton of stock into it. |
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Posts: 40,835
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04-17-2020, 05:18 PM | #22382 | |
Now you've pissed me off!
Join Date: Jan 2006
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Quote:
Efficacy has not yet been determined, and production to scale will take some time. This will be hard to get for the next several months. |
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Posts: 74,960
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04-17-2020, 05:19 PM | #22383 |
Life is changing..
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: NW Missouri
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Dr. Birx - not a US geography expert.
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Posts: 40,835
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04-17-2020, 05:19 PM | #22384 |
Kind of a mod
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Donkey Land
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I'm starting to realize that, aside from changes in how the model itself works, another major issue is just that the data itself is really wonky. On the IHME site, they show Colorado as having reported 27 deaths yesterday, while our actual Department of Public Health shows...zero. I know they're doing the best they can, but all of this website scraping stuff that IHME, Covidly, Worldometers, John Hopkins, etc. are doing is really shaky in terms of reliability.
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Posts: 52,457
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04-17-2020, 05:20 PM | #22385 |
Cheat Death
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Land of Drincoln
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I'm sure they're modeling it the best they can with what they have. It's the predictive version of PFF though. One of many resources.
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Posts: 35,357
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04-17-2020, 05:21 PM | #22386 |
Now you've pissed me off!
Join Date: Jan 2006
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Seems like they update their health score based on day-over-day percentage increase in cases. Do they provide any data on that which you could unpack?
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Posts: 74,960
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04-17-2020, 05:23 PM | #22387 | |
Life is changing..
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: NW Missouri
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Quote:
What is the health score? The health score is a single metric to quickly assess the overall health of the country. The formula combines: Case growth rate (50%) Rate of new cases. Combination of daily % of cases as well as double derivative of cases. Death growth rate (30%) Rate of new deaths. Combination of daily % of deaths as well as double derivative of deaths. Recovery (20%) The progress towards recovery. Note that some countries do not provide accurate recovery data. |
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Posts: 40,835
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04-17-2020, 05:23 PM | #22388 |
Has a particular set of skills
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: On the water
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Posts: 80,019
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04-17-2020, 05:25 PM | #22389 | |
MVP
Join Date: Sep 2005
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Quote:
Welp. |
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Posts: 60,377
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04-17-2020, 05:26 PM | #22390 | |
Life is changing..
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: NW Missouri
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Quote:
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Posts: 40,835
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2 0 |
04-17-2020, 05:27 PM | #22391 | |
Kind of a mod
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Donkey Land
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Quote:
According to the little hover menus... 8 = "Virus is largely under control and the situation is stable. Recoveries are increasing." 7 = "Number of cases is growing slowly. In early stages, this could be due to a lack of testing. IN later stages, this could be a sign of slowing viral spread." |
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Posts: 52,457
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04-17-2020, 05:29 PM | #22392 |
Has a particular set of skills
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: On the water
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Posts: 80,019
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04-17-2020, 05:30 PM | #22393 |
Now you've pissed me off!
Join Date: Jan 2006
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Posts: 74,960
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2 0 |
04-17-2020, 05:30 PM | #22394 | |
"Think BOOM!"
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: 33.675° N 106.475° W
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Quote:
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Posts: 186,400
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04-17-2020, 05:30 PM | #22395 |
"Think BOOM!"
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: 33.675° N 106.475° W
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Posts: 186,400
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