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04-08-2020, 10:47 AM | #18346 | |
Sexiest Athlete
Join Date: Apr 2001
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Quote:
Four weeks ago, if you had told me that the numbers the government were basing their projections on were predicated on a 50% compliance rate, I would of told you that it was a pie-in-the-sky projection. I thought we would be lucky to get 25% compliance. But 90% compliance? Never in my wildest dreams did I think that was possible because, quite honestly, I thought there were more morons like Marcellus, Pete, and KCChiefsfan88 running around. I think one thing that really, really spooked (and by spooked, in a good way) people were the images coming out of Italy before the shit really hit the fan in the US. Those images were simply shocking and looked like a real life nightmare. People did not want *that* so it made it much easier to convince them to follow safe distancing protocols. Because people followed those protocols much, much better than anticipated, our overall infection and death rates were much, much lower than early model projections. So yes, the math actually does add up. |
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04-08-2020, 10:47 AM | #18347 |
Hockey Town
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Kansas City, Missouri
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Posts: 111,280
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04-08-2020, 10:48 AM | #18348 |
Diablo Negro
Join Date: Sep 2003
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Look dude, I was reading the old trend just like I am reading the new trend, I know what it said when I read it.
There was a link somewhere in this thread you can see the full data on the old trend unless they have taken it down, not a screen shot. I don't know the exact date of the original one that was posted. |
Posts: 69,801
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04-08-2020, 10:48 AM | #18349 |
THIS .... IS... ARROWHEAD!!!!
Join Date: Mar 2016
Location: Houston, Tx
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Posts: 27,625
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04-08-2020, 10:49 AM | #18350 |
New and Improved
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Springfield, Mo.
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04-08-2020, 10:50 AM | #18351 |
MVP
Join Date: Oct 2010
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04-08-2020, 10:50 AM | #18352 |
Woman should only make babies
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Apartment "G UNIT!"
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Posts: 54,361
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04-08-2020, 10:50 AM | #18353 |
"Think BOOM!"
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: 33.675° N 106.475° W
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Posts: 182,467
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04-08-2020, 10:52 AM | #18354 | |
Diablo Negro
Join Date: Sep 2003
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Quote:
I understand the math, I understand it's not linear, I also can tell when something is way ****ed up. I am not saying we shouldn't be social distancing, I am not saying it doesn't work, I am not mad the numbers are better, I am simply pointing out how far off this stuff is and there is no real logic that explains it other than they were way wrong. Yea the social distancing compliance would explain some of it but come on man. No idea why people are so obsessed with defending these models. |
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Posts: 69,801
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04-08-2020, 10:52 AM | #18355 |
Hockey Town
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Kansas City, Missouri
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Live with Marcellus...
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Posts: 111,280
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04-08-2020, 10:53 AM | #18356 |
THIS .... IS... ARROWHEAD!!!!
Join Date: Mar 2016
Location: Houston, Tx
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Posts: 27,625
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04-08-2020, 10:53 AM | #18357 |
Woman should only make babies
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Apartment "G UNIT!"
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YOUR
LOOKING RIGHT AT THE GOD DAMN THING |
Posts: 54,361
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04-08-2020, 10:53 AM | #18358 | |
Supporter
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Scott City KS
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Quote:
These numbers.... goddamn. Just a heads up, there aren’t a ton of people on the planet that understand math to the extent that you understand math. I don’t know what the hell this argument entails. I just skipped to the last page, but I know that you could apply that statement to me and a bunch of otherwise intelligent people on this outfit if you’re the baseline. |
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04-08-2020, 10:54 AM | #18359 | |
Hockey Town
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Kansas City, Missouri
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Quote:
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Posts: 111,280
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04-08-2020, 10:56 AM | #18360 |
"Think BOOM!"
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: 33.675° N 106.475° W
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Posts: 182,467
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