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04-08-2020, 10:22 AM | #18316 |
Kind of a mod
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Donkey Land
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Posts: 52,466
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04-08-2020, 10:23 AM | #18317 | |
Diablo Negro
Join Date: Sep 2003
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Quote:
B. I was talking about Missouri exclusively C. The math used in the original model doesn't add up no matter how much you want to throw irrelevant BS in my face. |
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Posts: 71,956
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04-08-2020, 10:23 AM | #18318 |
Kind of a mod
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Donkey Land
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I hadn't seen 6.5, but this says 5.7 (CI 3.8 - 8.9).
https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26...DC_333-DM25287 |
Posts: 52,466
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04-08-2020, 10:26 AM | #18319 |
"Think BOOM!"
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: 33.675° N 106.475° W
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Posts: 186,429
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04-08-2020, 10:26 AM | #18320 |
Diablo Negro
Join Date: Sep 2003
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So you actually think the Missouri projections went from a peak of ~340 deaths per day in the original model to less than 500 total on the new model because more people practiced social distancing in a state that was one of the last to implement mandatory shelter in place a whole 2 days ago? Anyone is supposed to believe that?
Go ahead and believe that if you want but don't question my ability to understand things. |
Posts: 71,956
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04-08-2020, 10:26 AM | #18321 |
THIS .... IS... ARROWHEAD!!!!
Join Date: Mar 2016
Location: Houston, Tx
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Well in good news, at least we are not shot on beds, ICU bed, or ventilators anymore. (Atleast soon to not be short) those projections have been dropping dramatically.
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Posts: 28,305
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04-08-2020, 10:28 AM | #18322 |
THIS .... IS... ARROWHEAD!!!!
Join Date: Mar 2016
Location: Houston, Tx
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Posts: 28,305
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04-08-2020, 10:30 AM | #18323 |
The Beast Inside Your Head
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Parts Unknown
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Posts: 26,036
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04-08-2020, 10:30 AM | #18324 |
"Think BOOM!"
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: 33.675° N 106.475° W
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He said that the math doesn't add up in response to the revision from 50% to 90%. So, I'm asking what math he has done that led him to that conclusion, or if its just a gut feel.
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Posts: 186,429
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04-08-2020, 10:30 AM | #18325 |
Mahomes: We Are All Witnesses
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Miami, FL
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Posts: 43,051
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04-08-2020, 10:31 AM | #18326 | |
Wasted away again...
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: in Margaritaville
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Quote:
That's pretty significant. |
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Posts: 51,712
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04-08-2020, 10:33 AM | #18327 |
Time Keeps On Slipping
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Overland Park
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Posts: 27,300
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04-08-2020, 10:34 AM | #18328 | ||
Kind of a mod
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Donkey Land
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Quote:
Quote:
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04-08-2020, 10:34 AM | #18329 |
Time Keeps On Slipping
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Overland Park
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Posts: 27,300
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04-08-2020, 10:36 AM | #18330 | |
Hockey Town
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Kansas City, Missouri
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Quote:
There is an appropriate place to be and the lowball shit is probably worse than panic in this regard. Downplaying something like it doesn't matter when no numbers are accurate regardless of what way they go is obtuse at best. |
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