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04-03-2020, 12:20 PM | #16171 |
Best Body On ChiefsPlanet
Join Date: Jan 2014
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Map: Watch Coronavirus Cases Spread Across the US
This interactive map shows the spread of the new coronavirus around the United States since March 1, when there were about 100 cases confirmed around the country. https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/nati...he-us/2358659/ |
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04-03-2020, 12:22 PM | #16172 |
Bono & Grbac wasn't enough
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Sioux City, IA
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Posts: 36,472
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04-03-2020, 12:23 PM | #16173 |
Kind of a mod
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Donkey Land
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There are at least some reasons for optimism. Covidly added a chart based on that YouTube video that compares new cases to total cases, and you can definitely see some "flattening" in Italy and Spain, and it's starting in the U.S. as well.
Source: https://covidly.com/graph?country=Un...0States&state= (scroll down almost to the bottom of the page) |
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04-03-2020, 12:23 PM | #16174 |
New and Improved
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Springfield, Mo.
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04-03-2020, 12:25 PM | #16175 | |||||
Administrator
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Austin
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Here you go... Quote:
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So, it all boils down to... is .145% (estimate from a report in the Lancet) a reasonable figure for a very bad flu season? I have a feeling you mostly misread what I posted. Hamas on the other hand just likes to be a prick whenever humanly possibly. |
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04-03-2020, 12:34 PM | #16176 | |
MVP
Join Date: Oct 2017
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Quote:
For under 40 I would agree with you. You can see the CFR for age 40+ here. Keeping in mind, young healthy people having a CFR equivalent to the CFR of all ages in a very bad flu season is a little scary as well, but not nearly as scary as the numbers had been. This whole time data had been supportive of the idea that young healthy people do well The total CFR of all ages was 1.38 percent, compare that to .16 percent for the " bad flu" |
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04-03-2020, 12:38 PM | #16177 |
Draconian Warlord
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: Drakonia
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Everyone has lost their minds in statistic and semantics in the English language. And there appears to be MANY experts...on a football BB.
All these guys know a LOT about Covid19. IF I knew as much about vehicles, I'd be Rick Hendrick!!! News flash...this is a loosely moderated football BB. We get to be free in our language, we get to say a lot of stuff that would be censored almost any where else. Do NOT take it overly serious. My goodness AC, it's YOUR playground, don't let it get you all festered up. EVERYONE BREATH....AND CHILL!!!! |
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04-03-2020, 12:41 PM | #16178 | |
Prestige Worldwide
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: Spring Hill, KS
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Good News. Thank you For Sharing |
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04-03-2020, 12:44 PM | #16179 | |
Administrator
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Austin
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Yes you are correct that the comparison is between one demographic for Covid(under 50 or under 60 if you want) and all ages for the flu. BUT the post was in regards to easing restrictions for THAT demo and keeping isolation in place for the older demo and those who are younger and are vulnerable. The context of the post matters quite a bit here. I'm pretty sure you are attempting to read into my posts things I didn't say or intend. I was pretty specific with my wording to try to avoid that. |
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Posts: 19,795
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04-03-2020, 12:45 PM | #16180 | |
"Think BOOM!"
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: 33.675° N 106.475° W
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04-03-2020, 12:50 PM | #16181 |
Kind of a mod
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Donkey Land
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It necessarily uses a week's worth of data (which makes it more stable), but there are other charts with daily data as well, and the slight slowing trend is definitely there. Just scroll through the page I linked.
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04-03-2020, 12:54 PM | #16182 | |
MVP
Join Date: Oct 2017
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https://www.thelancet.com/action/sho...2820%2930243-7 The data and the chart that I posted is from a lancet article estimating case fatality rate. It is the research that prompted the news article that you posted earlier. I'm still not real clear on what you are saying. If you would be willing to post the original data that prompted your statement of the case fatality rate under age 50, that would be helpful for me. I was under the assumption that it was the same data that I was referring to. Full Lancet Article https://www.thelancet.com/journals/l...243-7/fulltext |
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04-03-2020, 12:58 PM | #16183 |
"Think BOOM!"
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: 33.675° N 106.475° W
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You're talking about day over day percentage growth?
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04-03-2020, 12:59 PM | #16184 |
Kind of a mod
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Donkey Land
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Just in general, the trends are moving closer to flat. Some of that is because they're plotting a lot on a log scale, but part of it is also that growth, while still significant, is slightly less than it has been at least.
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04-03-2020, 01:01 PM | #16185 |
"Think BOOM!"
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: 33.675° N 106.475° W
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