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04-03-2020, 12:02 PM | #16156 | |
MVP
Join Date: Oct 2017
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Quote:
Much later they estimated that it was significantly more deadly. |
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Posts: 7,381
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04-03-2020, 12:02 PM | #16157 |
"Think BOOM!"
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: 33.675° N 106.475° W
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Posts: 186,400
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04-03-2020, 12:02 PM | #16158 | |
Administrator
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Austin
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Quote:
And yes the death rate for those <40 (according to that report) is damn close to .1%, like I said it may be as high as .12% but I'd have to check since it isn't broken down like that. <60 is .145% so it stands to reason that it is pretty close to .1% for <40. I didn't "change" anything. It was a completely separate post 2 days later. I used the age of 50 in my new post because that fit more of the workforce and I sad BAD FLU to adjust for the increased fatality percentages, but **** it, the report estimated <60 at .145%, we can just roll with that. So are you saying no bad flu season can ever hit .145%? That my post is fantasy land? |
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Posts: 19,827
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04-03-2020, 12:03 PM | #16159 | |
I love your mom
Join Date: Feb 2020
Location: Sturgeon Falls, Ontario
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Quote:
if you have virus with CFR of 0 , but if the R0 is 4 and the hospitalization is 80% across all ages and people leave the hospital but require home oxygen for life in 35% of the cases. would you look at the CFR of 0% and say we good. |
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Posts: 7,064
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04-03-2020, 12:05 PM | #16160 |
I love your mom
Join Date: Feb 2020
Location: Sturgeon Falls, Ontario
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Posts: 7,064
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04-03-2020, 12:06 PM | #16161 | |
MVP
Join Date: Oct 2017
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Quote:
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Posts: 7,381
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1 0 |
04-03-2020, 12:06 PM | #16162 | |
Mahomes: We Are All Witnesses
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Miami, FL
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Quote:
Other than isolated school closings and a few summer camp closings, there was minimal societal impact with the Swine Flu pandemic, compared to the total shutdown of society/economy with COVID-19. Seems like there should be a middle ground mitigation strategy. |
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Posts: 42,963
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04-03-2020, 12:11 PM | #16163 | |
Kind of a mod
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Donkey Land
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Posts: 52,457
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7 0 |
04-03-2020, 12:13 PM | #16164 | |
"Think BOOM!"
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: 33.675° N 106.475° W
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Posts: 186,400
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04-03-2020, 12:14 PM | #16165 |
Shit
Join Date: Jun 2008
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Posts: 55,715
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1 0 |
04-03-2020, 12:16 PM | #16166 |
Mortgage the Future Please
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Diontae Johnson dreamland
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If you were wondering why there were so many people NOT in critical care a week ago. You should have your answer. Critical patients and amt of deaths obviously will lag. Just a week ago there was about 1,200 in critical. Now, almost 6,000.
I think it's hard to fathom an outcome where at least 100,000 Americans DONT die from Covid-19. |
Posts: 48,848
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04-03-2020, 12:17 PM | #16167 | |
Has a particular set of skills
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: On the water
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Posts: 80,021
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04-03-2020, 12:18 PM | #16168 | |
"Think BOOM!"
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: 33.675° N 106.475° W
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Posts: 186,400
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04-03-2020, 12:19 PM | #16169 |
pie is never free
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: the drivers seat
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Posts: 94,535
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4 0 |
04-03-2020, 12:20 PM | #16170 |
Supporter
Join Date: Aug 2000
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Beware, urgent warning!!
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Posts: 95,642
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3 0 |
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