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04-02-2020, 01:36 PM | #15511 |
Shit
Join Date: Jun 2008
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CNN reporting that the model that was at 83k yesterday is now at 94k deaths...
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Posts: 55,715
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04-02-2020, 01:36 PM | #15512 |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Jul 2009
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People are about 3 weeks (maybe less) away from saying "**** it, i'll take my chances of getting sick vs dealing with a great depression"
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Posts: 82,344
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04-02-2020, 01:37 PM | #15513 |
Diablo Negro
Join Date: Sep 2003
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Posts: 71,623
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04-02-2020, 01:38 PM | #15514 | |
Diablo Negro
Join Date: Sep 2003
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Quote:
https://covid19.healthdata.org/ |
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Posts: 71,623
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04-02-2020, 01:38 PM | #15515 |
THE RED MENACE
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Texas
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Posts: 32,439
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04-02-2020, 01:39 PM | #15516 |
Shit
Join Date: Jun 2008
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Posts: 55,715
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04-02-2020, 01:40 PM | #15517 | |
Shit
Join Date: Jun 2008
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Quote:
Needless to say it was definitely 83k a couple days ago |
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Posts: 55,715
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04-02-2020, 01:41 PM | #15518 | |
Supporter
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Olathe, Ks
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Quote:
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Posts: 129,408
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04-02-2020, 01:42 PM | #15519 |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Jul 2009
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Posts: 82,344
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04-02-2020, 01:42 PM | #15520 |
Supporter
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Olathe, Ks
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Posts: 129,408
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04-02-2020, 01:43 PM | #15521 | |
Supporter
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: Missouri
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Quote:
Since DJ brought up Sullivan Co, I can give some insight on that one. I grew up there, that’s where my farm is, and lots of my family love there. They started shutting down about 2 weeks ago now, Mom has been home for about a week and a half. She works for a city in the county, dad is still working but he is with MODOT. Schools shut down, sporting events, damn near everything. Along with the surrounding areas that are in the middle of nowhere up there. |
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Posts: 5,247
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04-02-2020, 01:45 PM | #15522 |
Veteran
Join Date: Jan 2020
Location: Missouri
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Posts: 3,149
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04-02-2020, 01:45 PM | #15523 |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Jul 2009
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Posts: 82,344
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04-02-2020, 01:45 PM | #15524 | |
Sauntering Vaguely Downwards
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Columbia, Mo
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Quote:
That model isn't saying "best case is 40K, worst is 180K" it's saying "this model says its gonna fall somewhere between these levels..." and then putting a line in the center. It's the margin for error. If a model can't give me a projection that doesn't yield outcomes 4 orders of magnitude apart...maybe just don't lean into that one. It's essentially saying "our model projects that the Chiefs will win somewhere between 4 games and 15 games next season, so we're gonna project 10..." Well thanks, guys. Not gonna be rushing to Vegas with that information. |
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Posts: 62,499
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04-02-2020, 01:46 PM | #15525 |
Kind of a mod
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Donkey Land
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Posts: 52,338
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