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02-28-2020, 02:30 PM | #91 |
MVP
Join Date: Oct 2011
Location: Chandler AZ
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"Man with coronavirus seeking woman with Lyme disease"
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02-28-2020, 03:18 PM | #92 |
MVP
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Las Vegas
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A Northern California woman who tested positive for COVID-19 is in serious condition and has been intubated.
Rep. John Garamendi (D-Calif.), who represents the district where the woman is from, told CNN the patient is potentially unable to talk, hampering efforts to determine where she might have encountered the coronavirus that causes COVID-19. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has dispatched 10 officials to track down anyone who may have come in contact with the Solano County woman, whose source of infection remains a mystery. Health officials believe she could be the first case of community spread of the virus in the United States. https://www.huffpost.com/entry/calif...b6beedb4ea48ae |
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02-28-2020, 04:04 PM | #93 | |
Sometimes it's black and white
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: California
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But it is hard to talk about low probability but high consequence events without generating hysteria and then a backlash to the hysteria. Coronavirus is new to humans. Nobody has any previous immunity. So the number of people who could contract it is way higher than the seasonal flu. It is unlikely but still plausible that half the world’s population could contract it over the next year. Even a 0.1% fatality rate would be 4 million people. That on top of the panic it would cause would be really serious. Worst case scenarios should be calmly considered and contingency plans made as appropriate. |
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02-28-2020, 04:28 PM | #94 | |
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02-28-2020, 04:29 PM | #95 | |
Banned!
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02-28-2020, 04:31 PM | #96 |
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Donkey Land
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In the next year? Sure. I'd definitely wager that it's about as likely that we get hit by an asteroid in the next year as it is that half the world's population would be infected by Coronavirus. I mean, it's been active in China for two months now, and it's now up to a whopping 0.006% of their population.
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02-28-2020, 04:38 PM | #97 | |
Banned!
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Location: NOT Columbia, MO 65201
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02-28-2020, 04:38 PM | #98 |
Kind of a mod
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02-28-2020, 04:40 PM | #99 |
Life is changing..
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: NW Missouri
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Wuhan has 11 million people living there.
11 million. I wonder what the actual tally was of those infected? The sad part is we'll never know. |
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02-28-2020, 04:41 PM | #100 |
Life is changing..
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: NW Missouri
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Was the hype this bad with swine flu, SARS, etc?
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02-28-2020, 04:49 PM | #101 |
Life is changing..
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: NW Missouri
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Also - why is this story getting no attention? Seems pretty significant unless I'm missing something.
https://www.i24news.tv/en/news/israe...avirus-vaccine |
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02-28-2020, 04:52 PM | #102 | |
Veteran
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Location: Hollidaysburg, PA
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02-28-2020, 04:53 PM | #103 | |
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Most of the estimates I've seen have suggested early 2021 is a reasonable timeline for mass availability. |
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02-28-2020, 05:09 PM | #104 |
Sometimes it's black and white
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: California
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There was plenty of hype, sure.
Swine flu had a low fatality rate. SARS and MERS had a much higher fatality rate but they weren’t very infectious. So the world succeeded in isolating enough patients for the disease to fade out without going pandemic. Corona virus looks infectious enough that it will most likely go pandemic. The quarantines can slow it down but they won’t stamp it out. The real questions are probably: How long before it is in general circulation like the current flu strains? What is the fatality rate for the general population? |
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02-28-2020, 05:34 PM | #105 | |
Sometimes it's black and white
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: California
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Quote:
China has also taken draconian quarantine measures that are not going to be replicated everywhere. Now that there are hundreds of cases in Iran, and they are not taking serious measures, we will likely learn a lot fairly shortly. I’m not in the sky is falling camp. But this is much more serious than the chance of a large asteroid strike. I would say it is more like the risk of Miami getting a direct hit from a hurricane this year or LA having the Big earthquake. |
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