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04-13-2020, 04:02 PM | #20461 |
Supporter
Join Date: Dec 2009
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Look at MD. The number of deaths chart is seriously out of whack. 5 days until the peak of deaths (25 deaths anticipated), which is a lower number of deaths than what occurred (and is displayed) for April 11th at 35 deaths.
Wouldn’t the peak be on the 11th then? |
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04-13-2020, 04:07 PM | #20462 |
Cheat Death
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Land of Drincoln
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04-13-2020, 04:08 PM | #20463 |
Inmem 2.0
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: My house
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KCFD lost an emt to covid
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Posts: 75,656
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04-13-2020, 04:09 PM | #20464 | |
Please squeeze
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Clinton, MO
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Quote:
They provide a spreadsheet you can download http://www.healthdata.org/covid/data-downloads |
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Posts: 66,438
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04-13-2020, 04:15 PM | #20465 |
Inmem 2.0
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: My house
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https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/12/h....co/FjToqbMXu6
I know we had a pretty big debate in this debate over this drug. |
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04-13-2020, 04:37 PM | #20466 | |
Kind of a mod
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Donkey Land
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04-13-2020, 04:38 PM | #20467 | |
Kind of a mod
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Donkey Land
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Quote:
So as a random point of comparison, the 4/1/20 version of the model predicted that Colorado would need roughly 8k hospital beds and 1,300 ICU beds today and that we'd see 72 deaths. The current model says 388/97/13. |
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Posts: 52,047
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04-13-2020, 04:45 PM | #20468 | |
Best Body On ChiefsPlanet
Join Date: Jan 2014
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Quote:
Last edited by PAChiefsGuy; 04-13-2020 at 04:56 PM.. |
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04-13-2020, 04:48 PM | #20469 |
Banned
Join Date: Jan 2013
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04-13-2020, 04:57 PM | #20470 |
Best Body On ChiefsPlanet
Join Date: Jan 2014
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04-13-2020, 05:03 PM | #20471 | |
Life is changing..
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: NW Missouri
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04-13-2020, 05:07 PM | #20472 |
Life is changing..
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: NW Missouri
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And no, I don't think it's a miracle drug, a cure, or anything else. This is why clinical trials are important.
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Posts: 39,288
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04-13-2020, 05:11 PM | #20473 | |
Kind of a mod
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Donkey Land
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Quote:
"This treatment cures Coronavirus" requires a large sample because a vast majority of people don't die from it anyway. "This treatment causes heart disease" doesn't require a large sample because they wouldn't otherwise have expected more than a tiny portion of people to independently develop an irregular heartbeat during the study. But yes, a randomized trial would have been dramatically better, and this isn't the final word on whether it's a viable treatment. |
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04-13-2020, 05:13 PM | #20474 | ||||
Supporter
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Location: Olathe, Ks
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04-13-2020, 05:18 PM | #20475 |
Kind of a mod
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Donkey Land
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I have 10 people who are sick with a common cold. I give them a drug. They all live. How confident are you that it was my drug that kept them alive?
I have 10 people who are sick with a common cold. I give them a drug. Two of them die. How confident are you that it was my drug that killed them? The probabilities are stretched compared to COVID to make the point, but that's what we're talking about here. |
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