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Originally Posted by DaKCMan AP
No, it's not the same. When purchasing a stock you should have an expectation of return and the timeline. It's not guaranteed, that's why there's risk but you can use financial data of a company to forecast.
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In theory you should be able to use fundamentals in commodity markets to forecast similar moves. It doesn't work, but I don't know the numbers compared to stock earnings.
But it's an entirely different thing. The goal of a stock is maximize net earnings, suggesting long term growth. The goal of a commodity market is merely to standardize trading. Structurally they cannot continually rise like a stock has the possibility to.