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DC might be a lot more successful with TEN. There's only one actual QB in that division right now, and TEN probably has the best defense in it. And there's no reason to think they won't hold that distinction for some years to come, or at least be 2nd, depending on whether IND can hold onto most of their defense downrange. Obviously TEN has a dominant running game, and a decent OL.
They need a couple receiving weapons, but Derek would be able to lean on those other pieces and just be a game-manager, which is really his wheelhouse.
Of course, once in the playoffs he'll probably shrink some, but in the AFC-S he could actually get to the playoffs.
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